EME Equity Market – March 2026 All indices decline, with Greek ASE posting the steepest loss. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 8.0% mom in EUR terms and 10.8% mom in USD terms in March. The Greek ASE was the worst performer (-9.3% mom); followed by the Czech PX (-6.7% mom); the Hungarian BUX (-6.2% mom); the Turkish ISE30 (-5.1% mom); and the Polish WIG20 (-4.5% mom; all in EUR terms). The Romanian BET proved the most resilient, declining just 1.2% mom, in EUR terms.
HEADLINES: • Asseco Poland: 4Q25 review – net profit up 4.5x yoy, in line with the consensus; 2026 backlog up 19% yoy NEUTRAL • DataWalk: actual 4Q25 numbers fully in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL • Kety: preliminary 1Q26 EBITDA and net profit above our expectations POSITIVE • PGE: decent 4Q25 preliminary results (adjusted recurring EBITDA 17% above expectations), distorted by one-offs POSITIVE • Tauron: 4Q25 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: announces tender to acquire own...
HEADLINES: • Dino Polska: 12-15% EBITDA miss in 4Q25; bearish guidance for 2026E NEGATIVE • Budimex: full 4Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Budimex: management recommends DPS of PLN 32.42 from the 2025 earnings (4.9% DY) POSITIVE • Inter Cars: preliminary 4Q25 EBITDA in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Kety: full 4Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Murapol: Hampont files for sole control acquisition of Murapol NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: acquires InfraRed Asso...
HEADLINES: • mBank: bid or no bid? • Bank Handlowy: solid 4Q25, giving support to strong dividend yield expectations NEUTRAL • Dom Development: 4Q25 – a good end to a record year NEUTRAL • Tauron: preliminary 4Q25 EBITDA 7% below our expectations, following provisions in the Supply segment; adjusted EBITDA 11% above our forecast POSITIVE • Budimex: KIO orders rejection of company’s offer in Rail Baltica tender NEGATIVE • Benefit Systems: PLN 40.6m provision to be created in the 4Q25E results NEG...
HEADLINES: • Aegean Airlines: 4Q25 – below both our and the consensus estimates • Bank Pekao: management proposes PLN 19.77 DPS • PGE: URE orders PLN 605m payment to the Price Difference Payment Fund NEUTRAL • OPAP: online competition in Greece set to intensify as Superbet preps market entry NEGATIVE • Türkiye macro: CBT on hold, as expected
HEADLINES: • PKO BP: solid 4Q25 numbers – small bottom-line beat, but underlying trends in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Allegro: 4Q25 above the consensus; FY26E guidance in line with our expectations POSITIVE • Orlen: submits new non-binding offer for Grupa Azoty Polyolefins NEUTRAL • CEZ: small 4Q25 beat on EBITDA, 2026E guidance below the consensus NEGATIVE • Colt CZ Group: planning dual AEX listing and a capital increase POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: two exploration projects in Bulgaria now NEUT...
HEADLINES: • BIM: 4Q25 results – strong beat POSITIVE • Enea: preliminary 4Q25 EBITDA 25% below expectations on Supply one-offs; adjusted EBITDA 2% below forecast NEUTRAL • Enea / Tauron: URE orders additional payments to the Price Difference Payment Fund NEUTRAL • PGE: completes acquisition of 350 MW Bałtyk II offshore wind project from RWE NEUTRAL • Warsaw Stock Exchange: PLN 10.7m impairment losses to spoil otherwise strong quarter (due on 23 March) NEGATIVE • Footshop: preliminary 4Q25 resul...
HEADLINES: • Modivo Group: the role of a serial disruptor is never easy (stays BUY) • Budimex: built on solid ground, priced for perfection (HOLD - transfer of coverage) • Budimex: 4Q25 conference highlights NEUTRAL • cyber_Folks / Shoper: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • PGE: PLN 12.1bn loan impairment recognised in stand-alone accounts NEGATIVE • Rainbow Tours: summer 2026E season pre-sales accelerate to +10.9% yo...
February developments have been left in the dust with the opening days of March and the conflict in the Gulf. Oil and gas prices are up; we have already seen refining margins soar; and maybe even petrochemical margins can enjoy a moment in the sunshine.
HEADLINES: • Coca-Cola Icecek: 4Q25 results – operational recovery masked by higher tax expenses NEUTRAL • PGE: recognises deferred tax asset of c.PLN 2bn in the Conventional Generation Segment POSITIVE • Tauron: PLN 392m positive impact from impairment reversal in stand-alone accounts; no impact on consolidated results NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: Cyberpunk 2077 available on Xbox Game Pass on 10 March POSITIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: 4Q25 earnings beat, on slowing opex POSITIVE • GEK Terna: surpr...
EME Equity Market – February 2026 Muted performance across the region, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in February. The Turkish ISE was the top performer, adding 5.4% mom in EUR terms; while the Polish WIG and the Romanian BET improved slightly (+0.9% and +0.3% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Czech PX and the Greek ASE were the worst performers (-4.9%, and -3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms), w...
HEADLINES: • AmRest: 4Q25 miss, due mainly to allegations about food safety in Czechia NEGATIVE • Kruk: 4Q25 results – bit of a mixed bag • Text: 3Q25-26 (calendar 4Q25) results – EBITDA down 25% yoy, 3% above the consensus NEUTRAL • Enea: impairments and higher provisions to reduce 2025 net income by PLN 1.37bn and EBITDA by PLN 162m NEUTRAL • CTP: 4Q25 results and conference call • Richter: 4Q25 beat, on gross margin and tight opex control POSITIVE • Duna House: 4Q25 in line, guidance implies ...
HEADLINES: • Erste Bank: 4Q25 results – net profit beats expectations • PZU: 4Q25 results – in line with expectations • PGE: to book a PLN 0.7bn provision NEGATIVE • CD Projekt: releases Reigns: The Witcher, card-swiping game NEUTRAL • CTP: 4Q25 – both FFO and guidance trail our and the consensus estimates slightly NEUTRAL • Magyar Telekom: 4Q25 results review – EBITDA up 11% yoy, in line with the consensus; conservative 2026E guidance NEUTRAL • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: 4Q25E preview (due out ...
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