reports
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: COLT CP; BDX PW; MBK PW; BHW PW; PKO PW; SAR GA; EME Macro...
HEADLINES: • Colt CZ Group SE: enter Synthesia Nitrocellulose (stays BUY) • Budimex: selected for PLN 353m A2 motorway widening contract NEUTRAL • mBank: 1Q26E preview (due on 30 April) • Bank Handlowy: 1Q26E preview (due on 7 May) • PKO BP: 1Q26E preview (due on 14 May) • Sarantis: 1Q26 trading update in line with expectations POSITIVE • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (10-16 April)
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PKN PW; PGE PW; VGO PW; BDX PW
HEADLINES: • Orlen: announces updated budget for the New Chemistry Project NEUTRAL • PGE: full 4Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: 1Q26 sales down 12.5% yoy, to PLN 19.3m NEGATIVE • Budimex: 1Q26E preview – harsh winter weighs on results (due on 6 May)
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: APR PW; MUR PW; ENA PW; PGE PW; PZU PW; CEZ CP; ARCLK TI
HEADLINES: • Auto Partner: 4Q25 EBITDA 4% above the consensus and 5% below our estimate NEUTRAL • Murapol: 4Q25 conference call takeaways POSITIVE • Enea: proposes PLN 0.56 DPS from the 2025 profit NEUTRAL • PGE: recommends no dividend payment for 2025 NEUTRAL • PZU: conclusion of competition for Management Board member – former CFO not on the list • CEZ: PM Babis says first steps towards privatisation at upcoming AGM NEUTRAL • Arcelik: 1Q26E earnings preview (due on 22 April) • Short News (CBF)
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MUR PW; ENA PW; XTB PW; MBR PW; 11B PW; ALR PW; MIL PW; PE...
HEADLINES: • Murapol: 4Q25 slightly below our forecasts, but close to the consensus NEUTRAL • Murapol: 1Q26 sales up 8% yoy, handovers significantly lower NEUTRAL • Enea: 4Q25 in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • XTB S.A.: KNF issues PLN 20m fine over historical onboarding and product governance shortcomings NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: new contract signed for PLN 6.9m net NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: revised amortisation method for Frostpunk 2 and The Alters NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: 1Q26E preview (due on ...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CSG NA; DVL PW; KRU PW; HUG PW; MIL PW; BDX PW; APR PW; PL...
HEADLINES: • Czechoslovak Group: ReArming Europe – from ammo to armour (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Develia: strong handovers in 1Q26 (2.3x higher yoy), slightly disappointing sales (10% lower yoy) NEUTRAL • Kruk: 1Q26 trading update NEUTRAL • Kruk: recommends PLN 20 DPS • Huuuge Games: preliminary 1Q26 revenue at USD 56.5m, down 9% yoy and 4% qoq NEGATIVE • Bank Millennium: to book PLN 190m of FX mortgage saga provisions in 1Q26E NEUTRAL • Budimex: FBSerwis to remain within the group NEUTRA...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ALWN GA; GPP PW; BFT PW; ACP PW; BDX PW; CPS PW; WPL PW; M...
HEADLINES: • Allwyn: over the hills and far away – from OPAP to Allwyn, and into growth (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Grupa Pracuj: 4Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA up 6% yoy, 6% above the consensus POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: net addition of 126.5k sports cards in 1Q26, solid growth in Poland POSITIVE • Asseco Poland: key takeaways from the 4Q25 results call NEUTRAL • Budimex: PLN 146m bid selected as most advantageous in Port Polska tender NEUTRAL • Budimex: signs PLN 261m tram depot contract...
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all indices down; energy the only ...
EME Equity Market – March 2026 All indices decline, with Greek ASE posting the steepest loss. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 8.0% mom in EUR terms and 10.8% mom in USD terms in March. The Greek ASE was the worst performer (-9.3% mom); followed by the Czech PX (-6.7% mom); the Hungarian BUX (-6.2% mom); the Turkish ISE30 (-5.1% mom); and the Polish WIG20 (-4.5% mom; all in EUR terms). The Romanian BET proved the most resilient, declining just 1.2% mom, in EUR terms.
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
OPAP GREEK ORGANISATION OF FOOTBALL PROGNOSTICS SA
MOL MOL NYRT
CEZ CEZ AS
ACP ASSECO POLAND SA
CDR CD PROJEKT S.A.
RBI RAIFFEISEN BANK INTERNATIONAL AG
SNT SYNEKTIK
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
TITK TITAN CEMENT CO. SA
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
BIMAS BIM BIRLESIK MAGAZALAR A.S.
WIZZ WIZZ AIR HOLDINGS PLC
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
GEKTERNA GEK TERNA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
RBW RAINBOW TOURS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
MGROS MIGROS TICARET A.S
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
DAT DATAWALK SA
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
BELA JUMBO S.A.
SAB1L SIAULIU BANKAS
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
SNP PETROM S.A.
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
RICHT RICHTER
MAVI MAVI GIYIM SANAYI VE TICARET A.S.
R22 R22
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
ESLT ELBIT SYSTEMS LTD
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
HUGE HUUUGE
4IG 4IG NYRT
IGN1L IGNITIS GRUPE
WPS W.A.G PAYMENT SOLUTIONS PLC
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
VRC VERCOM SA
GPP GRUPA PRACUJ DA
2381 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
SHO SHOPER SA
ACAG AUSTRIACARD HOLDINGS AG
H2O HIDROELECTRICA S.A.
7203 ELM CO
OPTIMAr OPTIMA BANK S.A.
MUR2 MURAPOL SA
TRESTATES TRADE ESTATES REIC SA
THEON THEON INTERNATIONAL PLC
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
PRIUA PRIMOCO UAV SE
BOCHGR BANK OF CYPRUS
ZAB ZABKA GROUP
DSPW DOOSAN SKODA POWER A.S.
PE RO PREMIER ENERGY
- VRS RESEARCH TEAM
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: DNP PW; BDX PW; BDX PW; CAR PW; KTY PW; MUR PW; VGO PW; KT...
HEADLINES: • Dino Polska: 12-15% EBITDA miss in 4Q25; bearish guidance for 2026E NEGATIVE • Budimex: full 4Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Budimex: management recommends DPS of PLN 32.42 from the 2025 earnings (4.9% DY) POSITIVE • Inter Cars: preliminary 4Q25 EBITDA in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Kety: full 4Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Murapol: Hampont files for sole control acquisition of Murapol NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: acquires InfraRed Asso...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: IGN1L LH; ZAB PW; CDR PW; CAR PW; LPP PW; DSPW CP; CZG CP;...
HEADLINES: • Ignitis Group: steady as she goes (stays BUY) • Zabka: beat in 4Q25; FY26E guidance of continued rapid expansion and stable profitability POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 4Q25 results review – beat related to other operating income and income tax POSITIVE • Inter Cars: 4Q25E preview – 16% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 28 April) • LPP: 4Q25E results preview – 32% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 26 March) NEUTRAL • Doosan Skoda Power: 4Q25 above our expectations, backlog in line, materi...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: THEON NA; INPST NA; DAT PW; CBF PW; VRC PW; SHO PW; APR PW...
HEADLINES: • Theon International: model update due to KAPPA and Exosens deals (stays BUY) • InPost: 4Q25 well below expectations due to the UK; only flat FY26E EBITDA guidance NEGATIVE • DataWalk: preliminary 4Q25 results – sales down 26% yoy, to PLN 6.68m NEGATIVE • cyber_Folks: final 4Q25 group results fully in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: management recommends DPS of PLN 0.15 from 2025 earnings NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: announces dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Trade Estates: FFO u...
- Andreas Souvleros
- CFA
- Christiana Armpounioti
- Marios Bourazanis
- Natalia Svyriadi
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
Greek Equity Strategy | Energy Shock Playbook
Energy shock scenario – The prolonged Middle East conflict has tightened the oil market, while elevating shipping and insurance risk premia. Brent has moved decisively above $100/bbl amid conflict-related disruption to production and tanker movements. The risk is acute because the Strait of Hormuz is a structural bottleneck for global energy flows, with oil flows through the strait accounting for c20% of global petroleum liquids consumption. Against this backdrop, we frame the potential implicat...
- Andreas Souvleros
- CFA
- Christiana Armpounioti
- Marios Bourazanis
- Natalia Svyriadi
- Stamatios Draziotis CFA
Greek Equity Strategy | Energy Shock Playbook
Energy shock scenario – The prolonged Middle East conflict has tightened the oil market, while elevating shipping and insurance risk premia. Brent has moved decisively above $100/bbl amid conflict-related disruption to production and tanker movements. The risk is acute because the Strait of Hormuz is a structural bottleneck for global energy flows, with oil flows through the strait accounting for c20% of global petroleum liquids consumption. Against this backdrop, we frame the potential implicat...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MBK PW; BHW PW; DOM PW; TPE PW; BDX PW; BFT PW; INPST NA; ...
HEADLINES: • mBank: bid or no bid? • Bank Handlowy: solid 4Q25, giving support to strong dividend yield expectations NEUTRAL • Dom Development: 4Q25 – a good end to a record year NEUTRAL • Tauron: preliminary 4Q25 EBITDA 7% below our expectations, following provisions in the Supply segment; adjusted EBITDA 11% above our forecast POSITIVE • Budimex: KIO orders rejection of company’s offer in Rail Baltica tender NEGATIVE • Benefit Systems: PLN 40.6m provision to be created in the 4Q25E results NEG...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy – EEMEA; BDX PW; WPL PW; EWG LN; KZ Mac...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: the state of consumption in EEMEA • Budimex: PKP PLK cancels selection of the company’s offer in PLN 1.1bn rail tender NEGATIVE • Budimex: offer selected in PLN 300m PSE tender for expansion of Gdańsk Błonia substation NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: write-down of Szallas Group assets reduces WPL's operating result by PLN 150m NEGATIVE • Wirtualna Polska: accounting policy change increases dividend capacity by c.PLN 518m NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: 4Q25E preview upda...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BIMAS TI; ENA PW; TPE PW; PGE PW; GPW PW; FTSHP CP; MOL HB...
HEADLINES: • BIM: 4Q25 results – strong beat POSITIVE • Enea: preliminary 4Q25 EBITDA 25% below expectations on Supply one-offs; adjusted EBITDA 2% below forecast NEUTRAL • Enea / Tauron: URE orders additional payments to the Price Difference Payment Fund NEUTRAL • PGE: completes acquisition of 350 MW Bałtyk II offshore wind project from RWE NEUTRAL • Warsaw Stock Exchange: PLN 10.7m impairment losses to spoil otherwise strong quarter (due on 23 March) NEGATIVE • Footshop: preliminary 4Q25 resul...
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
SAR GR. SARANTIS S.A.
ENA ENEA S.A.
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
GSPARK GRAPHISOFT PARK SE
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
TPE TAURON POLSKA ENERGIA S.A.
19XX NEPI ROCKCASTLE PLC
CTPNV CTP NV
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
SPLUS SHOPPER PARK PLUS ZRT
FTSHP FOOTSHOP A.S.
GEV GEVORKYAN A.S.
- Jakub Caithaml
WOOD Flash – CEE real estate: yields cheat sheet
The majority of European real estate seems to have sailed through the rate hikes surprisingly smoothly. There appears to be a broad consensus among companies and realtors that the trough in values may have passed, and that 2026E may see a continued transaction volume recovery, led by prime assets. Valuations are broadly expected to be income driven, with limited room for yield compression, as rates remain stable. Investors appear selective, favouring prime, core assets; while secondary, older st...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EMEA Airlines; BDX PW; APR PW; DIA PW; CEZ CP; BELA GA; MA...
HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: oil price spike negative NEGATIVE • Budimex: PLN 2.59bn rail contract signed with PKP PLK NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: February sales growth of 3.4% yoy NEGATIVE • Diagnostyka: 4Q25E preview – 8% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 20 April) NEUTRAL • CEZ: 4Q25E earnings preview (due on 12 March) • Jumbo: February sales growth slows to 3% yoy on tough comps, as expected NEUTRAL • Mavi: 4Q25E earnings preview (due on 17 March) • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (27 Febru...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MDV PW; BDX PW; CBF PW; SHO PW; VRC PW; PGE PW; RBW PW; OT...
HEADLINES: • Modivo Group: the role of a serial disruptor is never easy (stays BUY) • Budimex: built on solid ground, priced for perfection (HOLD - transfer of coverage) • Budimex: 4Q25 conference highlights NEUTRAL • cyber_Folks / Shoper: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • PGE: PLN 12.1bn loan impairment recognised in stand-alone accounts NEGATIVE • Rainbow Tours: summer 2026E season pre-sales accelerate to +10.9% yo...
- Jakub Bronicki
- Jakub Caithaml
Budimex: built on solid ground, priced for perfection (HOLD - transfer...
We transfer coverage of Budimex (BDX) and downgrade our rating to HOLD (from Buy), with a 12M price target (PT) of PLN 853 (vs. PLN 750 previously), implying 9% upside. After two years of relatively flat results in 2024-25, we expect 2026-27E to mark a return to double-digit yoy growth in both revenues and the order backlog. We forecast a solid EBIT CAGR of 11% for 2025-28E, supported by accelerating public infrastructure spending and improving contract flow. At the same time, we believe the cur...
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