We hosted our 28th ODDO BHF Forum in Lyon on 9 and 10 January 2025. In total, 210 companies made presentations over the two days. In addition to day 1 feedback (Link to the feedback of the first day), in the following note, we provide some initial feedback from the companies for the second day. The full final feedback, including sector conclusions, will be published later this week. As was the case for the first day, analysts judged that a majority of the companies had a rather neutral tone. Ou...
European equity markets weakened in October following multiple disappointments across the earnings season. The impending US election, the outcome of which is highly uncertain according to the polls, may also have prompted some traders to adopt a cautious stance. Sovereign long rates rose sharply, particularly in the US, on the back of macro indicators likely to provide arguments to the most hawkish of central bankers. All eyes are now on the November 5 elections and their repercussion...
Les marchés actions européens ont fléchi en octobre après les nombreuses déceptions sur la saison des résultats. L’approche de l’élection US, très incertaine selon les sondages, pourrait également avoir poussé à la prudence certains opérateurs. Les taux longs souverains ont nettement remonté, en particulier aux Etats-Unis, sur la base d’indicateurs macro susceptibles de donner des arguments aux plus faucons des banquiers centraux. Tous les yeux sont désormais rivés sur le scrutin du 5...
>Weak results on poor demand and cork cost pressure - Weak results, largely in line with our implied estimates (Q3 2024 EBITDA margin of 14.7% and 9M 2024 of 17.6% vs 18% 2024e) were affected by poor volumes and cork cost pressure, which offset the benefits from an increase industrial efficiency, lower non-cork raw material costs and an improved product mix. Sales in Q3 2024 recorded a slight sequential improvement (+0.7% y-o-y) but are still affected by low market vi...
We host our 4th ODDO BHF Iberian Forum on the 1st and 2nd of October 2024 virtually. In total, 63 companies will be presenting. In the following note, we provide some initial feedback of the company on day 1. - >Acciona (=) : Confidence in Non-energy business steady, Acciona Energía stake sparks intense scrutiny - Acciona Energia (=/-) : A trajectory beyond 2024 to be explained at the 9 months results - Acerinox (=/-): Softness persists in Europe and US - Amadeus (=/+): sol...
With regard to our list of recommended stocks, i) we are adding: adidas, Merck KGaA, Santander, Technip FMC, Unilever and Vivendi , ii) we are maintaining ASMi, Atlas Copco, AXA, Deutsche Boerse, GSK, Holcim, Inditex, Lonza, Sodexo, RELX and Rolls-Royce, iii) we are removing: BASF, Nemetschek, Nestlé and TUI AG. - ...
Au sein de notre liste de valeurs recommandées, i) nous faisons entrer : adidas, Merck KGaA, Santander, Technip FMC, Unilever et Vivendi, ii) nous maintenons ASMi, Atlas Copco, Axa, Deutsche Boerse, GSK, Holicm, Inditex, Lonza, Sodexo, RELX et Rolls-Royce, iii) nous faisons sortir : BASF, Nemetschek, Nestlé, TUI AG. - ...
>Results fully in line with estimates, resilient profitability in a tough market - Results fully in line with our estimates (H1 2024 EBITDA of € 94m, +0.7% vs ODDOe, -9% y-o-y) reflecting weak sales (-7.1% y-o-y) both at the Cork Stoppers segment (-7.6%, including Forestry: c.80% of group’s sales and 78% of EBITDA in H1 2024) and the remaining units (grouped under Amorim Cork Solutions segment: -5.2% y-o-y), resulting in operating deleverage, and persistent cost infla...
Dutch real estate companies showed signs of cautious optimism at the recent Provada conference, with logistics and retail favoured. Healthcare shows some positive signs, with limited devaluations. The Dutch government's potential reduction of the Real Estate Transfer Tax and new REIT regime could benefit listed real estate companies active in the country. - ...
Dutch real estate companies showed signs of cautious optimism at the recent Provada conference, with logistics and retail favoured. Healthcare shows some positive signs, with limited devaluations. The Dutch government's potential reduction of the Real Estate Transfer Tax and new REIT regime could benefit listed real estate companies active in the country. - ...
>Unveiling a new organisational structure to face challenging markets - Corticeira held last week its first Capital Market’s Day in Portugal with visits to the Herdade de Rio Frio estate (including a demonstration of the cork extraction process and the forestry intervention project) and some of the different industrial plants (Amorim Top Series, Cork, Flooring and Composites). The group offered details of the restructuring process at the flooring segment (downsizing o...
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