Last week’s EPRA conference provided cautious optimism on listed European real estate. The segment offers a mix of risks and opportunities, with discounted valuations presenting attractive entry points. We downgrade Care Property Invest (Underperform vs Neutral, TP €12 vs €13.5); we lower our TPs for British Land, Landsec, Shurgard, and Xior Student Housing; we raise our TPs for URW, Wereldhave and VGP. In conclusion we favour logistics, retail, Spain, and CEE for growth, and Switzerland remains...
EME Equity Market – August 2025 Corrections in Poland and the broader MSCI EM Europe. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 2.3% mom in EUR terms and was flat (0.0%) in USD terms in August. The Hungarian BUX was the top performer, adding 2.2% mom in EUR terms, followed by the Romanian BET (+1.9% mom), the Czech PX (+1.7% mom) and the Greek ASE (+1.4% mom) (all in EUR terms); while there was a muted performance from the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom in EUR terms). The biggest loser was the Polish WIG ...
HEADLINES: • Allegro: August is harvest time (downgraded to HOLD) • Hungary macro: challenging conditions keeping fiscal pressure high • Patria Bank: solid delivery in 2Q25 POSITIVE • Premier Energy: 2Q25 normalised EBITDA in line with our expectations NEUTRAL • 4iG: 2Q25 results review – 11% yoy increase in reported EBITDA, 3% above our estimate NEUTRAL • CA Immo: 2Q25 – continued progress with disposals; cancels treasury shares, launches new buyback • MedLife: takeaways from the 2Q25 earnings ...
While the consensus expectations for the FFO for this year may be reviewed down slightly in wake of the guidance, the cash inflows from property sales need to be reviewed up, in our view. Additionally, while we believe that the market was valuing CA Immo and looking at the per-share metrics excluding the treasury shares, we still welcome their partial cancellation. The new round of buyback could also be supportive for the stock, in our view.
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