reports
- Clément Genelot
Fnac Darty: services, services and more services on the 2030 menu
Continuing on from its previous plan, Fnac Darty has presented a 2030 strategic plan skewed towards the development of subscription services and the catch-up of Unieuro. We welcome this focus on services in a saturated market where growth and profitability can no longer rely on devices, but expect
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
Suspension of Coverage
From 2nd of June we are suspending coverage of companies below due to a reallocation of resources. Our prior estimates should no longer be used as an indicator for the company moving forward.ADIDASBEIERSDORFCARREFOURDELIVERY HEROESSILORLUXOTTICAHELLOFRESHHermès InternationalHUGO BOSSINTERPARFUMSJUS
ADS ADIDAS AG
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
OR L'OREAL SA
KER KERING SA
ZAL ZALANDO SE
SFL SAFILO GROUP S.P.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
SFER SALVATORE FERRAGAMO S.P.A.
TKWY JUST EAT TAKEAWAY.COM N.V.
CFR RICHEMONT
BEI BEIERSDORF
BOSS HUGO BOSS
DHER DELIVERY HERO
HFG HELLOFRESH SE
RBO ROCHE BOBOIS INTERNATIONAL SAS
EF ESSILORLUXOTTICA
UHR THE SWATCH GROUP
MC LVMH
- Cedric Rossi
Eyewear: what caught our eyes in Q1 publications
Against macro uncertainty and a fluid tariff backdrop, the O&E industry has played its defensive role with an average performance of +15% YTD (vs. soft luxury sample at -5% and sportswear at -11%), supported by reassuring Q1 publications, proactive tariff mitigation initiatives and reiterated F
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #70
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the initial impact of tariffs on the US consumer and economy. Happy readi
- Loic Morvan
Q1 Ferragamo sales in line
Q1 Ferragamo revenues were down 1% on an undemanding comparison basis (-15%), in line with market expectations. Nevertheless, the situation deteriorated in April with a negative trend. We remain cautious on the group's turnaround and expect no sales growth in 2025. We reiterate our Sell recommendat
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #67
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the largest beauty groups in the world. Happy reading!
- Cedric Rossi
EssilorLux: sound performance in Q1 and April
Q1 sales unveiled yesterday reached EUR6.85bn (+7.3% FX-n), fairly in line with market expectations (BBGe: EUR6.85bn and +7.1% FX-n) as the group's strong momentum in EMEA offset a relative softness in North America. More importantly, management confirmed that April performed on par with Q1 across
- Clement Genelot
Fnac Darty: softening trend in Q1
Q1 proved soft with LfL decelerating and turning negative (leap-year headwind, weakening France, competitive Belgian market). No impact on our FY EBIT in line with guidance at this stage, but monitoring French retail data will be key in late Q2-early Q3. Neutral reiterated ahead of CMD on 11th June.
- Cedric Rossi
- Loic Morvan
Luxury goods: The trend should gradually improve in 2025 after a chall...
After a poor 2024 vintage, we expect a gradual recovery during 2025, which will nevertheless remain a soft year as we anticipate an average sales increase of just 4% for our luxury groups sample (+3% excluding Hermès). Q1 is set to be challenging with a 1% average sales decline (-2% excluding Hermès
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #63
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how sub-sectors within our Consumer coverage have fared since the beginni
- Cedric Rossi
US eyewear: black tariff clouds looming over consumers
In our last report a month ago ("Trumping tariffs"), we were relatively optimistic as Donald Trump had only added a 10% tariff on Chinese imports and implemented a 30-day pause on tariffs for imports from Mexico and Canada. However, the situation has darkened since an additional 10% tariff has been
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #61
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how Trump's hectic trade policy impacts US consumer sentiment. Happy read
- Loic Morvan
Ferragamo: visibility on 2025 still poor
2024 results were in line with market expectations. Adjusted EBIT fell 56% to EUR35m, implying a further profitability erosion (-350bp to 3.3%). During yesterday's analysts' call, management stated that the 2025 consensus is achievable (for both top line and EBIT). Given the lack of visibility, we
- Clement Genelot
Fnac Darty: beyond soft core 2025 guidance, what to expect from June s...
Post-FY, we have lifted our PT from EUR28 to EUR30 to reflect a MSD to HSD EPS raise (o/w DD Unieuro integration boost partly mitigated by softer core business). We expect the June CMD to focus on FCF generation with services, new businesses and Unieuro synergies fuelling margin recovery. Beyond a
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #58
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the drivers behdind the busy M&A activity in Beauty. Happy reading!
- Cedric Rossi
EssilorLux: just starting to unleash its tech innovation
FY24 results released yesterday evening showed a 2% beat for Q4 sales numbers, aided by the success of EssilorLux's tech products. The latter impacted FY margins, compounded by FX headwinds and inflationary pressure, resulting in a modest miss on the aEBIT margin (+20bps to 16.7% vs. CSSe at 16.8%)
- Cedric Rossi
US eyewear: Trumping tariffs
With existing duties relatively low compared to other consumer categories, the potential new tariffs that could be imposed by incoming President Trump are naturally sparking concern across the US optical industry. At this stage, we are optimistic about the sector's ability to navigate tariffs: (i)
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
- Philippine Adam
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #51
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at the new record high reached by online shopping during the Cyber Week 2024.
- Cedric Rossi
Eyewear: what caught our eyes in Q3 publications
Q3 publications were generally more mixed than previous quarters with many players flagging polarised consumer behaviour even in the traditionally defensive prescription category. Most companies were relatively optimistic about Q4 thanks to easier comparatives and a more favourable category-mix, wh
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