Ahead of Royal Unibrew's Q4'23 report, we increase our '24e-'25e revenue forecasts by 2-4% to reflect higher organic growth in Italy as well as a slightly higher impact from acquisitions in Western Europe.
Mid- and large cap durables missed expectations. Minor revisions to '24e earnings as visibility remains low. Opportunities within E-com and price/value players.
Mid- and large caps beat expectations and got paid for it. Small estimate revisions as visibility remains low. Valuations in the sector offer opportunities.
The main focus is expected to be on price increases, and we expect positive indications on these. We lower our recommendation to HOLD (Buy) following a strong share price increase.
Solid Q4'22 sales, while profitability lagged behind cons. FY'23 guidance not expected to move cons. materially. Case remains intact, but with limited triggers over next 6m.