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Baptiste Lebacq
  • Baptiste Lebacq

Subsea 7 : One of the rare pure players to play the acceleration in su...

>Outperform recommendation. Target price raised to NOK 220 - Post-publication and conference call, we are leaving our EBITDA forecasts for 2024-2026 unchanged. In our view, the group is well placed to: 1/ ride the coming acceleration in offshore capex (we look average annual market growth of more than 15% over 2023-2025e). 2/ and those in investment in renewables in the UK to reduce its reliance in the medium term on Russian gas and in the US under the IRA....

Baptiste Lebacq
  • Baptiste Lebacq

Subsea 7 : Un des rares pure players pour jouer l’accélération du Subs...

>Opinion Surperformance et OC relevé à 220 NOK - Post publication et conférence call, nous maintenons notre séquence d’EBITDA 2024/26 inchangée. Le groupe est, selon nous, bien positionné pour :1/ Surfer sur l’accélération à venir des Capex en offshore (nous tablons sur un marché en croissance annuelle moyenne de plus de 15% sur 2023/2025e). 2/ Ainsi que sur celles des investissements dans les renouvelables au Royaume-Uni pour réduire sa dépendance à MT au ...

Martin Huseby Karlsen
  • Martin Huseby Karlsen

Subsea 7 (Buy, TP: NOK225.00) - On track for long-term growth

Q1 EBITDA was 5–10% above consensus and the best first quarter since 2017. Subsea and conventional performed well, while renewables broke even, although we see it improving with several new projects commencing late-Q1/early-Q2. The tender pipeline is strong, and management said it is in early discussions with clients for work extending towards the end of the decade, providing support for the cycle duration. There were no changes to the 2024–2025e guidance, and we have made limited estimate chang...

ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen

On track for strong earnings growth

Earnings to accelerate in the rest of '24. Strong tendering pipeline in solid cycle. Positive data, limited revisions – BUY, TP NOK 220.

 PRESS RELEASE

Subsea 7 S.A. Announces First Quarter 2024 Results

Subsea 7 S.A. Announces First Quarter 2024 Results Luxembourg – 25 April 2024 – Subsea 7 S.A. (Oslo Børs: SUBC, ADR: SUBCY, ISIN: LU0075646355, the Company) announced today results of Subsea7 Group (the Group, Subsea7) for the first quarter which ended 31 March 2024. First quarter highlights   Adjusted EBITDA of $162 million, up 52% on the prior year period, equating to a margin of 12%Backlog remains robust at $10.4 billion, of which $4.8 billion to be executed in the remainder of 2024High tendering activity supports management’s confidence in the outlook for order intake and margin exp...

Martin Huseby Karlsen
  • Martin Huseby Karlsen

Subsea 7 (Buy, TP: NOK225.00) - Consensus underestimates long-term mar...

We expect regular seasonality in Q1, but believe this is not fully reflected by consensus (we are 10% below on EBITDA). We find consensus too conservative on margin expansion until 2026e. Excluding PLSVs, leases and JV contributions, we calculate consensus EBITDA implies only 1%-point EBITDA margin expansion in 2024–2026. We are 18% above consensus on 2026e EBITDA, and see upside potential to the guided USD250m/year shareholder return in 2026. We reiterate our BUY and have raised our target pric...

 PRESS RELEASE

Subsea 7 S.A. notification of major holding

Subsea 7 S.A. notification of major holding Luxembourg – 19 April 2024 – Subsea 7 S.A. (Oslo Børs: SUBC, ADR: SUBCY) today announced that, on 19 April 2024, Barclays Capital Securities Limited1 informed the Company that it had breached thresholds provided for by Luxembourg’s Transparency Law of 11 January 2008 on transparency requirements for issuers of securities as amended (the “Transparency Law”) as follows: 15 April 2024 On 15 April 2024 the total number of voting rights in the Company according to Article 8 and 9 of the Transparency Law attached to shares held by Barclays was 22,559 ...

 PRESS RELEASE

Subsea7 awarded contract in the Gulf of Mexico

Subsea7 awarded contract in the Gulf of Mexico Luxembourg – 12 April 2024 - Subsea 7 S.A. (Oslo Børs: SUBC, ADR: SUBCY) today announced the award of a sizable1 contract by Talos Energy for the Sunspear development in Green Canyon Block 78, in the Gulf of Mexico. The project involves the subsea tie back of one production well at Sunspear to the Prince platform, 12 kilometres to the north. Subsea7 will install the flowline and related subsea equipment at 500 metre water depths. Subsea7’s Houston office will oversee project management and installation engineering, with offshore work schedul...

Martin Huseby Karlsen
  • Martin Huseby Karlsen

Limited change in EP spending

After reviewing oil companies’ most recent spending plans, we estimate offshore spending growth of c7% YOY for 2024, in line with our November update. Growth is concentrated, with Petrobras being the key driver, favouring service companies with Brazil exposure. Looking ahead, further spending growth is likely to be partly limited by total spending already being on a par with operating cash flow. Delayed energy transition spending is seen as positive for oil services, while recent E&P consolidati...

Baptiste Lebacq ... (+2)
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Jean-François Granjon

ODDO : What if the water deficit undermined energy security?

>Alberta: drought in Canada’s leading oil province - The province of Alberta (Canada) is in a situation of water stress for the fourth consecutive year. On a scale of 1 to 5, the region is currently at stage 4 and if stage 5 were reached the government would be obliged to use directives in order to manage the situation. This province generates significant revenues from the oil and gas industry (around 15% of GDP) and agriculture (wheat, beef, etc.) which are extr...

Baptiste Lebacq ... (+2)
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Jean-François Granjon

ODDO : Et si le déficit en eau mettait à mal l’Energy Security ?

>L’Alberta : sécheresse dans la principale province pétrolière canadienne - La province de l’Alberta (Canada) fait face à un stress hydrique pour la 4ème année consécutive. Sur une échelle de 1 à 5, la région est actuellement au stade 4 et si le stade 5 était atteint, le gouvernement serait alors amené à gérer par des directives. Cette province bénéficie de revenus importants en provenance de l’industrie du Oil&Gas (environ 15% du PIB) et de l’agriculture (blé, b...

 PRESS RELEASE

Subsea7 awarded subsea contract

Subsea7 awarded subsea contract Luxembourg – 3 April 2024 - Subsea 7 S.A. (Oslo Børs: SUBC, ADR: SUBCY) today announced the award of a sizeable1 contract that will be recognised in the backlog of its Subsea and Conventional business unit in the second quarter 2024. The contract is subject to final investment decision, expected in the coming weeks. Offshore activities are scheduled for 2026. No further details are disclosed at this time due to contractual obligations. Subsea7 defines a sizeable contract as being between $50 million and $150 million. ***************************************...

 PRESS RELEASE

Subsea 7 S.A. - Seaway7 awarded contract offshore Poland

Subsea 7 S.A. - Seaway7 awarded contract offshore Poland Luxembourg – 28 March 2024 - Subsea 7 S.A. (Oslo Børs: SUBC, ADR: SUBCY) today announced the award to Seaway7, part of the Subsea7 Group, of a sizeable¹ contract by PGE Polska Grupa Energetyczna and Ørsted for the transport and installation of the substations for the Baltica 2 wind farm, offshore Poland. Seaway7’s scope includes the transport and installation of four substations. Offshore activity is scheduled to take place in 2026 utilising both our heavy lift and heavy transportation vessels. Baltica 2 is a 50:50 joint venture...

 PRESS RELEASE

Subsea 7 S.A. Notice of Annual General Meeting

Subsea 7 S.A. Notice of Annual General Meeting Luxembourg – 27 March 2024 – Subsea 7 S.A. (Oslo Børs: SUBC, ADR: SUBCY) today published and distributed to eligible holders of Common Shares and American Depositary Receipts the Notice of Meeting and supporting material for the Annual General Meeting of Shareholders (the AGM). The AGM is scheduled to take place at 15:00 (local time) on 02 May 2024 at the Company's registered office, 412F, route d'Esch, L-1471 Luxembourg. The holders of American Depositary Receipts (“ADRs”) on record at the close of business on 20 March 2024 and the holders o...

 PRESS RELEASE

Subsea 7 S.A. notification of major holding

Subsea 7 S.A. notification of major holding Luxembourg – 26 March 2024 – Subsea 7 S.A. (Oslo Børs: SUBC, ADR: SUBCY) today announced that, on 26 March 2024, Barclays Capital Securities Limited1 informed the Company that it recently crossed above the 5% threshold (at 5.11%) provided for by Luxembourg’s Transparency Law of 11 January 2008 on transparency requirements for issuers of securities as amended (the “Transparency Law”). On 19 March 2024 the total number of voting rights in the Company according to Article 8 and 9 of the Transparency Law attached to shares held by Barclays was 2,27...

 PRESS RELEASE

Subsea7 Annual Report 2023

Subsea7 Annual Report 2023 Luxembourg – 22 March 2024 - Subsea 7 S.A. (Oslo Børs: SUBC, ADR: SUBCY) announced today the publication of the Annual Report containing the Consolidated Financial Statements for the Subsea7 Group and the Financial Statements of Subsea 7 S.A., the Parent Company, for the year ended 31 December 2023. The Annual Report – in PDF and European Single Electronic Format (ESEF) - is attached to this press release and also available on the Group’s website, . *******************************************************************************Subsea7 is a global leade...

 PRESS RELEASE

Subsea 7 S.A. Conference Call Notification First Quarter 2024 Results

Subsea 7 S.A. Conference Call Notification First Quarter 2024 Results Luxembourg – 21 March 2024 – Subsea 7 S.A. (Oslo Børs: SUBC, ADR: SUBCY) will publish its first quarter 2024 results for the period ended 31 March 2024 on Thursday 25 April 2024 at 08:00 CET. A conference call and simultaneous webcast for the investment community will be held on Thursday 25 April 2024 at 13:00 CET. From 08:00 CET the results announcement and the presentation to be reviewed during the conference call and webcast will be available on the Subsea7 website: Conference call registration:Call:              ...

Baptiste Lebacq ... (+2)
  • Baptiste Lebacq
  • Jean-François Granjon

ODDO : Shareholder returns gearing up

>Supercycle and shareholder returns in the oil & gas sector - After several challenging years in which a number of players were in survival mode, the start of a supercycle signals an acceleration in free cash flow generation for certain players and thus in shareholder returns. This is particularly justified as the groups boast strengthened financial situations as well as good visibility thanks to their backlogs. Sector companies are not yet facing a problem of ab...

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