HEADLINES: • LPP: 4Q prelims in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Poland macro: NBP on hold • Budimex: bids rank highest in two PSE tenders NEUTRAL • Romgaz: 4Q25 operational results NEUTRAL • Romania macro: positive news • OTE: Greek telecoms regulator launches public consultations on 900MHz and 1,800MHz spectrum POSITIVE • Metlen Energy & Metals: sells 283MW UK solar portfolio to Schroders Greencoat POSITIVE • Aselsan: strategic JV agreement with CSG POSITIVE • Erste Bank: 4Q25E preview (due on...
EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • Titan: three deals cemented, more to come (stays BUY) • Eurocash: wins court battle with antimonopoly watchdog POSITIVE • PKO BP: 4Q25E preview (due on 12 March) • Mo-BRUK: 4Q25E – 21% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 23 April) • Hungary macro: MNB on hold • Hidroelectrica: shareholders’ approval for key strategic projects • DIGI Communications: hires Linklaters and Uría Menéndez for legal work in its Spanish IPO NEUTRAL • EME Strategy: MSCI – consultations under way to reclassify...
HEADLINES: • Dom Development: sells 4.4k apartments in 2025, an all-time high POSITIVE • Bank Millennium: to add PLN 487m of FX mortgage saga costs in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • Polish banks: Puls Biznesu on M&A in the Polish banking sector • Titan: Titan America enters agreement to acquire Keystone Cement Company POSITIVE • OPAP: Allwyn merger passes EGM; focus shifts to 9 February exit-right deadline NEUTRAL • Jumbo: 2025 sales +7%, to EUR 1.23bn, as expected; declares EUR 0.50 special DPS NEUTRAL • Turk...
EME Equity Market – December 2025 Czech PX the best performer in December; no market in the red. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.4% mom in EUR terms and 4.6% mom in USD terms in December. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 7.6% mom; followed by the Romanian BET (+7.1% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+6.4% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+0.2% mom; all in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • LPP: profitable growth (stays BUY) • Premier Energy: M&A-driven growth on track (upgraded to BUY) • Polish telecoms: Revolut enters the Polish mobile market NEUTRAL • Pepco Group: 2H25 in line with guidance; FY26 EBITDA and earnings growth guidance of 9%+ and 25%+, 2025-30E EBTDA CAGR of 9%+ POSITIVE • CEZ: cabinet approves step to lower utility bills NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: MNB softens its hawkish tone • OPAP: EGM for merger with Alwyn set for 7 January; preference shares scrapped...
We maintain our BUY on LPP, with a new 12M price target (PT) of PLN 27,522/share (up from PLN 20,842/share). After a turbulent year, the company’s share price has reached our previous PT eventually, but we still see another 35% upside potential. First, with the remaining exposure to its former Russian business written down, we believe that LPP has closed that chapter of its history for good. Secondly, we underline that management has moderated its rollout plans to a still ambitious, but realisti...
HEADLINES: • TBC Bank: rough patch in Uzbekistan, but stock is cheap (upgraded to BUY) • LPP: 3Q25 ahead of expectations; FY25E profitability guidance upped; FY26-27E EBITDA guidance 10-11% above the consensus POSITIVE • cyber_Folks: acquires PrestaShop for EUR 55m POSITIVE • Polish utilities: capacity market auction results for 2030 POSITIVE • Tauron: to build a 600 MW OCGT unit in Jaworzno POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: administrative court ruling on increased landfill fees for 2019 NEUTRAL • Titan: sign...
EME Equity Market – November 2025 Czech PX leads in November, Türkiye the only loser. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 1.5% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in November. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 4.7% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Greek ASE and the Hungarian BUX (+4.4% and +3.7% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Romanian BET and Polish WIG 20 were also in the green (+1.3% and +1.0% mom in EUR terms). The only loser was the Turkish ISE 30 (-2.0% mom in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: the years ahead – 2026-27E • Rainbow Tours: consolidated October sales 20.7% higher yoy, driven by Paralela 45 acquisition; stand-alone sales 14% higher yoy POSITIVE • Alior Bank: c.PLN 105m positive DTA revaluation in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • Bank Handlowy: c.PLN 120m positive DTA revaluation in 4Q25E NEUTRAL • mBank: PLN 125m positive DTA revaluation and estimated 2026E CIT increase impact NEUTRAL • LPP: PLN 788m write-down of Russian assets NEGATIVE • Bank Millennium: ...
The macro backdrop entering 2026E remains broadly supportive for high-dividend strategies across Emerging Europe and the frontier markets, but the opportunity set has clearly narrowed. After a year of sharp repricing across the WOOD universe, the high dividend conditions of 2024-25 have largely disappeared, as a result of many sectors rerating materially. As a result, high-dividend exposure is no longer a broad regional trade: the most compelling opportunities are now concentrated. However, the ...
Dom’s 3Q25 showed resilient profitability, despite a lower average unit price, with revenues of PLN 707m, gross profit of PLN 229m and a 32% gross margin. Strong visibility – 5.6k units sold but not yet delivered, worth over PLN 4.3bn – underpins management’s guidance for more than 2.0k 4Q25E deliveries, which could lift the full-year gross profit to c.PLN 1.1bn, in line with our forecast. Across the Polish cities, demand seems to have strengthened throughout 3Q25, which could support Dom's full...
HEADLINES: • OTE: multiple tailwinds supporting the equity story (stays BUY) • PZU: very strong 3Q25 bottom line, strong beat vs. expectations, but slower revenue growth raises questions for the future POSITIVE • Allegro: 3Q25 above expectations; FY25E guidance trimmed due to slower November NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: 3Q25 results review – adjusted EBITDA down 12% yoy, in line with the consensus NEUTRAL • Grupa Pracuj: 3Q25 results – adjusted EBITDA up 3% yoy, 2% above our forecast and 11% above ...
Please excuse the lateness of our Daily today, due to technical issues. HEADLINES: • Theon International: impressions from the CMD POSITIVE • OTP Bank: books solid 3Q25, in line with expectations; market waiting for management to reveal plans on surplus capital allocation decisions NEUTRAL • Dino: 2-3% EBITDA miss in 3Q25; lfl and EBITDA dynamics behind Zabka; FY25E guidance maintained NEGATIVE • InPost: 3Q25 slightly above expectations; FY25E EBITDA guidance trimmed, on slower Yodel NEUTRAL • ...
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