HEADLINES: • Kalekim: compelling growth story yet to be priced in (BUY - reinitiation of coverage) • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one – the Year Ahead issue, part 2 • Athens Exchange Group: solid delivery in 3Q24, small beat vs. our expectations POSITIVE • Wirtualna Polska: 3Q24 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 3% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • GTC: 3Q24 – recurring broadly in line, risk-on after German acquisition NEUTRAL • Romania macro: implications of the presidential elect...
We reinitiate coverage of Kalekim with a BUY rating and a 12M price target (PT) of TRY 48.60. We view Kalekim as a solid growth play with a cash-generative business model and unlevered financials. By leveraging its strong market position, we expect Kalekim to benefit significantly from domestic construction activity, as the ongoing housing demand and the rise in urban regeneration projects are set to drive robust multi-year demand for its products. Meanwhile, we anticipate a higher share of inte...
HEADLINES: • Ilirija d.d.: ADRs growth pace cools, cost inflation persists (NOT RATED) • Migros: good set of operating results in 3Q24 POSITIVE • Kalekim: strong bottom-line performance in 3Q24 POSITIVE • Ford Otosan: 3Q24 results – quarterly margin improvement tempered by lower export guidance NEUTRAL • Tupras: 3Q24 results – net income beats the consensus; comment on the fire at the Izmit refinery NEUTRAL • Turkish Airlines: 3Q24 – strong cargo and investments offset steep growth in staff cost...
EME Equity Market - September 2024 EME indices mostly in the red in September; rebound in Greece. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 2.0% in EUR terms and 1.1% in USD terms in September. The Greek ASE Index was the best performer in our region, advancing 1.4% mom in EUR terms. Muted performances were seen in Czechia and Hungary (+0.3% and +0.2% mom, respectively in EUR terms), with declines in Poland, Romania and Turkey (-3.6%, -2.9% and -1.5% mom, respectively in EUR terms).
EME Equity Market – June 2024 Another positive month for most of the EME indices, with the Hungarian BUX Index outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index rose by 1.0% in EUR terms, but declined -0.2% in USD terms in June. The Hungarian BUX index reported the strongest performance, adding 4.8% in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET and the Polish WIG20 (+3.7% and 2.1%, in EUR terms, respectively), and the Turkish ISE30 (+0.9% in EUR terms). Greece and the Czech Republic were in negative territor...
Kalekim announced its 1Q24 IAS 29 results yesterday (12 June), reporting net earnings of TRY 104m, vs. the loss of TRY 31m in 1Q23. We saw a strong set of operating results, driven by solid volume growth and expanding margins. Thanks to its prominent position in the building materials market, we anticipate that Kalekim will reap the benefits of the replacement market demand and the demand from urban regeneration projects. In addition, we also believe that the commencement of production in Iraq i...
EME Equity Market – April 2024 Market performance – green across all geographies, with Turkey outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index was up 5.3% mom in EUR terms and 4.2% mom in USD in April; while the Turkish ISE30 saw the strongest performance, adding 11.6% mom; followed by the Hungarian BUX (+5.0% mom); the Czech PX (+2.8% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Polish WIG20 (+1.2% mom) and the Romanian BET (+0.1% mom) (all in EUR terms).
• LPP: the glass is half full (stays BUY) • Eurocash: 4Q23 beat on costs, profit warning for 1Q24E • 11 bit studios: 4Q23 adjusted EBITDA beats expectations on a solid top line • Polish banks: 2024 contributions to the BFG • MOL: oil production starts on a new platform at ACG field • Ford Otosan: completes the Eurobond book-building process • Kalekim: 2023 IAS 29 results - strong operating results • Lamda: 4Q23 results - a significant step-up in Ellinikon revenues, revaluation gain on existing m...
Kalekim announced its 2023 IAS 29 results on 18 April, reporting net earnings of TRY 430m, +3% yoy, in its income statement, which was prepared under the IAS 29 inflation-accounting principles. It posted a strong set of operating results under IAS 29, with an expanding EBITDA margin on an annual basis. Kalekim also released its non-inflation-adjusted key financial figures for 2023, implying a solid operating performance in 4Q23, in line with consensus expectations. We believe that Kalekim should...
EME Equity Market – February 2024 Market performance – a positive February, with the Polish WIG20 outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 4.2% mom in EUR terms and 3.7% mom in USD in February. The Polish WIG20 saw the strongest performance, adding 6.4% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE (+4.2% mom), the Turkish ISE30 (+4.0% mom) and the Romanian BET (+2.6% mom) (all in EUR terms). There was a relatively muted performance in Hungary (+0.6% mom in EUR terms) and a decline in the Cze...
HEADLINES: • Budimex: 4Q23 preliminary results in line with the January guidance, strong gross margin of 14.4% NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: HyperPIC selected for PLN 453.6m co-financing under the European Funds for a Modern Economy 2021-2027 POSITIVE • Polish banks: PLN 1,563m of sector contributions to resolution fund in 2024E, guarantee fund contributions still suspended • PZU: most of the Management Board dismissed, but CFO stays • OMV Petrom: signs financing agreement through recovery plan for ...
HEADLINES: • KazMunayGas: energy without the obstructions (BUY - transfer of coverage) • MOL: 4Q23 results – net income well above expectations POSITIVE • Solutions by STC: 4Q23 financial results review – miss on profitability estimates, but in line with 2023 guidance NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: key takeaways from the 4Q23 earnings call NEUTRAL • Hidroelectrica: price caps to remain in place until 31 March 2025 NEUTRAL • Jeronimo Martins: another step from Biedronka on the way to ecommerce • El...
HEADLINES: • Cimsa: announces the completion of the 10.1% SBS shares transfer POSITIVE • InPost: PPF executes only part of the option, at this stage NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: 2024E revenue growth target at 13-15% yoy NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: November sales growth decelerated to a limited 10% yoy NEGATIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (4-10 December) • Hidroelectrica: signs agreement to acquire assets and personnel from manufacturer of hydro equipment NEUTRAL • WOOD's Winter Wonderland EME Con...
EME Equity Market – October 2023 Market performance – election results prompt stellar market reaction in Poland; sell-off in Turkey. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.7% mom in EUR terms and 2.0% mom in USD in October. Poland staged a massive rebound, post the elections, with the WIG20 advancing 16.4% mom in EUR terms. Apart from Turkey, where October was a sell-off, with the ISE30 declining 13.7% mom in EUR terms, there were relatively muted performances everywhere else (BUX +2.1% / PX +0.4% / B...
Kalekim announced its 3Q23 results on 20 October, and posted net earnings of TRY 245m, +192% yoy. Although Kalekim has posted an exceptionally strong set of results, with all-time high gross and EBITDA margins, the reported figures were lower than both our and the consensus estimates. Given Kalekim’s strong share price performance since the end of May, outperforming the BIST-100 index by 50%, we believe that the positive expectations have been priced in, to a large extent.
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (16-22 October) • Kalekim: 3Q23 - strong set of results, but failed to meet expectations NEGATIVE • Arcelik: 3Q23 results - in line NEUTRAL • Enea: sees PLN 264m maximum impact from cut in retail tariff NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: ICCJ rejects revision of Volksbank case • TeraPlast: 3Q23E earnings preview (due out tomorrow) • Ford Otosan: 3Q23E earnings preview (due on 25 October) • Tofas: 3Q23E earnings preview (due on 25 October) • Tupra...
HEADLINES: • Poland macro: final election results • Santander Bank Polska: issues profit warning on FX mortgage saga costs in 3Q23E • MOL: Hungarian Government agrees to reduce royalties • Shoper: takeaways - conference call on home.pl agreement NEUTRAL • Dom Development: advance dividend of PLN 5.5/share POSITIVE • Dogus Otomotiv: BoD proposes DPS of TRY 5.6818181 NEUTRAL • Dino: acquisition of 75% of online cosmetic store for PLN 61m • Polish telecoms: 5G frequencies in Poland sold for PL...
EME Equity Market – September 2023 Market performance – positive developments in Romania and Turkey, declines everywhere else. The MSCI EM Europe Index lost 3.7% mom in EUR terms and 6.0% mom in USD in September. Romania took the spotlight, with the BET Index advancing 7.4% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Turkish ISE30 (+4.6% mom). The Polish WIG20 declined the most (-8.7% mom), followed by the Greek ASE, the Hungarian BUX and, finally, the Czech PX (-7.9%, -1.9% and -0.6% mom, respectively).
HEADLINES: • Allegro: 2Q23 results above expectations; guidance for EBITDA acceleration in 3Q23E POSITIVE • Lamda Development: 1H23 - existing malls NOI ahead of our estimates, NAV stable at EUR 7.8/share POSITIVE • Czech Republic macro: CNB preparing for the first rate cut • PGE: 2Q23 earnings call takeaways • Pepco Group: another profit warning and management reshuffle NEGATIVE • DIGI Communications: in talks with Macquarie and Abrdn to sell stake in its Spanish fibre network NEUTRAL • OMV P...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.