HEADLINES: • Hungary macro: MNB on hold • Cyfrowy Polsat: TiVi Foundation exercises its rights to replace the managers and a supervisory board member of the group POSITIVE • Medicover: 2Q25 results preview (due out tomorrow) • Tofas: 2Q25 earnings preview (due on 28 July) • Ford Otosan: 2Q25 earnings preview (due on 30 July) • Teknosa: 2Q25 earnings preview (due on 6 August) • Short News (EUR, 4iG, PPC)
HEADLINES: • DataWalk: returning like a phoenix from the ashes (HOLD) • EU macro: Commission presents the new budget • cyber_Folks/Shoper: resign from large acquisition in the e-commerce space and bets on the development of own solutions NEGATIVE • OPAP: Greek gaming market growth accelerates further in May POSITIVE • Aegean Airlines: adds two A321neo XLRs, plans to start flying to India in March 2026E • GTC: buys out German minorities • CD Projekt: free update 2.3 for Cyberpunk 2077 today NEUTR...
HEADLINES: • Ukraine macro: notes on the economy and the reconstruction process • VIGO Photonics: 2Q25 sales down 11% yoy, to PLN 20.3m NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: refund of interest on the overpayment related to the 2017 waste disposal decision NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: Cyberpunk to be released for Apple Macs tomorrow NEUTRAL • Sipchem: 2Q25E results preview (due on 21 July) NEUTRAL • Budimex: 2Q25E preview – EBIT up slightly, by 5% yoy (prelims due on 28 July) • Tupras: 2Q25E results preview (due on 29 Ju...
HEADLINES: • Romanian Banks: fishing in Romania’s murky waters (Banca Transilvania stays BUY, BRD-GSG stays HOLD) • Komercni Banka: closing the rerating bet (downgraded to HOLD) • MONETA Money Bank: priced for perfection, but needs to deliver (stays HOLD) • Pepco Group: 3Q25 revenues of New Pepco up 8% yoy, in line with expectations; FY25E guidance maintained; EUR 50m buyback NEUTRAL • Jumbo: 1H25 sales up by a solid 8% yoy, as largely expected NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: Ministry of State Asset...
EME Equity Market – June 2025 All EME indices in the green in June, with a rebound in Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced by 3.2% mom in EUR terms and 6.9% in USD terms. The Turkish ISE 30 Index was the best performer in our region, recouping the losses from the previous month and adding +6.6% mom in EUR terms. The Hungarian BUX and the Polish WIG indices added 3.1% and 2.8% mom in EUR terms, respectively, followed closely by the Romanian BET and the Greek ASE, with both adding 2.0% mom i...
HEADLINES: • Polish banks: Finance Ministry mulls levy on obligatory reserve interest revenues NEGATIVE • Georgia Capital: sells 20% stake in water utility for USD 70.4m POSITIVE • Czech Republic macro: CNB on hold • InPost/Shoper: InPost Pay records 8.5m users, and operates in over 2.5k online stores NEUTRAL • Metlen: launches tender share exchange offer from Metlen SA to Metlen PLC, as part of the planned LSE listing NEUTRAL
HEADLINES: • Inter Cars: May sales growth accelerates to 13% yoy POSITIVE • 11 bit studios: Steam demo of Moonlighter 2 attracted limited interest and disappointing reviews NEGATIVE • Orange Polska: increases prices for its Nju mobile post-paid tariffs POSITIVE • cyber_Folks: acquires Romanian hosting company Hosterion for EUR 6.7m NEUTRAL • DO & CO: 4Q FY25E preview - 7% EBITDA growth yoy (due on 12 June) • Text: 4Q24-25E preview – 10% yoy EBITDA increase expected (due on 27 June)
HEADLINES: • cyber_Folks: e-commerce first – a new chapter begins (stays BUY) • Shoper: new investor, new opportunities (stays BUY) • Vercom: solid growth, boosted potentially by M&A (upgraded to BUY) • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (2-8 June) • Auto Partner: May sales disappoint, with limited 8% yoy growth NEGATIVE • 11 bit studios: launch trailer of The Alters and new Moonlighter 2 trailer presented during PC Gaming Show NEUTRAL
We reiterate our BUY rating on cyber_Folks (CBF) and raise our price target (PT) to PLN 219.1/share (vs. PLN 177.2/share previously), implying 29% upside. Despite the 35% share price rally since our initiation (June 2024), we continue to like cyber_Folks, due to its compelling growth story – we believe that the acquisition of Shoper is just the beginning of cyber_Folks’ expansion into the CEE e-commerce business. We expect the company to deliver an outstanding 2024-27E pro-forma adjusted EBITDA ...
We have upgraded our rating on Vercom to BUY (from Hold), and raised our price target (PT) to PLN 150.5/share (vs. PLN 139.8/share previously). We see Vercom as an outstanding growth story, based on its healthy organic global customer base expansion. On our forecasts, the company should deliver a 2024-27E adjusted EBITDA CAGR of 22% (broadly in line with the company’s targets, included in the incentive scheme) and a net income CAGR of 26%, driven by top-line growth, profitability improvements an...
We maintain our BUY rating on Shoper. Our new 12M price target (PT) of PLN 59.1 (vs. PLN 52.6 previously) offers 19% potential upside. We believe that the new investor brings new opportunities. Our expectations of the synergies for Shoper move our 12M DCF valuation from PLN 55.9 to PLN 62.5/share (a 12% addition). Given the higher focus on higher-margin products, operating leverage and synergies, we forecast a solid three-year adjusted EBITDA CAGR of 23%. That places Shoper 8ppts above Allegro’s...
EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
Roadmap laid out; focus now lies on implementation… – Following a successful transformation over the past few years, PPC has been expanding its RES footprint and emerging as a leading utility in SE Europe. Mgt aims to continue the Group’s evolution, with a strategy focused on accelerating RES development, modernising its thermal fleet, investing in distribution, and retaining its stronghold in supply, targeting EBITDA of €2.7bn by 2027e (+14% CAGR). Despite these ambitious targets outpacing mos...
Roadmap laid out; focus now lies on implementation… – Following a successful transformation over the past few years, PPC has been expanding its RES footprint and emerging as a leading utility in SE Europe. Mgt aims to continue the Group’s evolution, with a strategy focused on accelerating RES development, modernising its thermal fleet, investing in distribution, and retaining its stronghold in supply, targeting EBITDA of €2.7bn by 2027e (+14% CAGR). Despite these ambitious targets outpacing mos...
HEADLINES: • Gentoo Media: one step back, two steps forward (stays BUY) • Colt CZ Group SE: 1Q25 results – strong beat, no change in guidance POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: 1Q25 earnings call – management optimistic on 2H25E, but we see challenges NEGATIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: key takeaways from the 1Q25 earnings call NEUTRAL • Tauron: 1Q25 conference call highlights NEUTRAL • Elbit Systems: raises USD 512m on the Nasdaq POSITIVE • Athens Exchange Group: 1Q25E preview (due on 26 May) • Motor Oil Hellas: 1Q25E...
HEADLINES: • Mo-BRUK: 1Q25 EBITDA 7% below our forecast, but a substantial 24% miss vs. the consensus NEGATIVE • Doosan Skoda Power: weak 1Q25 – EBITDA down 70% yoy NEGATIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: 1Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA up 5% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: Liechtenstein court dismisses Zygmunt Solorz's lawsuit against his children POSITIVE • Pepco Group: 1H25 slightly below expectations on worsening Poundland; lfl improvement at Pepco; another EUR 234m impair...
HEADLINES: • Elbit Systems: 1Q25 results – top-down driven beat POSITIVE • Public Power Corporation: uninspiring 1Q25 results, as expected POSITIVE • Trade Estates: 1Q25 – strong turnovers driving rents higher POSITIVE • Enea: full 1Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • cyber_Folks: 1Q25 results review – EBITDA +46% yoy, 4% above the consensus POSITIVE • Vercom: 1Q25 results review – 24% yoy EBITDA growth, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Shoper: 1Q25 above expectations, but F...
HEADLINES • Budimex: growth acceleration on the horizon (upgraded to BUY) • Halyk Bank: 1Q25 results highlights before the call POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: 1Q25 adjusted EBITDA 15% above our forecast, but April sales disappoint NEGATIVE • GEVORKYAN: strong 1Q25 - EBITDA 15% above our expectations; 2025E conservative guidance POSITIVE • Titan Cement: completes divestment of its 75% stake in Adocim in Eastern Türkiye NEUTRAL • Al Arabia Outdoor Advertising: key takeaways from our call with the CF...
We are upgrading Budimex (BDX) to BUY, from Hold. Our new 12M price target (PT) of PLN 750 (vs. PLN 730 previously) offers 20% potential upside. Having reduced our 2025E forecasts by several percents, we highlight the problem of the delays seen in the market in 2024, rather than the long-term investment pipeline, which remains strong. This is also supported by the announced acceleration in military investments. After taking a pause this year (limited single-digit growth), we expect 2026-27E to m...
HEADLINES: InPost: international level (stays BUY) Romania macro: presidential election - final results Poland macro: election results 11 bit studios: 1Q25 earnings call – happy with wishlist for The Alters, no plans for pre-orders NEUTRAL Budimex: PLN 1.7bn offer rated the highest in the railway tender POSITIVE Mo-BRUK: management recommends PLN 13.17 DPS from the 2024 earnings NEUTRAL Greek banks: the Greek media reports that the banks could look into reacquiring working mortgages from NPL ser...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.