A director at Koninklijke BAM Group N.V. sold 74,204 shares at 4.200EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 73/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two yea...
>Q3 2024 underlying EBITDA margin actually showing progress - Yesterday’s Q3 results were, in fact, encouraging at the adj. EBITDA margin level. We realize that we wrote in our First Take that the results were disappointing but during the analyst call BAM management explained the impact of the delays with the Danish schools and the issues in BAM Construct UK. And these were more material than we had assumed, c. €15m is our guestimate. As these effects are transitory, ...
BAM achieved €203m EBITDA in the first nine months of 2024 and reiterated its FY24 outlook, expecting an adjusted EBITDA margin between 4% and 5% in 2024. The 3Q24 trading update removed our concerns about the operating losses reported in the first half of this year in the UK Construction & Property division. Market conditions are challenging but we do not expect additional large loss provisions to hamper the group EBITDA result. Equally important, the relatively large cash outflows caused by lo...
>Weaker than expected sales, adj. EBITDA margin and net cash - Although there seem to be no material hiccups (delays, bankruptcies), the Q3 results of BAM are weaker than we had anticipated. Sales missed our estimate by 9% (4% miss using BB css with just 2 estimates). Adj. EBITDA came in at €76.2m but included a €9m revaluation of the Invensis JV and excluding that component, adj. EBITDA missed our estimate by 17% and css by close to 3%. The underlying EBITDA margin (...
Aalberts: Building already bottoming, industry tough. Air France-KLM: Nobody helps. Alfen: Covenant agreement, hikes output Smart Grid. AMG: Sweet for 2024F, sour for 2025F. ArcelorMittal: 3Q24 EBITDA beats by 6%, FCF solid. BAM: 3Q beats, on its way to reach FY guidance. CMB.TECH: 3Q and FY24 reasonable but then more challenges. D'Ieteren: EGM and dividend dates announced; Belron US peer Boyd disappointing 3Q24. GBL: Double-digit TSR expected over 2024-27F. KBC: 3Q better acro...
Alfen: Preview – expect 3Q to be light compared to 4Q. BAM: Preview - it doesn't feel that good. Brunel International: 3Q24 results: 4% EBIT miss – weak outlook. Fugro: Unexpected sales decline in US and Middle East. Kinepolis: US Peer Cinemark 3Q24 results beat on strong spending. Universal Music Group: 3Q24 reasonable, 2H24 €400m M&A cash out will hurt
28 October could mark a crucial step forward in the resolution of the asbestos litigation. The hearing set on this date at the Delaware court could lead to the launch of the plaintiffs’ vote on the reorganisation plan (agreement if 75% of plaintiffs vote in favour of the plan). We think that this vote is highly likely to materialise, notably with the integration of J&J into the plan (hearing of 8 October). The intrinsic valuation of the group’s assets (TQC, the Beauvoir/Saint-Austell ...
Le 28 octobre prochain pourrait marquer une avancée cruciale dans la résolution des litiges amiante. L’audience prévue pour cette date dans l’agenda du tribunal du Delaware pourrait conduire au lancement du vote des plaignants sur le plan de réorganisation (accord si 75% des plaignants votent le plan). Nous pensons que ce vote a de grandes chances d’aboutir avec l’intégration de J&J dans le plan (décision du 8 octobre dernier). La valorisation intrinsèque des actifs du groupe reviendr...
>Improvement in EBITDA margin expected, net cash to move up modestly - BAM will release its Q3 2024 results on November 7 with the release containing only sales and EBITDA profitability at the group level and not per country and segment. An analyst call and investor webcast is planned for 10h CET. We expect a solid performance of the civil engineering units in the UK and the Netherlands with an improving resi in the Netherlands and a more normalized profitability in ...
Bystronic est un groupe suisse spécialisé dans les machines de découpe laser et de pliage, avec un business model hybride entre vente d’équipements, services récurrents et logiciels. Alors que ses commandes pâtissent d’un momentum difficile depuis plusieurs trimestres, nous n’anticipons pas d’amélioration au S2 et la visibilité reste réduite pour 2025. En parallèle, le plan de restructuration initié cette année devrait surtout être visible à compter du S1 2025. Dans ce contexte, Bystr...
Bystronic is a Swiss group specialising in laser cutting and bending machines, with a hybrid business model combining equipment sales, recurring services, and software. The group has seen its orders dampened by a challenging environment over the past quarters with no signs of an upsurge in H2, and visibility remains limited over 2025. The restructuring plan initiated this year should really start paying off in H1 2025. Bystronic should nonetheless retain a substantial net cash surplus...
>Dutch Resi bottoming out plus solid H1 2024 results drives upgrade - Despite some material setbacks in the UK and to a lesser extent in Netherlands, BAM’s performance in H1 2024 was well better than expected, both in sales and adj. EBITDA. The order book also increased by 12%. Given that the Dutch housing market seems to have pas the trough and that the energy and civil engineering markets remain more than robust in the UK, Ireland and the Netherlands, we are upping ...
>Beats on sales, adj. EBITD and the adj, EBITDA margin - BAM reported excellent Q2 and H1 2024 results, In Q2, sales beat css by 18% with EBITDA also beating css by 18%. The adj. EBITDA margin was 4.7%, in line with css but better than we had expected. Sales were also provided on a regional basis for H1 and the Netherlands (beat of 13%), the UK (beat of 6%) and Ireland (beat of 2%) all did better than expected. The adj. EBITDA margin was, however, slightly disappointi...
Aalberts: Numbers broadly in line with expectations. Air France-KLM: Costs hurt. Arcadis: Nice beat in 2Q24 and good prospects to continue. BAM: Strong EBITDA, cash flow somewhat weak. BE Semiconductor Industries: 2Q24 results; High-end offsets mainstream. Econocom: Large 1H24 miss, change in management, governance. UCB: Strong 1H24 with slight increase in FY revenue guidance. Unilever: Steadfast. Universal Music Group: Okay headline figures cannot hide serious questions for music label...
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