Ackermans & van Haaren: Acquisition of boutique wealth manager Petram & Co. Alfen: Takes care of costs and debt, guidance misses. Arcadis: Solid backlog growth provides comfort. BAM: A friend of ours, 10% yield. CM.com: 2H24 results – FCF positive, capital restructuring. dsm-firmenich: Cash in, cash back. Flow Traders: Roller Coaster. KBC: Encouraging outlook to 2027, poor dividend. RELX: FY24 results – in line, £1.5bn buyback in 2025. Talabat: A beat at its maiden 4Q24 results...
Aperam: 4Q24 EBITDA beats on Alloys and Recycling, 1Q25 guidance subdued. Basic-Fit: Consensus released, preview 4Q24/2024 results due 12 March. Flow Traders: 4Q24 preview. IBA: Framatome and IBA to partner to develop Astatine-211 Cyclotron Network. KPN: ACM approval received for new TowerCo with Dutch pension fund ABP. Orange Belgium: Better 2H24 EBITDAal, mobile net adds; 2025 EBITDAal growth guidance. Recticel: Peer Rockwool 4Q24 results. RELX: FY24 preview. Universal Music Gr...
RELX delivered a solid 9M24 trading update in October. Stable organic growth, and reiterated 2024F guidance lead us to make only minor adjustments to this year's group level estimates. We do, however, slightly increase organic growth in the coming years, primarily due to Legal as we believe the comments made during the division's seminar on 31 October point towards an accelerating growth trajectory in the coming years. Also, incorporating small FX tailwinds leads to EPS increasing by 1% in 2025F...
In this report we evaluate the single-A TMT space. We argue that the notes of Wolters Kluwer, Relx, Swisscom and ASML look attractive. The notes of SAP and Telenor look to trade at fair value. As spread curves trade rather flat, we prefer notes in the belly of the curves. In this note we provide a summary of our general findings, followed by company descriptions.
>7% organic revenue growth with momentum still strong - In its 3Q trading update, RELX reported organic revenue growth of 7% for the first nine months, in line with H1 (7%). Management reiterated its FY outlook and continues to see positive momentum across the group. It still expects another year of strong underlying growth in revenue and adjusted operating profit, as well as strong growth in adjusted EPS at constant currencies (we are at 7% organic revenue growth for...
Acomo: Hot Chocolate. Azelis: 3Q24 not flawless, but organic growth is back. BE Semiconductor Industries: 3Q24 results, putting its money where its mouth is. Ebusco: Rigorous turnaround plan, but many liquidity related concerns; recommendation moves to Under Review. GBL: Looking to take vitamins. Kinepolis: Solid 3Q24 attendance, in line, confident in the movie outlook for 4Q24, 2025. Ontex: Guidance Stumble. Unilever: Momentum maintained. Vastned: End of the disposal program, wa...
We measured the impact of the contribution from Michel Barnier’s exceptional tax on 88 stocks exposed to France. Some 17 of them would experience a (negative) impact on their EPS of more than 4% on average over 2024 and 2025: LDC (-8.3%), Synergie (-8%), Eiffage (-7.9%), ADP (-7.9%), Dassault Aviation (-7%), Crit (-6.9%), Derichebourg (-6.3%), Hermès (-5.6%), Safran (-5.6%), Bouygues (-5.6%), M6 (-5.2%), Thales (-5%), TF1 (-4.9%), Nexans (-4.9%), Vinci (-4.7%), Compagnie des Alpes (...
Nous avons mesuré l’impact de la contribution exceptionnelle Barnier sur 88 valeurs exposées à la France. 17 d’entre elles auraient un impact (négatif) sur leurs BPA de plus de 4% en moyenne sur 2024 et 2025 : LDC (-8,3%), Synergie (-8%), Eiffage (-7,9%) ADP (-7,9%), Dassault Aviation (-7%), Crit (-6,9%), Derichebourg (-6,3%), Hermès (-5,6%), Safran (-5,6%), Bouygues (-5,6%), M6 (-5,2%), Thalès (-5%), TF1 (-4,9%), Nexans (-4,9%), Vinci (-4,7%), Compagnie des Alpes (-4,4%), FDJ (-4%). - ...
>Favourable market conditions likely to have continued in recent months - RELX is set to release its 3Q trading update on Thursday 24 October. We expect market conditions remained broadly similar as to what they were in H1, which is simply benign. Our FY organic revenue growth forecasts for the three large divisions are 4% for STM, 8% for Risk and 7% for Legal. This is all in line with H1. For Exhibitions, after 16% organic revenue growth in the first half, we see 12%...
RELX is a market leader in attractive defensive markets and has a strong competitive moat. We believe that organic revenue growth should accelerate to high single digit in the years to come due to the continued shift towards data analytics/decision tools, resulting in strong EPS growth (9% CAGR 2023-28F). Valuation is attractive relative to peers, and strong cash generation in the coming years (FCF >20% of revenues) should enable sizable shareholder returns and M&A. We initiate coverage on RELX ...
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