reports
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
- Philippine Adam
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #47
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at the impact of Donald Trump's election. Happy reading!
- Cedric Rossi
US eyewear: groups embrace the holiday season with cautious optimism
This week, National Vision (NV) and Warby Parker (WRBY) both reported positive Q3 numbers, confirming the first signs of stabilisation within the US eyewear market as the two players address different customer bases and price points. Obviously it was too early to draw conclusions from Trump's win o
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
- Philippine Adam
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #46
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at the growing valuation gap between European and US retailers. Happy reading!
- Clement Genelot
UK Retail: relief on relatively unharmful 2025 budget
The tax increases outlined in the UK's 2025 budget have proved to be skewed towards corporates and wealthy households with the prospect of manageable extra-staff costs for Tesco (Buy) and Deliveroo (Neutral) and better purchasing power prospects, fuelling a continued recovery in grocery volume &
- Cedric Rossi
EssilorLux: Q3 sales miss but rebound already in sight for Q4
Q2 sales released last night came in 2% shy of the CSSe due to weaker-than-expected FX-n growth (+4% vs. CSSe of c.6%) resulting from sequential decelerations in EMEA (temporary in our view) and China (LSD growth vs. +9% in H1). Reassuring, CFO Stefano Grassi confirmed during the call that Q4 sales
- Clement Genelot
Tesco: P10 UK market share on the same trend as recent months
Following the P10 Kantar market share release, we continue to favour Tesco for its exposure to a still-healthy UK grocery market (no deflation, volume/mix no longer negative, no price war in sight until late 2025) and its robust commercial execution currently unlocking strong market share momentum
- Clement Genelot
Tesco: "beat-and-raise" cycle still in motion post-H1
Post-another strong H1 publication and guidance upgrade, we continue to view Tesco as a "beat-and-raise" story with continued ability to lift guidance and positively surprise, and have lifted our FY 2024-26 FCF by c.6% and our PT to 404p. Tesco's exposure to the still healthy UK market combined wit
- Clement Genelot
Tesco: H1 EBIT beat and a welcome FY EBIT guidance upgrade
Post Tesco's strong set of H1 figures (particularly EBIT while sales were just in line), we view the FY retail EBIT guidance upgrade to "around GBP2.9bn" as sufficient enough to please investors and prompt a few estimates upgrades among sell-side analysts. Tesco's exposure to the healthy UK market
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
- Paul Rouviere
- Philippine Adam
On the shelves now: Consumer weekly #41
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the endless reshuffling of European purchasing alliances among food retai
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
- Paul Rouviere
- Philippine Adam
On the shelves now: Consumer weekly #40
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we dig into the strange equation of US purchasing power vs. savings rates. Happy rea
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
- Paul Rouviere
- Philippine Adam
On the shelves now: Consumer weekly #39
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we discuss the Fed's upcoming meeting and rate cut. Happy reading!
- Clement Genelot
Tesco: defensive appeal and earnings momentum overshadow stretched val...
Ahead of the H1 release on 3rd October, we have lifted our FY FCF by c.3% and our PT from 349p to 386p on the back of better market dynamics and Tesco's market share development. While acknowledging the stretched valuation, we continue to favour Tesco (Buy) alongside Ahold Delhaize (Buy) as a conti
- Cedric Rossi
Inditex: strong momentum keeps rolling
Among the four main pillars of its "To the Next Level" strategy, initiatives around Customer Experience (e.g.: store optimisation, roll-out of Zara Streaming Experience, etc.) are delivering the most visible results at both the sales and profit levels. They also support our scenario for profitable
- Cedric Rossi
Inditex: sound Q2 results and current trading
Despite adverse weather conditions during the summer, Inditex has unveiled strong Q2 results this morning with: double-digit FX-n sales growth for the 14th consecutive quarter (+10%) and a solid 100bp-improvement in EBIT margin to 19.2% (CSSe: 18.9%). This momentum has not waned with sales between
- Cedric Rossi
OTC hearing aid market: no worms in the Apple
Among all the innovative products presented at Monday's Apple Keynote, the AirPods Pro 2 stood out for the new OTC hearing aid capability to be included for users with mild to moderate hearing loss, representing EUR1.4bn people globally. While most hearing aid stocks and, to a lesser extent, Essilo
- Cedric Rossi
Fashion: sweet or sour Back-to-School?
While publications of US retailers this week (e.g.: Gap, Abercrombie & Fitch, lululemon, etc) should give the market a clearer view of the US consumer mood, the European consumer mindset is set to be reflected in H&M and Inditex's publications next month. As expected, the summer has been no
- Clement Genelot
Tesco: P08 momentum gains ground in a healthier UK market
Following the P08 Kantar market share release, we continue to favour Tesco for its exposure to a still-healthy UK grocery market (no deflation, volume/mix back to growth, accelerating and looking better than the rest of Europe, no price war until late 2025) and its robust commercial execution curre
- Cedric Rossi
US eyewear: watch out for inflation-weary consumers
Although eyewear players operate in a durable category that enjoys a relatively defensive status, US consumers showed signs of flagging in Q2 as pent-up demand in prescription did not materialise and the sunglass category suffered subdued trends. This cautious behaviour was particularly visible amo
- Cedric Rossi
EssilorLuxottica: expansion of retail operations in Eastern Europe
A couple of weeks after the Supreme and Heidelberg Engineering deals, EssilorLux announced yesterday the acquisition of Optical Investment Group for an undisclosed amount. With a strong footprint already in key markets across Eastern Europe (e.g.: Poland, Czech Rep, Hungary, etc.), EssilorLux is en
- Cedric Rossi
Fashion: will plans to impose duties on cheap goods disrupt Shein and ...
The very competitive prices offered by Shein and Temu stem from their ability to take advantage of tax loopholes allowing parcels to be shipped without having to pay duties and taxes as long as they are under a certain value. As the EU Commission is moving to scrap the EU's EUR150 import tax loopho
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