EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
Hidroelectrica’s net electricity generation declined by 23% y-o-y in 9M 2025 due to a severe hydrological drought, which led to a 15% downward revision to the company’s FY net profit guidance. Given i/ weaker hydro production and limited capacity additions; ii/ a downward-sloping forward curve, reflecting LT Romanian power price convergence towards Western European benchmarks; and iii/ a shift in the revenue mix towards the lower-margin supply business, we downgrade Hidroelectrica to Underperfor...
COMPAÑÍAS QUE APARECEN EN EL INFORME: ESPAÑA: IAG, MAPFRE, SANTANDER, TELEFÓNICA. EUROPA: AIRBUS. Entre la política monetaria y una posible paz en Ucrania/Rusia Los mercados vivieron una semana de transición por el Black Friday y ante escasas referencias macroeconómicas. A la espera de las negociaciones de Paz entre Ucrania y Rusia las bolsas europeas terminaron la semana con ganancias, buscando los máximos del año. En el STOXX 600, las ganancias fueron dirigidas por Recursos Básicos seguido de...
The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...
HEADLINES: • ING BSK: eyes 19% ROE and is more open to higher dividend payouts in its strategy update POSITIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong 3Q25 delivery with a 7% beat to consensus POSITIVE • Murapol: 3Q25E close to our forecasts with weaker revenue, but stronger gross margin NEUTRAL • Orlen: swaps some Norwegian assets with DNO NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange Group: Euronext reportedly reaches the acquisition threshold NEUTRAL • Hidroelectrica: 3Q25 net profit of RON 0.73bn, 14% lower yoy; conse...
On Friday 14 November, after the close, Hidroelectrica reported its 3Q25 results. The adjusted EBITDA stood at RON 1.06bn, 10% lower yoy and 3% below our estimate, on the back of higher costs for the acquisition of power than we had pencilled in. The net result reached RON 0.73bn (-14% yoy) and was 5% below our estimates, on a lower net financial result than we had assumed in our model. For 9M25, the net profit reached RON 2.3bn, 34% lower yoy. We estimate net profit of RON 3.2bn for FY25E, whil...
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