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ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+5)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Stian Wibstad
PREMIUM
PRS-NO PROSAFE
SUBC-NO SUBSEA 7 ... (+24)

Q1'24 sector preview

We expect strong Q1 reports and bullish management teams. Oil price assumptions up, near-term gas price slightly down. Best risk/reward in AKRBP, VAR, IPC, TGS, ODL, DOFG and SUBC.

PRS-NO PROSAFE
SUBC-NO SUBSEA 7
TGS-NO TGS
BWE-NO BW ENERGY
BWO-NO BW OFFSHORE LIMITED
EQNR-NO EQUINOR
AKRBP-NO AKER BP
DNO-NO DNO
VAR-NO VåR ENERGI
OKEA-NO OKEA
PGS-NO PGS
AKER-NO AKER ASA
AKSO-NO AKER SOLUTIONS
AKAST-NO AKASTOR
SEAPT-NO SEACREST PETROLEO
BORR-NO BORR DRILLING LIMITED
SDRL-NO SEADRILL
PEN-NO PANORO ENERGY ASA
DOFG-NO DOF GROUP
ODL-NO ODFJELL DRILLING
ARCH-NO ARCHER LIMITED
BNOR-NO BLUENORD
IPCO-SE INTERNATIONAL PETROLEUM CORP.
NOL-NO NORTHERN OCEAN LTD.
04/11/24 April 11, 2024 1 EN
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
PREMIUM
PRS-NO PROSAFE

Limited backlog progress in Q1e

Improvement expected in Q1e, but low figures. Limited backlog development. The Floatel playbook works, but needs order intake. BUY.

04/11/24 April 11, 2024 1 EN
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
PREMIUM
PRS-NO PROSAFE

It's all about the backlog build

Soft Q4 from minor operational issues. Floatel playbook shows a refinancing is possible. Controls the available fleet when market tightens.

02/02/24 February 2, 2024 1 EN
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
PREMIUM
PRS-NO PROSAFE

Needs to build 2025+ backlog

Rocky ride in the short term, but preparing for a 2025 crescendo. Significant potential - BUY.

01/18/24 January 18, 2024 1 EN
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+5)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Stian Wibstad
PREMIUM
PRS-NO PROSAFE
SUBC-NO SUBSEA 7 ... (+23)

Q4'23 sector preview

Q4 reports to show improvements and management to be bullish, but investors fear lower oil prices and poorer fundamentals ahead. Best risk/reward in AKRBP, EQNR, TGS, ODL, BORR, DOFG, SUB (all BUY).

PRS-NO PROSAFE
SUBC-NO SUBSEA 7
TGS-NO TGS
BWE-NO BW ENERGY
BWO-NO BW OFFSHORE LIMITED
EQNR-NO EQUINOR
AKRBP-NO AKER BP
DNO-NO DNO
VAR-NO VåR ENERGI
OKEA-NO OKEA
PGS-NO PGS
AKER-NO AKER ASA
AKSO-NO AKER SOLUTIONS
AKAST-NO AKASTOR
BORR-NO BORR DRILLING LIMITED
SDRL-NO SEADRILL
PEN-NO PANORO ENERGY ASA
DOFG-NO DOF GROUP
ODL-NO ODFJELL DRILLING
ARCH-NO ARCHER LIMITED
BNOR-NO BLUENORD
IPCO-SE INTERNATIONAL PETROLEUM CORP.
NOL-NO NORTHERN OCEAN LTD.
01/18/24 January 18, 2024 1 EN
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+5)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Stian Wibstad
PREMIUM
PRS-NO PROSAFE
SUBC-NO SUBSEA 7 ... (+22)

Crude Quarterly Q4'23: near-term, oil price is in OPEC's hands

OPEC will have to extend cuts through Q1'24 before it can increase production. Oil market fundamentals look strong medium- to long-term. Both E&P and oil service shares look highly attractive.

PRS-NO PROSAFE
SUBC-NO SUBSEA 7
TGS-NO TGS
BWE-NO BW ENERGY
BWO-NO BW OFFSHORE LIMITED
EQNR-NO EQUINOR
AKRBP-NO AKER BP
DNO-NO DNO
VAR-NO VåR ENERGI
OKEA-NO OKEA
PGS-NO PGS
AKER-NO AKER ASA
AKSO-NO AKER SOLUTIONS
AKAST-NO AKASTOR
SEAPT-NO SEACREST PETROLEO
KOG-NO KONGSBERG GRUPPEN
BORR-NO BORR DRILLING LIMITED
SDRL-NO SEADRILL
PEN-NO PANORO ENERGY ASA
DOFG-NO DOF GROUP
ODL-NO ODFJELL DRILLING
ARCH-NO ARCHER LIMITED
11/24/23 November 24, 2023 1 EN
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+5)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Stian Wibstad
PREMIUM
PRS-NO PROSAFE
SUBC-NO SUBSEA 7 ... (+23)

Crude Quarterly Q3'23: higher for longer

Oil market fundamentals look strong medium-to-long term. Near term, it all hangs on OPEC. Both E&P and oil service shares look highly attractive.

PRS-NO PROSAFE
SUBC-NO SUBSEA 7
TGS-NO TGS
BWE-NO BW ENERGY
BWO-NO BW OFFSHORE LIMITED
EQNR-NO EQUINOR
AKRBP-NO AKER BP
DNO-NO DNO
VAR-NO VåR ENERGI
OKEA-NO OKEA
PGS-NO PGS
AKER-NO AKER ASA
AKSO-NO AKER SOLUTIONS
AKAST-NO AKASTOR
SEAPT-NO SEACREST PETROLEO
KOG-NO KONGSBERG GRUPPEN
NOR-NO BLUENORD
BORR-NO BORR DRILLING LIMITED
SDRL-NO SEADRILL
PEN-NO PANORO ENERGY ASA
DOFG-NO DOF GROUP
ODL-NO ODFJELL DRILLING
ARCH-NO ARCHER LIMITED
09/29/23 September 29, 2023 1 EN
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+5)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Stian Wibstad
PREMIUM
PRS-NO PROSAFE
SUBC-NO SUBSEA 7 ... (+11)

Crude Quarterly Q2'23: a tad down on oil price assumptions

We have lowered our near-term oil price assumptions for Q3'23-2026e to USD 85 (90) because of slightly lower call-on-OPEC estimates, which is mainly a result of higher assumptions for Russian oil export.

PRS-NO PROSAFE
SUBC-NO SUBSEA 7
BWE-NO BW ENERGY
EQNR-NO EQUINOR
AKRBP-NO AKER BP
DNO-NO DNO
VAR-NO VåR ENERGI
OKEA-NO OKEA
PGS-NO PGS
NOR-NO BLUENORD
SDRL-NO SEADRILL
06/23/23 June 23, 2023 1 EN
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
PREMIUM
PRS-NO PROSAFE

Focus shifting to earnings recovery

USD -6.2m in Q1 EBITDA. Plugging the liquidity gap. Focus on the earnings recovery next year.

05/14/23 May 14, 2023 1 EN
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
PREMIUM
PRS-NO PROSAFE

Entering soft year, but positive industry datapoints

We expect negative EBITDA in Q1e. Liquidity issue this year, leading edge day rates strong. BUY on '24e recovery (TP NOK 200).

05/05/23 May 5, 2023 1 EN
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+5)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Stian Wibstad
PRS-NO PROSAFE
SUBC-NO SUBSEA 7
BWE-NO BW ENERGY
EQNR-NO EQUINOR
AKRBP-NO AKER BP
DNO-NO DNO
VAR-NO VåR ENERGI
NOR-NO NORWEGIAN ENERGY COMPANY
OKEA-NO OKEA
PGS-NO PGS
SDRL-NO SEADRILL LTD.
03/14/23 March 14, 2023 1 EN
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
PREMIUM
PRS-NO PROSAFE

'23e will be tight, '24e should be strong

2022 was quite a strong year for PRS and the sector. BUY on the '24e recovery.

03/01/23 March 1, 2023 1 EN
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