Deutsche Bank: High costs take the shine off strong IB revenues BBVA earnings strong, with robust MDA headroom. Nordea 4Q: Stable as she goes. The European Commission's Competitiveness Compass promises a further flood of (regulatory) actions to digest in 2025 and 2026. Despite the delay, BoE's Bailey remains optimistic over Basel implementation. BaFin shares its risk focus for 2025
Deutsche Bank: High costs take the shine off strong IB revenues BBVA earnings strong, with robust MDA headroom. Nordea 4Q: Stable as she goes. The European Commission's Competitiveness Compass promises a further flood of (regulatory) actions to digest in 2025 and 2026. Despite the delay, BoE's Bailey remains optimistic over Basel implementation. BaFin shares its risk focus for 2025
SEB depletes 180bp of its MDA buffers for shareholder distributions; BBVA confirms to call its US$1bn AT1 in March, as expected; BoE opens applications for its new Contingent NBFI Repo Facility; EUR covered supply is closing in on the January average after all
SEB depletes 180bp of its MDA buffers for shareholder distributions; BBVA confirms to call its US$1bn AT1 in March, as expected; BoE opens applications for its new Contingent NBFI Repo Facility; EUR covered supply is closing in on the January average after all
Relative performance resilience of 7-10yr covered bonds is unlikely to persist as yields trend higher and supply moves further out the curve. Italian banks increased their central bank funding in November. BPER Banca looks to support its MDA with a new AT1. BBVA brings a new 10yr senior preferred. Bank bond performance overview
Spanish bank spreads have widened this year with a slight retracement over the last three months. We see better performance potential in Banco Santander's preferred paper over BBVA. Santander and BBVA NPS bonds look tight in the 3-4yr part of the curve but offer some pick-up versus French peers longer out the curve. In Tier 2 space we prefer Santander 25s over the longer dated Spanish paper.
>So far so good… but risk intact in two key markets - Q2 2018 release higher than expected (net earnings € 1.3bn vs € 1.2bn for consensus, +18% y-o-y / pre-tax underlying earnings € 2.2bn vs € 2.0bn for the consensus, +12% y-o-y), driven by a favourable top line and a lower-than-expected cost of risk.Revenues were in line with forecast, coming to € 6.0bn, underpinned by the recurring component (NII = € 4.4bn, +2% vs consensus and -3% y-o-y / commissions = € 1.3bn...
>So far so good… mais un risque intact sur 2 marchés clé - Publication T2 2018 supérieure aux attentes (BN 1.3 Md€ vs cons 1.2 Md€, +18% yoy / RCAI 2.2 Md€ vs cons 2.0 Md€, +12% yoy), drivée par une bonne tenue de la top line et, par un coût du risque plus bas qu’attendu.Revenus en ligne avec les attentes à 6.0 Md€, soutenus par la partie récurrente (NII = 4.4 Md€, +2% vs cons & -3% yoy / commissions = 1.3 Md€, +4% vs cons & +2% yoy).Coûts opérationnels en l...
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