HEADLINES: • Czechoslovak Group: ReArming Europe – from ammo to armour (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Develia: strong handovers in 1Q26 (2.3x higher yoy), slightly disappointing sales (10% lower yoy) NEUTRAL • Kruk: 1Q26 trading update NEUTRAL • Kruk: recommends PLN 20 DPS • Huuuge Games: preliminary 1Q26 revenue at USD 56.5m, down 9% yoy and 4% qoq NEGATIVE • Bank Millennium: to book PLN 190m of FX mortgage saga provisions in 1Q26E NEUTRAL • Budimex: FBSerwis to remain within the group NEUTRA...
HEADLINES: • Allwyn: over the hills and far away – from OPAP to Allwyn, and into growth (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Grupa Pracuj: 4Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA up 6% yoy, 6% above the consensus POSITIVE • Benefit Systems: net addition of 126.5k sports cards in 1Q26, solid growth in Poland POSITIVE • Asseco Poland: key takeaways from the 4Q25 results call NEUTRAL • Budimex: PLN 146m bid selected as most advantageous in Port Polska tender NEUTRAL • Budimex: signs PLN 261m tram depot contract...
EME Equity Market – March 2026 All indices decline, with Greek ASE posting the steepest loss. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 8.0% mom in EUR terms and 10.8% mom in USD terms in March. The Greek ASE was the worst performer (-9.3% mom); followed by the Czech PX (-6.7% mom); the Hungarian BUX (-6.2% mom); the Turkish ISE30 (-5.1% mom); and the Polish WIG20 (-4.5% mom; all in EUR terms). The Romanian BET proved the most resilient, declining just 1.2% mom, in EUR terms.
HEADLINES: • Theon International: model update due to KAPPA and Exosens deals (stays BUY) • InPost: 4Q25 well below expectations due to the UK; only flat FY26E EBITDA guidance NEGATIVE • DataWalk: preliminary 4Q25 results – sales down 26% yoy, to PLN 6.68m NEGATIVE • cyber_Folks: final 4Q25 group results fully in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: management recommends DPS of PLN 0.15 from 2025 earnings NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: announces dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Trade Estates: FFO u...
HEADLINES: • PKO BP: solid 4Q25 numbers – small bottom-line beat, but underlying trends in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Allegro: 4Q25 above the consensus; FY26E guidance in line with our expectations POSITIVE • Orlen: submits new non-binding offer for Grupa Azoty Polyolefins NEUTRAL • CEZ: small 4Q25 beat on EBITDA, 2026E guidance below the consensus NEGATIVE • Colt CZ Group: planning dual AEX listing and a capital increase POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: two exploration projects in Bulgaria now NEUT...
HEADLINES: • Modivo Group: the role of a serial disruptor is never easy (stays BUY) • Budimex: built on solid ground, priced for perfection (HOLD - transfer of coverage) • Budimex: 4Q25 conference highlights NEUTRAL • cyber_Folks / Shoper: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • PGE: PLN 12.1bn loan impairment recognised in stand-alone accounts NEGATIVE • Rainbow Tours: summer 2026E season pre-sales accelerate to +10.9% yo...
We maintain our BUY on Modivo (formerly CCC), but cut our 12M price target (PT) to PLN 142, from PLN 227. Following the successful introduction of its own off-price concept and licensed brands, Modivo switched to another gear, but encountered a wall of weak demand, triggered by a decline in the propensity to consume and the unfavourable weather. From the peak of its inventories in 3Q24, the company has reduced its rotation by 10%, at the expense of a 160bps gross margin investment in FY25E. Stil...
HEADLINES: • Coca-Cola Icecek: 4Q25 results – operational recovery masked by higher tax expenses NEUTRAL • PGE: recognises deferred tax asset of c.PLN 2bn in the Conventional Generation Segment POSITIVE • Tauron: PLN 392m positive impact from impairment reversal in stand-alone accounts; no impact on consolidated results NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: Cyberpunk 2077 available on Xbox Game Pass on 10 March POSITIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: 4Q25 earnings beat, on slowing opex POSITIVE • GEK Terna: surpr...
EME Equity Market – February 2026 Muted performance across the region, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in February. The Turkish ISE was the top performer, adding 5.4% mom in EUR terms; while the Polish WIG and the Romanian BET improved slightly (+0.9% and +0.3% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Czech PX and the Greek ASE were the worst performers (-4.9%, and -3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms), w...
HEADLINES: • Aselsan: master of multi-domain warfare (stays BUY) • EMEA airlines: attack on Iran disrupts global aviation • Rainbow Tours: flattish yoy January sales growth at both the consolidated (+2.6% yoy) and stand-alone (+1.6% yoy) levels NEGATIVE • Huuuge Games: February 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate flat mom NEUTRAL • Ten Square Games: February 2026 Sensor Tower bookings estimate up 33% mom POSITIVE • Auto Partner: 4Q25E preview – 7% yoy EBITDA deterioration expected (due on 15 Apr...
Following Aselsan’s FY25 results release (and its robust operating performance in 2H25, exceeding our expectations in terms of backlog growth, new contract wins and operating margins), we have revisited our investment case for the company and updated our model. A major driver of our upgraded KPI, earnings (and capex) forecasts is the launch (in August 2025) of Türkiye’s massive “Steel Dome” integrated air defence programme, in which (as the project’s prime contractor) Aselsan has already bagged ...
HEADLINES: • Turkish food retailers: resilient in transition (BIM and Migros stay BUY, Sok Marketler stays HOLD) • Budimex: 4Q25 preliminary results in line with the January guidance NEUTRAL • Allegro: 4Q25E results preview – adjusted EBITDA expected to grow by 13% yoy (due on 12 March) NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: MNB delivers long-awaited rate cut • Richter: 4Q25E preview (due on 27 February) NEUTRAL • NEPI Rockcastle: 2H25 results at the top of the guided range NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: 4Q25E...
HEADLINES: • Orange Polska: 4Q25 results – EBITDAaL up 7% yoy, 2% above the consensus; strong 2026E guidance POSITIVE • CD Projekt: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt – Complete Edition available on Xbox Game Pass on 19 February NEUTRAL • Richter: announces R&D collaboration for endometriosis drug candidate NEUTRAL • Romania macro: NBR extends the pause • OMV Petrom / Romgaz: Romania to postpone gas price liberalisation until 2027E NEGATIVE • Romgaz: 4Q25 preview (due on 27 February) NEUTRAL • HELLENiQ En...
HEADLINES: • LPP: 4Q prelims in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Poland macro: NBP on hold • Budimex: bids rank highest in two PSE tenders NEUTRAL • Romgaz: 4Q25 operational results NEUTRAL • Romania macro: positive news • OTE: Greek telecoms regulator launches public consultations on 900MHz and 1,800MHz spectrum POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: sells 283MW UK solar portfolio to Schroders Greencoat POSITIVE • Aselsan: strategic JV agreement with CSG POSITIVE • Erste Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on...
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