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Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Engie : Results above expectations benefiting from a timing effect

>Results above our forecast with strong contribution in Flex Gen and GEMS - Engie released this morning Q1 2024 results that beat expectations. EBITDA came in at € 5.4bn, (-0.7% organic) above our expectation (at € 5,085m). EBIT was down -1.6% organic to € 4,166m vs € 3,835m expected. By division, the renewable segment reported € 712m (+4.3% y-o-y in organic terms, vs ODDO BHF at € 800m), benefiting from very good hydro conditions in France and Portugal and commissio...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Engie : Results above expectations benefiting from a timing effect

>Results above our forecast with strong contribution in Flex Gen and GEMS - Engie released this morning Q1 2024 results that beat expectations. EBITDA came in at € 5.4bn, (-0.7% organic) above our expectation (at € 5,085m). EBIT was down -1.6% organic to € 4,166m vs € 3,835m expected. By division, the renewable segment reported € 712m (+4.3% y-o-y in organic terms, vs ODDO BHF at € 800m), benefiting from very good hydro conditions in France and Portugal and commissio...

 PRESS RELEASE

Ohio State Energy Partners Announces Winners of the Smart Campus Chall...

Ohio State Energy Partners Announces Winners of the Smart Campus Challenge Utensils To-Go Earns $60,000 in Project Funding and Paris Trip with Plan to End the Use of Plastic Utensils at Ohio State HOUSTON, May 08, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Ohio State Energy Partners announced the winners of the Smart Campus Challenge, a competition aimed at fostering innovation and sustainability at The Ohio State University (Ohio State). Sponsored by ENGIE North America (ENGIE), the event showcased eight teams comprising 29 participants, who presented their projects in a format reminiscent of 'Shark Tan...

 PRESS RELEASE

City of Oceanside and ENGIE Announce a 30-year Comprehensive Energy P...

City of Oceanside and ENGIE Announce a 30-year Comprehensive Energy Project Oceanside, California and Houston, May 01, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The City of Oceanside, in collaboration with ENGIE North America (ENGIE), announced plans for a transformative energy initiative aimed at enhancing sustainability, reducing costs and fostering community engagement. This comprehensive 30-year initiative is projected to generate more than $26,000,000 in net savings for the City. It includes significant energy efficiency gains through a series of strategic measures, including: integrating 1.6 mega...

 PRESS RELEASE

ENGIE sees continued strong growth in renewables in the U.S.

ENGIE sees continued strong growth in renewables in the U.S. ENGIE ranks #1 globally as corporate clean power seller during record year in industry. HOUSTON, April 22, 2024 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- , a leader in the Net Zero energy transition, envisions continued strong customer demand for its renewables solutions in the U.S. and aims to grow its number of integrated projects substantially. ENGIE was recently named the top corporate seller of clean power purchase agreements (PPAs) globally in what was a record year for PPAs, according to BloombergNEF’s (BNEF) 2023 full year rankings. Accor...

Ana Arjona-Martinez ... (+2)
  • Ana Arjona-Martinez
  • Antonio Rodriguez Vicens

Inditex : Recent growth acceleration shows structural features, which ...

>Latest data leads us to raise our estimates… - The +11% sales growth at constant FX from the latest trading update compares to the 7.4% we were previously expecting for FY 2024 or to 8.5% for Q1 2024, as mentioned in our latest note on the FY 2023 results, and shows that the company’s trend of strong growth continues. The 5% increase in gross space anticipated for 2024 should easily lead to a c.2% net space contribution. Over the last few years, such new space is co...

Benoit Valleaux ... (+5)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Roland Pfaender
  • MBA
  • CFA
  • CCRA

Phoenix Group : 2023 operating profit a shade ahead of expectations

>Strong growth in new business in 2023 - Phoenix Group reported its 2023 results last Friday. Total cash flow generation was £ 2,024m (35%), beating the group’s updated guidance (around £ 1.8bn), boosted by a big impact from managerial actions (note also that it benefited from a gain of £ 0.4bn relating to the Part VII transfers from Standard Life and Phoenix Life announced last November). Long-term cash flow generation from new business was £ 1,514m (+23%), in line w...

Benoit Valleaux ... (+5)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Roland Pfaender
  • MBA
  • CFA
  • CCRA

Phoenix group : RO 2023 très légèrement supérieur aux attentes

>Forte croissance des affaires nouvelles en 2023 - Phoenix Group a publié vendredi dernier son RN 2023. La génération de cash-flow total a été de 2 024 M£ (35%), supérieure à la guidance actualisée du groupe (environ 1.8 Md£) bénéficiant d’un important impact des actions managériales (rappelons également qu’il a bénéficié d’un gain de 0.4 Md£ lié aux transferts Part VII de Standard Life et Phoenix Life annoncé en novembre dernier). La génération de cash-flow à long te...

Anthony Dick ... (+3)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Michael Foundoukidis
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 03/20/2024

We are upgrading the energy sector to Overweight vs Neutral (excluding Oil Services, already on Overweight). The recent rebound in oil prices is set to continue, driven by short, medium and long-term factors: value, cyclical, little debt and good shareholder returns. Technical analysis reveals a strong trend that is only just beginning. GALP enters our Large Caps list; CellNex exits it. - ...

Anthony Dick ... (+3)
  • Anthony Dick
  • Michael Foundoukidis
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 20/03/2024

Nous upgradons le secteur énergie à Surpondérer vs Neutre (hors Oil Services déjà à Surpondérer). Le rebond récent des prix du pétrole va se poursuivre, soutenu par des facteurs à court, moyen et long terme. Le secteur dispose en outre de 4 atouts dans la configuration de marché actuelle : value, cyclique, peu endetté et bon retour à l’actionnaire. L’analyse technique révèle une tendance forte qui ne fait que commencer. GALP fait son entrée dans notre liste Large Caps ; CellNex en so...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Engie : A growing consistency

>Corporate PPA, visibility, renewables, three recurring themes - We organised a road show over several days on the east coast of the US with Engie’s management and investor relations teams. Of course many topics were discussed but three themes largely recurred in conversations. These covered the advantages stemming from the development of corporate PPA, the improvement in visibility on the outlook and opportunities in the renewables sector. One theme came up again and...

Benoit Valleaux ... (+5)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Roland Pfaender
  • MBA
  • CFA
  • CCRA

Phoenix Group : No major surprises expected to be in store from the 20...

>Sharp increase in new businesses in 2023 - Phoenix Group is due to report its 2023 net earnings on Friday 22 March. These earnings should not hold any major surprises, in view of the preliminary indications already communicated by the group. Phoenix Group indicated back in November that after the Part VII transfer of Standard Life and Phoenix Life to the same entity, it was forecasting operating cash-flow generation of around £ 1.8bn in 2023 (vs an initial target of ...

Louis Boujard ... (+3)
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Philippe Ourpatian

Engie : Une cohérence qui s’affirme

>Corporate PPA, visibilité, renouvelable, 3 thèmes récurrents - Nous avons organisé sur plusieurs jours un roadshow côte Est américaine avec le management et les équipes de relation investisseurs d’Engie. De nombreux sujets ont bien sûr été discutés mais de manière générale trois thèmes sont revenus de manière récurrente dans les échanges. Il s’agit des atouts que procurent le développement des corporate PPA, de l’amélioration de la visibilité sur les perspectives et ...

Benoit Valleaux ... (+5)
  • Benoit Valleaux
  • Roland Pfaender
  • MBA
  • CFA
  • CCRA

Phoenix group : Un RN 2023 attendu sans grande surprise

>Forte hausse des affaires nouvelles en 2023 - Phoenix Group publiera son RN 2023 vendredi 22 mars. Ce résultat devrait être sans grande surprise, compte tenu des indications préliminaires déjà communiquées par le groupe. Ainsi, Phoenix Group avait indiqué en novembre dernier, qu’après le transfert Part VII de Standard Life et de Phoenix Life au sein d’une même entité, il prévoyait dorénavant une génération de cash-flow opérationnel d’environ 1.8 Md£ en 2023 (vs un ta...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+4)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Stefano Toffano

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 13/03/2024

L’année 2024 sera marquée par l’élection présidentielle américaine et l’annonce des rabais pour les 10 médicaments dont les prix sont dorénavant négociés directement par Medicare dans le cadre de l’IRA. Nous tablons sur une croissance des BPA 24e de 8% et relevons nos OC de 1% en moyenne. Nous privilégions GSK (Surperformance) qui allie valorisation attractive, croissance et newsflow. Nous maintenons notre recommandation Surperformance sur Sanofi qui devrait bénéficier d’un catalyseur...

Baptiste Salaville ... (+4)
  • Baptiste Salaville
  • Florent Laroche-Joubert
  • Jean-Baptiste Rouphael
  • Stefano Toffano

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 03/13/2024

2024 is set to be marked by the US presidential election and the announcement of rebates for the 10 drugs for which prices are now negotiated directly through Medicare under the IRA. We forecast EPS 24e growth of 8% and lift our target prices by 1% on average. We prefer GSK (Outperform) which combines an attractive valuation, growth and clinical newsflow. We maintain our Outperform rating on Sanofi which should benefit from a transformative clinical catalyst in H1. We lower our rating...

Ana Arjona-Martinez ... (+2)
  • Ana Arjona-Martinez
  • Antonio Rodriguez Vicens

Inditex : +11% trading update means growth remains strong; in-line res...

>Strong growth remains and opex is fully under control - Inditex’s Q4 2023 results were in line with both the consensus and our estimates at the P&L level due to almost no differences in sales performance (0.1% or € 6m a above our estimates) with gross profit 1.0% above consensus and 1.1% below our estimates (€ 54m above and € 62m below respectively) and with such limited differences maintained in relative terms but reduced in absolute terms at EBITDA level (€ 23m ab...

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