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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Adyen: Preview 2H25. Aperam: In-line 4Q25, upbeat medium-term outlook balances short-term consensus risk. Ayvens: Fast Car (UCS normalisation). Barco: 4Q25 preview, mixed performance. Lotus Bakeries: Another beat on every line. Orange Belgium: 2H25 EBITDAal beat on lower sales, much better 2026 guidance. Philips: CMD & 4Q25 preview, execution is key. RELX: FY25 preview. Universal Music Group: Peer Warner Music 4% revenue and 11% OIBDA beat

Konrad Zomer
  • Konrad Zomer
Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Wolters Kluwer, Relx, Aroundtown

Equity prices Relx and Wolters Kluwer lower on new AI product Antropic / Aroundtown accepts €428m in hybrid bonds tender

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Flow Traders: Preview 4Q25 / Kinepolis: January reassures with US box office revenue up 14% YoY, France visitors up 15% YoY / Lotus Bakeries: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / MICC: Peer Mondelez 4Q25 results / RELX / Wolters Kluwer: Anthropic moves into Legal / Signify: Analyst lunch highlights / TomTom: 4Q25 results, bridging a gap / UCB: Evenity sales exceeded US$2.1bn in FY25 as per Amgen

David Vagman ... (+3)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA
  • Thymen Rundberg

RELX/Resilient amid AI chatter/BUY

RELX's 9M25 trading update confirmed a steady continuation of organic revenue growth, consistent with historical trends where there is typically little variance vs 1H performance. The positive update has been not enough to shift investor sentiment around perceived AI risks yet, a concern we believe is overstated given RELX's strong content moats and deep workflow integration. We make minor adjustment to our estimates, including a modest negative FX impact. We keep our BUY rating but decrease our...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Aalberts: 3Q in line, FY margin now low end of guidance. Acomo: Going from strength to strength. Ahold Delhaize: New $860m distribution centre for Food Lion. Azelis: Weak 3Q25 as broadly expected, CFO to step down. Barco: Press release ahead of CMD. BE Semiconductor Industries: 3Q25 Results – Delivered on order intake. Econocom: 3Q25 organic growth down to c.3.4%, full year growth guidance confirmed. Heineken: EverGreen 2030. Kinepolis: Weak 3Q25 as expected, with Netherlands at ...

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN AMRO: 3Q may still support shares to CMD. Aedifica: €13m investment in the Netherlands. Basic-Fit: Strong 3Q25 results; beat on membership ingrowth, on track to reiterated FY25. BE Semiconductor Industries: 3Q25 Preview, order intake is key. IMCD: Acquisition of Dong Yang FT. RELX: Preview 9M25. Signify: 3Q25 preview, more back-end loaded. Staffing: Manpower 3Q25 in line on better revenue trend, 4Q25 outlook cautious. WDP: Results in line, guidance reconfirmed

Jan Frederik Slijkerman ... (+5)
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jeroen van den Broek
  • Jesse Norcross
  • Nadège Tillier
  • Timothy Rahill

Coffee, Croissants & Credit/Inmobiliaria Colonial, Benelux TMT Credits

Real Estate: Inmobiliaria Colonial was back in the market with a green bond; TMT: Benelux TMT Credits - How's it going? Where's the value?

Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

Benelux TMT Credits: How's it going? Where's the value?

These are exciting times in the Benelux TMT markets. In this new Benelux Credit TMT report we discuss the most attractive corporate bonds in the Benelux and wider TMT space and provide insights into the key developments driving the Dutch broadband market. We also discuss recent developments of the names under our coverage: ASML, SES, KPN, Proximus, VodafoneZiggo, Telenet, Wolters Kluwer and RELX. The latter section comes from previously published Flash Notes and have been updated where needed.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

CTP: Good results, continuation of strong demand dynamics. KBC: 2025 outlook, strong uplift post 2Q. RELX, Wolters Kluwer: Thomson Reuters 2Q25 results. SBM Offshore: Guidance up, one-offs play a role. Xior Student Housing: On track, continued focus on pricing and pipeline

David Vagman ... (+5)
  • David Vagman
  • CFA
  • Marc Hesselink
  • CFA
  • Thymen Rundberg

RELX/Onward and upward/BUY

RELX delivered a solid 1H25 performance in our view. The business mix continues to shift towards higher growth data analytics and decision tools across all divisions, resulting in good organic revenue growth and operating leverage, broadly in line with our expectations. As a result, we make only slight adjustments to our growth and margin estimates. We reiterate our BUY rating and lower our target price to €56 per share (from €57), mainly due to FX headwinds.

Jan Frederik Slijkerman
  • Jan Frederik Slijkerman

RELX grows faster than telcos/Company exhibits strong credit metrics

RELX continued its strong performance over 1H25. We appreciate its strong growth profile and healthy balance sheet. We expect the company to maintain A- ratings and therefore prefer the RELX notes over the notes of telecom operators with a BBB+ rating, such as Orange or Verizon.

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