Le maintien d’un environnement baissier des taux d’intérêt devrait être porteur pour le secteur immobilier en 2025 et lui permettre de continuer à surperformer. Dans ce contexte, nous privilégions le commerce et le résidentiel allemand , qualifiés de « safe haven » et plus spécifiquement Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia et Xior Student Housing pour un potentiel moyen de +30%. Elles sont les plus à même pour nous d’exécuter leur stratégie de croissance / repositionnement. Nous abaiss...
An environment of further interest rate decline is set to underpin the real estate sector in 2025 and see it continue to outperform. On this basis, we prefer retail and the German residential market, which are seen as safe havens, more specifically Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia and Xior Student Housing for an average upside of +30%. They are the best positioned, as we see it, to execute their growth/repositioning strategies. We have downgraded Branicks, Cofinimmo, Icade and Patr...
We initiate coverage of Heijmans, a contractor focused on the Dutch market, with an Outperform rating and a TP of € 36.5 (DCF based). The Dutch residential market is finally recovering, and we believe Heijmans is well-positioned to benefit due to its land bank and property development arm, driving up revenues while EBITDA margins are expected to exceed 8.5% in the Living unit. Heijmans is also benefitting from strong demand from the infrastructure and energy markets, allowing for soli...
We initiate coverage of Heijmans, a contractor focused on the Dutch market, with an Outperform rating and a TP of € 36.5 (DCF based). The Dutch residential market is finally recovering, and we believe Heijmans is well-positioned to benefit due to its land bank and property development arm, driving up revenues while EBITDA margins are expected to exceed 8.5% in the Living unit. Heijmans is also benefitting from strong demand from the infrastructure and energy markets, allowing for soli...
>Very wide FY 2024e EBITDA guidance confirmed and not narrowed - Yesterday (13 November) afternoon, Patrizia (PAT) reported soft Q3 2024 figures with earnings below our expectations. The management maintained its FY 2024e EBITDA guidance of a very wide range of € 30-60m, instead of narrowing it, with EBITDA still dependent on timing of fee recognition and potential deconsolidation effects during Q4 2024e.Total service fee income declined to € 61.4m (-19.6% y-o-y)...
EQS-News: PATRIZIA SE / Schlagwort(e): Zwischenbericht/9-Monatszahlen PATRIZIA 9M 2024 Geschäftsentwicklung durch Sondereffekte und weiterhin gedämpftes Marktumfeld beeinträchtigt, während sich die Marktstimmung weiter verbessert 13.11.2024 / 15:48 CET/CEST Für den Inhalt der Mitteilung ist der Emittent / Herausgeber verantwortlich. PATRIZIA 9M 2024 Geschäftsentwicklung durch Sondereffekte und weiterhin gedämpftes Marktumfeld beeinträchtigt, während sich die Marktstimmung weiter verbessert Anstieg des eingeworbenen Eigenkapitals um 168,0% ggü. dem Vorjahr auf über 0,7 ...
EQS-News: PATRIZIA SE / Key word(s): Interim Report/9 Month figures PATRIZIA 9M 2024 financial results impacted by extraordinary items and still subdued market environment, while market sentiment keeps improving 13.11.2024 / 15:48 CET/CEST The issuer is solely responsible for the content of this announcement. PATRIZIA 9M 2024 financial results impacted by extraordinary items and still subdued market environment, while market sentiment keeps improving Increase in equity raised by 168.0% y-o-y to over EUR 0.7bn indicating stronger client interest in real asset investment...
We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...
Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...
>PSOE and Sumar spring a surprise in seeking to suddenly abolish the SOCIMI regime - On Monday 11 November, the PSOE reached a tax agreement with its Spanish government ally, “Sumar”, whereby the two parties want to abolish the SOCIMI REIT regime or at least part of its tax advantages. This sudden stance, which surprised Spanish property professionals, is thus different from the position that was presented just last week, namely to “encourage the construction of affor...
>PSOE et Sumar créent la surprise en voulant supprimer soudainement le régime SOCIMI - Ce lundi 11 novembre, le PSOE sont parvenus à un accord fiscal avec son allié au gouvernement espagnol, « Sumar », par lequel les deux partis veulent supprimer le régime SOCIMI ou au moins une partie de ses avantages fiscaux. Cette prise de position soudaine qui a crée la surprise auprès des professionnels de l’immobilier espagnol, diffère ainsi de la position qui était encore mise ...
The rate cut carried out and yet to come (ECB: -125bp to -150bp to come by end-2025e) is a real driver for listed real estate and creates the conditions enabling it to outperform. In this context, we are lifting 23 target prices for the 42 stocks covered. Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia and Xior Student Housing are now our Top Picks. Aedifica (Outperform vs Neutral) should also benefit. Lastly, we are lowering Care Property to Neutral and SFL to Underperform. - >...
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