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ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • Njål Kleiven
Baptiste Lebacq
  • Baptiste Lebacq

Saipem : Saipem 7: reliance on Saipem in terms of share performance th...

Saipem and Subsea 7 announced a plan for a merger of equals to create Saipem 7, the world leader in subsea services. While this appears to be an attractive deal, we think that a real risk exists in terms of antitrust approval. A merger parity has been set (6.688 Saipem shares for 1 Subsea 7 share) which means that Subsea 7’s share performance is now correlated to that of Saipem (for which we have identified two risky contracts). The deal is expected to be completed within 18 months, meaning a lo...

Baptiste Lebacq
  • Baptiste Lebacq

Saipem : Saipem7 : dépendance boursière à Saipem que nous jugeons trop...

Saipem et Subsea 7 annoncent leur souhait de procéder à une fusion entre égaux pour créer Saipem 7, le leader mondial sur le métier du Subsea. Si cette opération peut sembler attirante, nous pensons qu’un véritable risque réside du côté des autorités antitrust. Une parité de fusion a été fixée (6.688 actions Saipem pour 1 Subsea 7) rendant ainsi l’évolution du cours de Bourse de Subsea 7 corrélée à celui de Saipem (chez qui nous avons identifié deux contrats à risque). L’opération devrait être f...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 02/24/2025

THOM Group: Q1 results in line with expectations, Q2 seems to be off to a good start.|Just East Takeway: Prosus to launch bid for 100% of share capital|Teva: positive Phase 2b results for the divakitug drug, launch of Phase 3 in H2 2025|Saipem: proposal to merge with Subsea7|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 24/02/2025

THOM Group : des résultats T1 conformes aux attentes, le T2 semble bien débuter|Just East Takeway : Prosus lance une offre de rachat sur 100% du capital.|Teva : données positives de phase 2b pour le médicament divakitug, lancement de la phase 3 au S2 2025|Saipem: proposal to merge with Subsea7|

ABGSC Energy Research ... (+7)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • Njål Kleiven
 PRESS RELEASE

Proposed Combination of Saipem and Subsea7

Proposed Combination of Saipem and Subsea7 Milan, Luxembourg, 23 February 2025 - Saipem and Subsea7 announce that today they have reached an agreement in principle on the key terms of a possible merger of the two companies1 (the “Proposed Combination”) through the execution of a memorandum of understanding (the “MoU”). The Proposed Combination is expected to create a global leader in energy services. Highlights The combination of Saipem and Subsea7 (the “Combined Company”) will be renamed Saipem7, and will have a combined backlog of €43 billion2, Revenue of approx. €20 billion3 and EBITD...

ABGSC Energy Research ... (+7)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • Njål Kleiven
Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 02/11/2025

Q1 25: Good LfL growth and adj. EBIT increase; guidance confirmation|Coty: new warning but profitability still up in Q2 and deleveraging path confirmed|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 11/02/2025

Q1 25: Good LfL growth and adj. EBIT increase; guidance confirmation|Coty : nouveau warning à l’issue du T2, mais rentabilité en hausse et baisse du levier confirmée|

Martin Huseby Karlsen
  • Martin Huseby Karlsen

Offshore spending plateauing

After reviewing major oil companies’ most recent spending plans, we estimate offshore spending growth of c3% YOY in 2025 (down from c5% late last year and c8% six months ago). We believe a combination of supply-chain bottlenecks, efficiency gains, and capital discipline among oil companies are the main reasons for spending growth fading, resulting in a mid-cycle plateau. On the flip side, the cycle keeps building duration, as we see investments being pushed into 2026–2027. Also, activity levels ...

ABGSC Energy Research ... (+7)
  • ABGSC Energy Research
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Njål Kleiven
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Stian Wibstad
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