Three Directors at Zavarovalnica Triglav D.D bought 1,017 shares at between 38.900EUR and 39.000EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 56/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's direct...
A director at Salus sold 10 shares at 1,990.000EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 51/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly showing Cl...
We discontinue our coverage of the following stocks, with immediate effect. We caution against using the forecasts, ratings and price target guidance issued previously on these stocks: AD Plastik Arena Hospitality Group Bittnet Ciech Conpet Dogus Otomotiv Ekspress Grupp Fintel Energija Immofinanz Kcell Kernel KGHM Komercijalna Banka NLB Banka Petrol Group S Immo Sava Re Shelly Group (formerly Allterco) STS Group Turk Telekom Turkcell Ulker Zagreb Stock Exchange
EME Equity Market – November 2022 Market performance – Turkey does it again, breezing past everyone else, once more, in November. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 11.6% mom in EUR terms and 16.7% mom in USD. The ISE30 index, again, boasted the best performance among our coverage, adding 18.6% mom in EUR terms and 23.9% mom in local currency (lcl) terms. Positive performances were also recorded in the WIG (+14.0% EU /13.0% lcl mom), the BUX (+12.6% EUR/12.0% lcl mom), the BET (+8.4% EUR/8.6% lcl...
HEADLINES: • Wirtualna Polska: strong 3Q22, with adjusted EBITDA up 30% yoy, 8% above our estimate POSITIVE • Ten Square Games: 3Q22 adjusted EBITDA 4-6% above our and the market's expectations, a mixed October NEUTRAL • Athens Exchange Group: 3Q22 - weak quarter on low ADTV • DataWalk: actual 3Q22 numbers fully in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Sava RE: 3Q22 results review - increase in net profit to EUR18m and annualised ROE to 13.9% • Tupras: subsidiary Entek applies for 1 GW of rene...
EME Equity Market – August 2022 Market performance – Turkey the biggest winner, in a predominantly bad month. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined 1.2% mom in EUR and 2.8% mom in USD terms. Turkey’s ISE index outperformed all other indices, adding 24.9% mom in EUR terms and 25.1% in local currency terms. Hungary’s benchmark, the BUX Index, added 1.1% mom and 0.2% mom in EUR and HUF terms, respectively. Greece’s ASE Index had a muted performance and added only 0.6% mom. All the other indices across ...
HEADLINES: • PKO BP: posts solid 2Q22 results NEUTRAL • Poland macro: GDP slows, but remains well above trend • Cyfrowy Polsat: 2Q22 results - pro-forma EBITDA down 6% yoy to PLN 893m, in line with consensus NEUTRAL • Tauron: 2Q22 results review - strong figures hit by provisions in generation NEUTRAL • KGHM: EBITDA miss, net income beat, negative operating cash flow • Benefit Systems: takeaways from the call, optimistic 2H22E outlook NEUTRAL • Sava RE: 2Q22 results review - annualised ROE de...
HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: 7M22 traffic, strong travel demand driving fares, cheaper fuels leading to a share re • Tekfen: 2Q22 - strong beat, driven by long expected recovery in E&C margins POSITIVE • Aselsan: 2Q22 results - top down beat, but no guidance upgrade POSITIVE • Photon Energy: 2Q22 results review - strong beat, FY guidance hiked POSITIVE • Transelectrica: 2Q22 net profit 44% below our expectations NEUTRAL • Nuclearelectrica: 2Q22 net profit 23% below our expectations • DIGI Comm...
EME Equity Market – May 2022 Market performance – markets down mostly, as MSCI EM Europe Index declines 3.6%. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 3.6% mom and 2.0% mom in EUR and USD terms, respectively, in May. The best-performing index was the Russian MOEX, which added 6.3% mom in EUR terms, but declined 3.7% mom in local currency. However, we note that, with the CBR ban on short selling and restrictions on international investors, as well various sanctions, this performance is not fully comparable ...
HEADLINES: • GTC: 1Q22 - in line, stock cheap, but difficult and uncertain macro may continue to weigh on price • Dom Development: Polish residential - a difficult market environment, but we see value in Dom • Inter Cars: 1Q22 EBITDA 7% below our estimate, on lower EBITDA margin NEGATIVE • Ignitis Group: 1Q22 results review - solid beat, 2022E EBITDA guidance hiked POSITIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: 1Q22 preliminary EBITDA 4% above market's expectations NEUTRAL • Bank of Cyprus: 1Q22 - solid qu...
HEADLINES: • Terna Energy: strategically positioned (stays BUY) • Sava Re: slight discount, despite competitive ROE profile (stays HOLD) • mBank: big beat on bottom line, but operating profit simply solid and not as much of a surprise POSITIVE • Dogus Otomotiv: better-than-expected 1Q22 results POSITIVE • Logo Yazilim: 1Q22 results - small beat, bullish FY22E guidance reiterated POSITIVE • Graphisoft Park: stable 1Q22 results, valuation remains attractive NEUTRAL • InPost: 1Q22 beat on stronge...
Sava Re continues to perform well, so we have increased our price target (PT) to EUR 33.5/share. At the same time, however, we maintain our HOLD recommendation, as the potential upside is c.14.3%. We have updated our estimates and brought them into line with the company’s 2022E plan, noting that it is relatively unlikely that Sava Re will be able to repeat the strong performance of 2021. However, we believe the company is likely to continue to report higher ROEs than the peer group, even though ...
EME Equity Market – March 2022 Market performance – regional benchmarks mostly in the black, despite the MSCI EM Europe Index losing half of its value. Following its decline in February, the MSCI EM Europe Index lost in March as well, declining by 49.5% in EUR terms and 50.1% in USD terms. Russia’s MOEX Index added 13.2% in EUR terms and 9.4% RUB terms (we note that Russian companies’ GDRs are still suspended for trading). The Turkish ISE30 Index added 8.2% in EUR terms and 13.3% in local curren...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: a different world - taking stock of the consequences • European oil and gas monthly: February 2022 • Benefit Systems: recurrent preliminary 4Q21 slightly above expectations, solid card base recovery POSITIVE • Asseco Poland: 4Q21 preliminary net profit at PLN 105m, 2% below our estimate NEGATIVE • Sava RE: 4Q21 results review - strong performance continued in last quarter, ytd ROE at 15.8% • TCS Group Holding: 4Q21 review • Russian equities: which global com...
EME Equity Market – November 2021 Market performance – most markets down, with Czech PX Index (+3.0%) the exception. The MSCI EM Europe Index lost 8.9% in EUR terms and 10.7% in USD in November. Prague’s PX Index added 3.0% in EUR terms and 2.3% in local currency, followed by the Romanian BET Index, which declined 3.2% in both EUR and RON terms. Greece’s ASE Index declined by 3.4% in EUR terms, while Hungary’s BUX Index declined by 6.2% in EUR and 5.0% in HUF. The Russian MOEX Index declined 8.6...
HEADLINES: • 11 bit studios: ongoing projects starting to gain momentum (BUY - transfer of coverage) • Sisecam: acquires majority stake in Ciner's US operations POSITIVE • Halyk Savings Bank: 3Q21 highlights • Piraeus Bank: 3Q21 - solid execution of transformation plan • Sava Re: 3Q21 results review - strong numbers, ytd annualised ROE of 16% POSITIVE • ANY PLC: 3Q21 - on track to book record 2021E revenues, very likely to beat our forecast • Kazatomprom: 3Q21 financial results - seasonally ...
EME Equity Market – October 2021 Market performance – most markets end October in the black, WIG20 +4.1%. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% in EUR terms and 3.4% in USD. Poland was the best-performing equity market, gaining 4.1% in both EUR and PLN terms. The Russian MOEX followed, adding 3.9% in EUR and 1.1% in local currency. The Greek ASE Index added 3.8%, while the Hungarian BUX Index advanced by 2.3% and 2.5% in EUR and local currency, respectively. Turkey’s ISE30 Index gained 0.5% in EUR...
EME Equity Market – September 2021 Market performance – Turkish equities performed the worst, followed by Greek stocks. The MSCI EM Europe Index advanced 4.5% in EUR terms and 2.4% in USD terms in September. Turkey’s ISE30 Index declined by 9.7% in EUR terms and lost 5.2% in TRY terms, while the Greek ASE Index declined 6.3% in EUR terms. In Poland, the WIG20 Index declined by 4.3% in EUR terms and 2.4% in local currency. The Hungarian BUX Index fell by 1.3% in EUR terms, but advanced 1.7% in lo...
HEADLINES: • Sava Re: downgrade amid stellar performance (downgraded to HOLD) • Jumbo: 1H21 review - strong 1H21 results, on cost containment POSITIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: 2Q21 results in line with preliminary estimates NEUTRAL • Enea: 2Q21 results review - fully in line with prelims NEUTRAL • Bogdanka: 2Q21 results review - fully in line with prelims NEUTRAL • Sistema: divests 70% stake in Sistema Capital to MTS for RUB 3.5bn POSITIVE • Mobile TeleSystems: purchases 70% stake in Sistema Ca...
In this report, we have downgraded Sava Re to HOLD (from Buy), with an increased price target (PT) of EUR 30.7/share (from EUR 25.0), offering upside potential of c.13.7%. The downgrade in our recommendation follows the stock’s stellar performance over the past 12 months (+65.0%), exceeding our former PT. We have become more cautious at these levels as, on our PT (c.13.7% upside), Sava Re would trade on a par with its peers on P/BVs and at a slight discount on P/Es. The increase in our PT is the...
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