Markets were calmer last week as investors continue to look towards potential rate cuts in the US in September. Chair Jerome Powell at his Jackson Hole speech on Friday, 23 August, sent strong signals that the Fed is ready to cut key rates. “The time has come for policy to adjust. The direction of travel is clear". Markets now price up to 100bp in US key rates cut till the end of the year and a further 125bp of cuts next year. We view the macro backdrop as supportive for EM credit, while new sup...
EM credit markets continued to hold up well this week amid the ongoing macro volatility, with sovereign spreads continuing to grind tighter despite the further leg higher in US rates. We keep an eye on geopolitical developments and expectations of supply as potential triggers for weakness.
We review PUMA Energy (PUMAFN) following a weak spell and find its bonds attractive, especially the 5% 2026 paper. PUMAFN is a well-run, mainly downstream oil company whose presence in highly-regulated markets insulates it from oil-price fluctuations. We note that the PUMAFN 2026 bond trades wide to a basket of similarly rated peers across various jurisdictions (see second chart). We also note that it is trading at recent wides after going through a tough patch in late March (see first chart). A...
Ford Equity International Research Reports cover 60 countries with over 30,000 stocks traded on international exchanges. A proprietary quantitative system compares each company to its peers on proven measures of business value, growth characteristics, and investor behavior. Ford's three recommendation ratings buy, hold and sell, represent each stock’s return potential relative to its own country market.. The rating reports which are generated each week, include the fundamental details behind...
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