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ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Fredrik Stensved
  • Markus Henriksson
  • Viktor Stenlöf

Upside potential on estimates

Consensus still too low. Margin expansion is evident. Reiterate BUY and raise TP to SEK 155 (150).

ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Fredrik Stensved
  • Markus Henriksson
  • Viktor Stenlöf

Sweden is set for a comeback

Swedish economy set to outperform in 2025, with buoyant conditions for real estate. Tables have turned since January – more BUYs than SELLs.

ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Fredrik Stensved
  • Markus Henriksson
  • Viktor Stenlöf

Guidance of flat costs in 2024

Consensus expects flat NOI margin in 2024 while margin expansion is evident. Reiterate BUY, TP of SEK 150.

ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Fredrik Stensved
  • Markus Henriksson
  • Viktor Stenlöf
ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Fredrik Stensved
  • Markus Henriksson
  • Viktor Stenlöf

Saved by the bell – now what?

Lower risks of both rights issues and covenant breaches more than reflected after the recent rally. P/CEPS of ~18x with limited earnings growth; four downgrades.

ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research ... (+4)
  • ABGSC Construct. & Real Estate Research
  • Fredrik Stensved
  • Markus Henriksson
  • Viktor Stenlöf

Consensus set to catch up

5% and 14% above cons for '24e-'25e. Changed macro supports DPS in '24e, and we see solid cost-cutting potential.

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