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Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

Ryanair : Q2 2024/2025 PAT c.1% below css – Q3 fare outlook in line wi...

>Q2 net income c.1% below css - Ryanair has just released its Q2 results with net income reported at € 1,431.2m (-5.5% y-o-y), roughly 1% below the consensus compiled by the company standing at € 1,444m, and 1% above our estimates at € 1,415m. Average fares closed up at -7%, with +9% on ancillaries, which comes in line with management’s previously expressed expectations of ‘materially lower’ fares due to softer than anticipated pricing.Unit costs excl. fuel ...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

Ryanair : Q2 2024/2025 PAT c.1% below css – Q3 fare outlook in line wi...

>Q2 net income c.1% below css - Ryanair has just released its Q2 results with net income reported at € 1,431.2m (-5.5% y-o-y), roughly 1% below the consensus compiled by the company standing at € 1,444m, and 1% above our estimates at € 1,415m. Average fares closed up at -7%, with +9% on ancillaries, which comes in line with management’s previously expressed expectations of ‘materially lower’ fares due to softer than anticipated pricing.Unit costs excl. fuel ...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO : Majors begin a phase of upward revisions

Thanks to unit revenue that has proven more resilient than anticipated, real discipline on capacity and a decline in the fuel bill, we expect margins to recover, especially for the legacies. IAG remains our top pick. We are upgrading Air France-KLM and Lufthansa to Neutral and downgrading Ryanair to Underperform as well as WizzAir on Neutral. - >Sights on the legacies: IAG remains our top pick, Air France and Lufthansa upgraded to Neutral - We have the legacies in our ...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

ODDO : Les majors amorcent leur phase de montée

Grâce à une recette unitaire qui se tient mieux que prévu, une discipline capacitaire notable et une baisse de la facture carburant, nous anticipons un rebond des marges tout particulièrement pour les majors. IAG reste notre valeur préférée. Nous relevons Air France-KLM et Lufthansa à Neutre et abaissons Ryanair à Sous-performance ainsi que Wizz Air à Neutre. - >Cap sur les majors: IAG en top pick, Air France et Lufthansa relevées à Neutre - Nous mettons le cap sur le...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 08/09/2024

Eutelsat: 2023-24 EBITDA above guidance but weak prospects for 2024-25>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 09/08/2024

Eutelsat : EBITDA 2023-24 supérieur à la guidance. Les perspectives 2024-25 sont faibles>...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

Ryanair : The warning on prices firms up and weighs on profitability

>Stronger pressure on prices... - During the conference call, management's tone appeared particularly cautious with the anticipation of continued pressure on prices notably during the heart of the summer season. After a decline of 15% in Q1, yields are expected to be down by around a further 5% in Q2 but a double-digit decline has not been ruled out if stimulation efforts remain in place (management mentioned that the load factor was 0.5% below the target for August a...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

Ryanair : L’avertissement sur les prix se confirme et pèse sur la rent...

>Une pression plus forte sur les prix… - Lors de la conférence téléphonique, le ton du management nous a paru particulièrement prudent avec des anticipations de poursuite de la pression tarifaire notamment sur le cœur de la saison estivale. Après un recul de 15% au T1, les yields sont encore attendus en baisse autour de 5% sur le T2 mais un recul à deux chiffres n’est pas écarté en cas de poursuite des efforts de stimulation (le management mentionnait que les coeffici...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 07/22/2024

Ryanair: Weak set of Q1 results with lower fares also expected during the key summer season>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 22/07/2024

Ryanair : Weak set of Q1 results with lower fares also expected during the key summer season>...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

Ryanair : More pressure on pricing than expected

>A disappointing Q1 - Ryanair has just released a disappointing Q1 to end June 2024. Net income came in at € 360m down 46% y-o-y and 33% short of the consensus (complied by company) figure of € 538m.This poor performance is very much explained by revenue per pax falling 10% (vs -3.6% for VA consensus) with average fares down 15% & ancillary revenue flat, due, in part, to the absence of the first half of Easter which fell in March, and more price stimulation than ...

Olfa Taamallah ... (+2)
  • Olfa Taamallah
  • Yan Derocles

Ryanair : More pressure on pricing than expected

>A disappointing Q1 - Ryanair has just released a disappointing Q1 to end June 2024. Net income came in at € 360m down 46% y-o-y and 33% short of the consensus (complied by company) figure of € 538m.This poor performance is very much explained by revenue per pax falling 10% (vs -3.6% for VA consensus) with average fares down 15% & ancillary revenue flat, due, in part, to the absence of the first half of Easter which fell in March, and more price stimulation than ...

Maissa Keskes ... (+3)
  • Maissa Keskes
  • Stephane Houri
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 07/18/2024

The French equity market will only be able to erase the discount (50bp increase in risk premium) triggered by the dissolution of the National Assembly once the budget has been approved next autumn. In the meantime, a technocratic government or an Ensemble + LR government could provide some slight respite, but other options (partial alliance of the NFP with Ensemble) are also possible, and less favourable for French equities. The parliamentary session that opens today could clarify the...

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