reports
- Jean Danjou
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
NESN NESTLE S.A.
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ENEL ENEL SPA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
- Jean Danjou
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
NESN NESTLE S.A.
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ENEL ENEL SPA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
Enel : A 2027 strategic plan focused on networks and the dividend
>Outperform rating and target price of € 9.20 maintained - The new management’s second strategic plan was in line with our forecasts, regarding the continuing restoration of financial flexibility with a marked shift in the allocation of resources towards networks and the continuation of a dividend policy based on a 70% distribution rate with a minimum level lifted to € 0.46 per share (vs € 0.43 per share previously). The new guidance for the period 2024-2026 does not ...
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
Enel : Un plan stratégique 2027 centré sur les réseaux et le dividende
>Opinion Surperformance et OC 9.20 € maintenus - Le deuxième opus stratégique du nouveau management est ressorti en ligne avec nos attentes, en ce qui concerne la poursuite de la restauration de la flexibilité financière, avec un virage marqué d’une allocation de ressources tournée vers les réseaux et la poursuite d’une politique de dividendes fondée sur un taux de distribution de 70%, mais avec un niveau minimum réhaussé à 0.4 6€/action (vs 0.43 €/action précédemment...
- Bruno Cavalier
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/18/2024
As expected, US equities welcomed Donald Trump's victory, while European stock markets reacted negatively, also weighed down two days later by a further disappointment on China's stimulus plan. Our sector strategies and baskets of Trump stocks (long or short) have paid off, with a few exceptions that may provide investment opportunities, like Total Energies or Repsol. In Europe, we are maintaining our Underweight recommendation on the Basic Resources, Chemicals, Luxury Goods and Autom...
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
SREN SWISS RE AG
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
HO THALES SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
G ASSICURAZIONI GENERALI S.P.A.
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ENEL ENEL SPA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
BC8 BECHTLE AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
AGN AEGON N.V.
- Bruno Cavalier
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 18/11/2024
Comme prévu, les actions américaines ont salué la victoire de Donald Trump tandis que les bourses européennes accusaient le coup, également lestées deux jours plus tard par une nouvelle déception sur le plan de relance chinois. Nos stratégies sectorielles et paniers de valeurs Trump (long ou short) ont fonctionné, avec quelques exceptions qui peuvent être des opportunités d’investissement, à l’instar de Total Energies ou Repsol. En Europe, nous conservons notre opinion Sous-pondérer s...
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
SREN SWISS RE AG
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
HO THALES SA
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
G ASSICURAZIONI GENERALI S.P.A.
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ENEL ENEL SPA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
BC8 BECHTLE AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
AGN AEGON N.V.
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
Enel : New strategic updated as expected with a focus on shareholders ...
>2024-2027 parameters focused on profitability and resilience - Update of the strategic plan just issued. As expected not a breaking news plan but focus on dividends growth. Investments planned of € 43bn are mainly oriented towards grids (€ 26bn or 60%), € 12bn dedicated to renewables (27%) to add 12 GW of capacities and almost € 2.7bn to customers, of which approximately 85% in countries where the group has an integrated presence. In terms of geography, the focus is ...
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
Enel : New strategic updated as expected with a focus on shareholders ...
>2024-2027 parameters focused on profitability and resilience - Update of the strategic plan just issued. As expected not a breaking news plan but focus on dividends growth. Investments planned of € 43bn are mainly oriented towards grids (€ 26bn or 60%), € 12bn dedicated to renewables (27%) to add 12 GW of capacities and almost € 2.7bn to customers, of which approximately 85% in countries where the group has an integrated presence. In terms of geography, the focus is ...
- Benoit Valleaux
- Emira Sagaama
- Steven Gould
SOON SONOVA HOLDING AG
LRC LEGRAND
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
CA CARREFOUR SA
CBK COMMERZBANK AG
SW SODEXO SA
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
KBC KBC GROUP N.V.
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
RAA RATIONAL AG
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
AUTO AUTO TRADER GROUP PLC
DHER DELIVERY HERO SE
ADYEN ADYEN NV
DTG DAIMLER TRUCK
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
TEN TENARIS S.A.
QGEN QIAGEN N.V.
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
- Benoit Valleaux
- Emira Sagaama
- Steven Gould
SOON SONOVA HOLDING AG
LRC LEGRAND
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
CA CARREFOUR SA
CBK COMMERZBANK AG
SW SODEXO SA
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
KBC KBC GROUP N.V.
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
RAA RATIONAL AG
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
AUTO AUTO TRADER GROUP PLC
DHER DELIVERY HERO SE
ADYEN ADYEN NV
DTG DAIMLER TRUCK
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
TEN TENARIS S.A.
QGEN QIAGEN N.V.
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
Enel : 9M 24 in line, full-year guidance confirmed and CMD on 18 Novem...
>Outperform rating and € 9.20 target price maintained - Enel’s 9M 24 performances were right in line with our expectations. The first nine months were, as expected, driven by generation and marketing operations. Management confirmed its compliance with the 2024-2026 trajectory set out last November and updated following the half-year release. Not much detail on the trajectory given the proximity of the traditional CMD to update the group’s strategy out to 2025-2027. G...
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
Enel : 9M 24 en ligne, guidance annuelle confirmée et CMD le 18/11 pro...
>Opinion Surperformance et OC 9.20 € maintenus - Les performances au 9M 24 sont ressorties parfaitement en ligne avec nos attentes. Les 9 premiers mois ont été, comme attendu, porté par les activités de génération et de commercialisation. Le management a confirmé le respect de la trajectoire 2024-2026 délivrée en novembre dernier et mise à jour à l’issue de la publication semestrielle. Peu d’informations sur la trajectoire ont été délivrées compte tenu de la proximité...
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
ODDO : A gradual weaning
‘Soft landing’... the term is in vogue and we think it aptly describes the current situation in the energy market. After a period of “excess profits”, the fundamentals are back in favour and prompt us to revise down our estimates for energy prices. - Alongside renewable energies, pockets of sustainable value creation are emerging for players capable of capitalising on the structural growth in volatility on the electricity markets but which are nonetheless trading at a discount In ...
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
EOAN E.ON SE
ENI ENI S.P.A.
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
RWE RWE AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
REP REPSOL SA
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
IBE IBERDROLA SA
BP. BP P.L.C.
SHEL SHELL PLC
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
ODDO : Un sevrage dans la douceur
“Soft landing”… le terme est à la mode et nous pensons qu’il caractérise bien la situation du marché de l’énergie aujourd’hui. Après une parenthèse de « surprofits », les fondamentaux reprennent leur droit et nous conduisent à réviser en baisse nos hypothèses de prix de l’énergie. A côté du renouvelable, des poches pérennes de création de valeur apparaissent pour les acteurs capables de profiter de la croissance structurelle de la volatilité des marchés électriques et qui souffre...
FP TOTAL SE
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
EOAN E.ON SE
ENI ENI S.P.A.
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
RWE RWE AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
REP REPSOL SA
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
IBE IBERDROLA SA
BP. BP P.L.C.
SHEL SHELL PLC
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Bruno Cavalier
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 09/09/2024
At the 15th edition of our Corporate Conference, hosted jointly by ODDO BHF and Commerzbank, the presenting corporates were still focused on the macroeconomic environment and the related impact on their sectors. Regionally, the US remains resilient at good levels, while China and Europe are lagging behind. Germany in particular is seen as sluggish. Hence, we observed a mixed picture across the 89 companies presenting at our conference. We were positively surprised by statements from a...
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
EOAN E.ON SE
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
SAN SANOFI
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
MONC MONCLER SPA
IBE IBERDROLA SA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Bruno Cavalier
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 09/09/2024
At the 15th edition of our Corporate Conference, hosted jointly by ODDO BHF and Commerzbank, the presenting corporates were still focused on the macroeconomic environment and the related impact on their sectors. Regionally, the US remains resilient at good levels, while China and Europe are lagging behind. Germany in particular is seen as sluggish. Hence, we observed a mixed picture across the 89 companies presenting at our conference. We were positively surprised by statements from a...
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
EOAN E.ON SE
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
SAN SANOFI
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
MONC MONCLER SPA
IBE IBERDROLA SA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
UN0 UNIPER SE
PUIG PUIG BRANDS
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
ODDO : Curtailments in Brazil, limited impact on Iberdrola, Enel and E...
>Recap of the announcement made by Votalia on 20 August - On 20 August, Voltalia announced that the Brazilian transmission network operator was imposing a sizeable curtailment on some parts of the network which will impact group 2024 EBITDA to the tune of € 40m, if these measures to reduce inflow continue over the next few months and if the group is not compensated financially. The curtailment on production volumes for Voltalia in the northeast portion of the network ...
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
EOAN E.ON SE
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
IBE IBERDROLA SA
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Louis Boujard
- CFA
- Philippe Ourpatian
ODDO : Les effacements au Brésil, peu d’impacts sur Iberdrola, Enel et...
>Rappel des faits annoncés par Voltalia le 20 août dernier - Le 20 août dernier, Voltalia a annoncé que l’opérateur du réseau de transmission brésilien impose actuellement des écrêtements prononcés dans certaines parties du réseau qui impacterait l’EBITDA 2024 du groupe à hauteur de 40 M€, si ces mesures de réduction d’injection se prolongeaient au cours des prochains mois et si le groupe n’était pas compensé financièrement. Le volume d’écrêtement de la production de ...
ENGI ENGIE SA.
EDP EDP-ENERGIAS DE PORTUGAL SA
FORTUM FORTUM OYJ
EOAN E.ON SE
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ORSTED ORSTED
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
GAS NATURGY ENERGY GROUP S.A.
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
IBE IBERDROLA SA
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
UN0 UNIPER SE
- Dave Nicoski
- Ross LaDuke
Vermilion Int'l Compass: Global Equity Strategy
Crude Oil Breaking Below 1.5-Year Support The latest recessionary signal we are seeing includes WTI and Brent crude oil prices violating 1.5-year supports, which only adds to our prior concerns about a weakening labor market and possible recession in the U.S., considering the Sahm rule and Schannep Recession Indicator (SRI) have both triggered. We also discussed last week (August 29 Int'l Compass) how we were expecting the S&P 500, Japan's TOPIX, and Europe's EURO STOXX 50 to "roll over near cu...
- Jerôme Bodin
FME FRESENIUS MEDICAL CARE AG
FP TOTAL SE
AC ACCOR SA
ENX EURONEXT NV
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
DG VINCI SA
WCH WACKER CHEMIE AG
BVI BUREAU VERITAS SA
ADP AEROPORTS DE PARIS SA
ROG ROCHE HOLDING LTD
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
DAI DAIMLER AG
EN BOUYGUES SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
VIV VIVENDI SE
G ASSICURAZIONI GENERALI S.P.A.
ENI ENI S.P.A.
BAS BASF SE
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
CAP CAPGEMINI SE
UCB UCB S.A.
ENEL ENEL SPA
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
UCG UNICREDIT S.P.A.
STM STMICROELECTRONICS NV
DWS DWS GROUP GMBH & CO. KGAA
UMI UMICORE
BESI BE SEMICONDUCTOR INDUSTRIES N.V.
RMV RIGHTMOVE PLC
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
8TRA TRATON SE
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
STLA STELLANTIS N.V.
DSY DASSAULT SYSTEMES SA
FER FERROVIAL SA
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