HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: disruption in Middle East operations • Romanian banks: draft government plan suggests new tax on banks is being considered • MOL: to acquire Budapest University of Technology and Economics NEGATIVE • Graphisoft Park: sells residential land plot POSITIVE • CEZ: AGM approves dividend of CZK 47/share NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: to invest in solar power plant in Bulgaria NEUTRAL • OPAP: Greece invites bidders for State lotteries licence NEUTRAL • Short News (BFT, CDR)
HEADLINES: • DO & CO: flying with flavour (stays BUY) • Türkiye macro: CBT keeps rates unchanged • Romania macro: negotiations for the next government remain tough • OMV Petrom: signs supply agreement for its biofuels plant NEUTRAL • EME Strategy: MSCI – 2025 Global Market Accessibility Review
HEADLINES: • Wizz Air: despite setbacks, upside risks may prevail (stays BUY) • Mavi: strong set of results in 1Q25, share buyback programme initiated POSITIVE • Coca-Cola Içecek: investigations launched into the company NEGATIVE • CEZ: ANO proposes State subsidises power prices NEUTRAL • DO & CO: dividend proposal of EUR 2.00/share NEUTRAL • Richter: to voluntarily restrict price of one OTC drug NEUTRAL • Short News (CAR, MBR, SHO)
HEADLINES: • CD Projekt: new tech demo of The Witcher 4 opens State of Unreal event POSITIVE • Lamda Development: 1Q25 results – malls doing well, valuation undemanding, but margins visibility likely a prerequisite for re-rating • GEK Terna: 1Q25 EBITDA jumps 55%, to slightly stronger than expected EUR 136m POSITIVE • MOL: agrees with SOCAR on onshore exploration project in Azerbaijan NEUTRAL • The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: EME indices mostly in the green in May
EME Equity Market – May 2025 EME indices mostly in the green in May, apart from Türkiye. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.6% mom in EUR and USD terms. The Greek ASE index (+7.8% mom) was the best performer, followed by the Czech PX (+6.6% mom) and Romanian BET indices (+5.0% mom), the Hungarian BUX (+4.0% mom) and the Polish WIG20 (+2.0% mom; all in EUR terms). The Turkish ISE30 Index was, again, the worst performer, with a more modest decline (-1.4% mom in EUR terms) this time.
HEADLINES: • Doosan Skoda Power: dividend proposal of CZK 9.76/share, 3.0% dividend yield NEGATIVE • Kety: proposal to pay total dividend of PLN 544.8m, or a DPS of PLN 55.78 and a 6.7% dividend yield NEUTRAL • OTE: spins off towers business, at a valuation of EUR 633m NEUTRAL • EME Strategy: FTSE GEIS June 2025 quarterly review • PCF Group: 1Q25E preview – flat yoy EBITDA expected (due on 29 May) • Short News (KRU, WINE)
The trade war de-escalation has offered some breathing space for investors and driven positive sentiment, but we expect headline volatility to continue. Much of the focus will also be on geopolitical developments. In this report we have reviewed a large number of Turkish non-financial corporates, added the idea to buy SGLSJ'29 and closed the idea to buy WE SODA.
The company reported a clean CCS operating profit of RON 1,257 mn, representing a 32% increase QoQ but a 29% decline YoY. Operational performance remained broadly stable compared to the previous quarter, if we take into consideration that Q4 results were significantly impacted by year-end impairments in the E&P segment totalling RON 630 mn. The results are in line with our expectations and the market consensus, although outlook worsened for the coming quarters.
HEADLINES: • PZU: solid 1Q25 results, ahead of the market's expectations; some upside risk for2025E EPS forecasts POSITIVE • CEZ: 1Q25 beat on distribution and sales segments, disposal of Polish assets POSITIVE • Eurocash: 1Q25 – weak, as expected NEGATIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: strong 1Q25, with a significant net income beat POSITIVE • Sphera Group: 1Q25 softer than expected; FY25E budget below our forecasts NEGATIVE • Banca Transilvania: bottom-line miss, due mainly to asset quality deterior...
OTE has reported a decent set of results, with Greek SR trends slightly better sequentially. The voucher scheme is beginning to support net adds, and this will increase in cadence as the year progresses; another VRS will add additional support to EBITDA.
OTE has reported an uninspiring set of 1Q25 results, with both the sales and adjusted EBITDA flat yoy, at EUR 879m (2% above our forecast) and EUR 350m (in line with our estimate), respectively, due to the Greek segment expansion offsetting the 51% yoy decline in the Romanian segment operating result. We see OTE’s 1Q25 results as neutral, as the adjusted EBITDA is in line with our expectations, while the 2025E outlook has been reiterated by the company.
Q1 group EBITDAaL +1% yoy, as expected; little to get excited about – Q1 results broadly matched expectations, reflecting a stable but rather unexciting performance. Group revenues were rather muted (flat yoy) at €879m, with Greece +0.8% driven by resilient mobile (+1.2%), 2-digit growth in Pay TV, and robust ICT (>10%), offset by lower wholesale, a marginal drop in retail fixed and a drag from Romania (-8% yoy). At EBITDAaL level, Greece delivered +1.8% growth to €329m, aided by payroll efficie...
Q1 group EBITDAaL +1% yoy, as expected; little to get excited about – Q1 results broadly matched expectations, reflecting a stable but rather unexciting performance. Group revenues were rather muted (flat yoy) at €879m, with Greece +0.8% driven by resilient mobile (+1.2%), 2-digit growth in Pay TV, and robust ICT (>10%), offset by lower wholesale, a marginal drop in retail fixed and a drag from Romania (-8% yoy). At EBITDAaL level, Greece delivered +1.8% growth to €329m, aided by payroll efficie...
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