reports
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
Subsea 7 (Buy, TP: NOK205.00) - Saipem uncertainties reflected
We expect that seasonality and planned maintenance days will affect Q1, and are thus 15% below consensus (our full-year estimates are in line). We believe investor concerns around the Saipem merger are well reflected in the share price, as combined company multiples have come to Saipem stand-alone levels (prior to deal announcement). With cNOK40/share in shareholder returns (c26% of share price) over the next ~18 months, we consider the valuation attractive and have upgraded to BUY (HOLD). We re...
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
Nel (Sell, TP: NOK1.50) - No signs of life on the horizon
With no meaningful orders secured since late 2022, weak backlog coverage for 2025e, production facility shut-ins, an uncertain market outlook, and further uncertainties related to its US expansion plans, challenging times are set to remain. While we are in line with consensus ahead of the Q1 report, our 2025e revenues and EBTIDA are 30% and 52% below consensus, respectively, with weak backlog coverage even on our estimates. Focus ahead should be on maintaining the liquidity runway and any equity...
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- Njål Kleiven
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
Muted 2025 growth expectations
Following Q1 earnings calls by some of the oil service companies, 2025 outlooks appear more challenging than previously. Baker Hughes expects international upstream spending to decline by mid- to high-single digits, while Halliburton sees its international revenues flat to slightly down. Furthermore, Weatherford expects 2025 international revenue to decline by low double- to mid-double digits. Precision Drilling flagged additional rig suspensions by Saudi Aramco, and SLB highlighted a slow start...
SDRL SEADRILL LTD
ARCHERO ARCHER
TGS TGS-NOPEC GEOPHYSICAL COMPANY ASA
ODL ODFJELL DRILLING
AKSOO AKER SOLUTIONS ASA
DO DIAMOND OFFSHORE DRILLING INC.
RIGN TRANSOCEAN LTD.
BWO BW OFFSHORE LIMITED
BORR BORR DRILLING
SHLF SHELF DRILLING LTD.
VAL VALARIS LTD
NE NOBLE CORP NEW
OTL ODFJELL TECHNOLOGY LTD
SDNS SHELF DRILLING NORTH SEA
DDRIL DOLPHIN DRILLING
DOFG DOF GROUP ASA
VTURA VENTURA OFFSHORE
PLSV PARATUS ENERGY SERVICES LTD.
- Steffen Evjen
Weekly news, topics & discussion
This week, Vår Energi reported Q1 results very much in line with expectations. The company also reaffirmed its 2025 guidance and maintained its dividend. Also, OKEA reported a solid Q1, with production and prices slightly above our estimates. While a technical goodwill impairment reduces its dividend basket for 2025, we view this as non-material, as we do not expect any dividends before 2027. Meanwhile, we are 5% below consensus on Q1e EBIT ahead of Equinor’s Q1 results on 30 April (07:00 CET), ...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 25/04/2025
Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target price of NOK49 per share: Reserves addition much larger than expected – YE24 2P reserves were independently estimated at 42.3 mmbbl (+7.6 mmbbl vs YE23, representing a Reserve Replacement Ration of 309%). This figure far exceeds our previous expectation of 34.5 mmbbl for YE24 2P reserves - an estimate that included a 4 mmbbl addition in 1H24 to counterbalance 2024 production. The higher than expected reserves addition is driven by robust reservoir performance in G...
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- Njål Kleiven
- Stian Wibstad
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- Njål Kleiven
- Stian Wibstad
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- Njål Kleiven
- Stian Wibstad
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
ENI capex cut but maintains shareholder returns
Driven by macro headwinds and uncertainty around trade tariffs, ENI was the first large oil company to introduce capex cuts for 2025, contributing to a more challenging business environment for oil services. Over the past five years, we estimate ENI to have been the oil major with strongest offshore spending growth, and it has been considered active and opportunistic while others have been more conservative. Hence, we see its reduction as a soft datapoint for oil services. ENI has optimised its ...
SDRL SEADRILL LTD
ARCHERO ARCHER
TGS TGS-NOPEC GEOPHYSICAL COMPANY ASA
ODL ODFJELL DRILLING
AKSOO AKER SOLUTIONS ASA
DO DIAMOND OFFSHORE DRILLING INC.
RIGN TRANSOCEAN LTD.
BWO BW OFFSHORE LIMITED
BORR BORR DRILLING
SHLF SHELF DRILLING LTD.
VAL VALARIS LTD
NE NOBLE CORP NEW
OTL ODFJELL TECHNOLOGY LTD
SDNS SHELF DRILLING NORTH SEA
DDRIL DOLPHIN DRILLING
DOFG DOF GROUP ASA
VTURA VENTURA OFFSHORE
PLSV PARATUS ENERGY SERVICES LTD.
- ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
- Njål Kleiven
- Steffen Evjen
Solid NCS production in March
The Norwegian Offshore Directorate’s (NOD) preliminary NCS figures for March showed liquids production of 1,972kboed (1.6% above its forecast) and gas production of 351mcm/d (0.4% above its forecast). Overall, production was 4.18mmboed (1.1% above its forecast), flat MOM, but down 4.9% YOY. Company-wise, the February production figures should be well known as most companies have already reported their production figures for Q1.
- Stephane Foucaud
Panoro Energy ASA (OSE: PEN): Reserves addition much larger than expec...
• YE24 2P reserves were independently estimated at 42.3 mmbbl (+7.6 mmbbl vs YE23, representing a Reserve Replacement Ration of 309%). This figure far exceeds our previous expectation of 34.5 mmbbl for YE24 2P reserves - an estimate that included a 4 mmbbl addition in 1H24 to counterbalance 2024 production. • The higher than expected reserves addition is driven by robust reservoir performance in Gabon coupled with the conversion of contingent resources into 2P reserves in EG. • In Gabon, YE24 WI...
- Steffen Evjen
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- John Olaisen
- Njål Kleiven
- Oliver Dunvold
- Stian Wibstad
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
Welcomed tender from Petrobras
Updates suggest Petrobras yesterday launched a new tender for “one or more” deepwater rigs for the Buzios field starting late-2026/early-2027. As it has been a while since the last Petrobras tender, and there has been uncertainty related to the timing of upcoming tenders, we believe a new Petrobras tender would offer relief for investors. As we count nine rigs already contracted with Petrobras to match the start-up window, we expect the requirement would be filled by rigs already in the country,...
- Stephane Foucaud
AUCTUS ON FRIDAY - 18/04/2025
AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ Panoro Energy (PEN NO)C; Target price of NOK47 per share: High production in Gabon – BW Energy reported gross production in Gabon of 39.3 mbbl/d. This equates to 6.9 mbbl/d net to Panoro’s 17.5% WI. IN OTHER NEWS ________________________________________ AMERICAS Galp Energia (GALP LI): 1Q25 update – 1Q25 production in Brazil was 104 mboe/d. Pantheon Resources (PNR LN): Disappointing well test results in Alaska – The Megrez-1 well fl...
- Chaima Ferrandon
- Christian Arnold
- Sven Edelfelt
LHN HOLCIM AG
FP TOTAL SE
HEIA HEINEKEN NV
PUB PUBLICIS GROUPE SA
GET GETLINK SE
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
O2D TELEFONICA DEUTSCHLAND HOLDING AG
EDEN EDENRED SA
IPN IPSEN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
ETL EUTELSAT COMMUNICATIONS SA
BT.A BT GROUP PLC
SESGL SES SA FDR (CLASS A)
DG VINCI SA
PROX PROXIMUS SA DE DROIT PUBLIC
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
NK IMERYS SA
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
KPN ROYAL KPN NV
ORA ORANGE SA
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
TKA TELEKOM AUSTRIA AG
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
FGR EIFFAGE SA
ERIC B TELEFONAKTIEBOLAGET LM ERICSSON CLASS B
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EN BOUYGUES SA
GBF BILFINGER SE
SRT3 SARTORIUS AG PREF
AGS AGEAS SA/NV
UTDI UNITED INTERNET AG
OMV OMV AG
AMUN AMUNDI SA
GAMA GAMMA COMMUNICATIONS
RAND RANDSTAD NV
ENI ENI S.P.A.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
DTE DEUTSCHE TELEKOM AG
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
REP REPSOL SA
CRG CRH PLC
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
DIM SARTORIUS STEDIM BIOTECH SA
INW INFRASTRUTTURE WIRELESS ITALIANE S.P.A.
TIT TELECOM ITALIA S.P.A.
WBD WEBUILD S.P.A.
INX IMCD N.V.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
FNTN FREENET AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
BP. BP P.L.C.
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
VOD VODAFONE GROUP PLC
OBEL ORANGE BELGIUM SA
TEF TELEFONICA SA
NFN NFON AG
DRI 1&1 DRILLISCH AG
SIK SIKA AG
FDJ LA FRANCAISE DES JEUX SA
VK VALLOUREC SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
VIRI VIRIDIEN
- Chaima Ferrandon
- Christian Arnold
- Sven Edelfelt
LHN HOLCIM AG
FP TOTAL SE
GET GETLINK SE
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
DG VINCI SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
NK IMERYS SA
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
FGR EIFFAGE SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EN BOUYGUES SA
GBF BILFINGER SE
OMV OMV AG
VIRP VIRBAC SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
REP REPSOL SA
CRG CRH PLC
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
WBD WEBUILD S.P.A.
ALBFR SIDETRADE SA
FLU FLUGHAFEN WIEN AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
BP. BP P.L.C.
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
SIK SIKA AG
VK VALLOUREC SA
BAR BARCO NV
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
VIRI VIRIDIEN
- Chaima Ferrandon
- Christian Arnold
- Sven Edelfelt
LHN HOLCIM AG
FP TOTAL SE
GET GETLINK SE
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
DG VINCI SA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
NK IMERYS SA
SLB.N SCHLUMBERGER NV
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
FGR EIFFAGE SA
SBMO SBM OFFSHORE NV
EN BOUYGUES SA
GBF BILFINGER SE
OMV OMV AG
VIRP VIRBAC SA
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ENI ENI S.P.A.
GEBN GEBERIT AG
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
P2F PETROFAC LIMITED
IMPN IMPLENIA AG
REP REPSOL SA
CRG CRH PLC
TUB TUBACEX S.A.
SOC SUBSEA 7 S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
SBO SCHOELLER-BLECKMANN OILFIELD EQUIPMENT AG
WBD WEBUILD S.P.A.
ALBFR SIDETRADE SA
FLU FLUGHAFEN WIEN AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
TEC TECHNIPFMC PLC
SNG SOCIETATEA NATIONALA DE GAZE NATURALE ROMGAZ SA
SNP PETROM S.A.
BP. BP P.L.C.
MOL MOL HUNGARIAN OIL & GAS PLC CLASS A
SIK SIKA AG
VK VALLOUREC SA
BAR BARCO NV
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
FUR FUGRO NV
SHEL SHELL PLC
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
TEN TENARIS S.A.
VIRI VIRIDIEN
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.