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ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+8)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Olof Cederholm
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 22 April 2024

This week, we're taking a closer look at Ørsted. Despite challenges in the last few years, we now argue Ørsted is back on the right path. We rate the stock a BUY, and set a 12-month TP of DKK 450/sh.

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Haakon Amundsen

Underlying performance highlights challenges

Revenues 39% below cons and softer underlying EBITDA. Backlog down 14% y-o-y is not great for a growth case. In need of volumes - HOLD.

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+8)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Olof Cederholm
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 12 April 2024

This week , we provide some insight into the marginal pricing of electricity markets in Europe, as well as calculation details and a simple calculator where investors can enter their own assumptions.

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+8)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Olof Cederholm
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 4 April 2024

This week, we take a look at cost developments in the offshore wind supply chain.

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+8)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Olof Cederholm
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 27 March 2024

Of our basket of 41 stocks, returns were positive for 33 and negative for 8 over the week. Median performance 4.1%, average 9.9%. Sub-sectors: Wind (3%), Solar (7%), Hydrogen (7%), Cleantech/other (2%).

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+7)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Olof Cederholm
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly - ​21 March 2024

This week we highlight the offshore wind auction for Sørlige Nordsjø II (SNII). The winning bid was from the consortium Ventyr (Parkwind and Ingka Investments) at a price of NOK 1.15/kWh.

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+8)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Olof Cederholm
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 11 March 2024

This week, we take a look at the new rules for deposit return systems in EU, following a provisional political agreement between the European Council and European Parliament representatives last week.

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+8)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Olof Cederholm
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 4 March 2024

On aggregate, the R&Ct stocks underperformed MSCI Nordic by ~13% throughout the season (26 Jan to 4 Mar)

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Haakon Amundsen

Project FIDs determine direction

Operational improvement, cash flow still depressed in Q4. It is all tied to project sanctioning. Market direction key as valuation support is hard to find : HOLD, TP NOK 5.

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+8)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Olof Cederholm
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 27 February 2024

This week, we would like to highlight one of our key long ideas in the sector: Volue (BUY, TP 31.5), which is a Norwegian technology company.

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+8)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Olof Cederholm
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 19 February 2024

This week, we summarise the key takeaways from the Nordic Renewables & Cleantech companies that have reported Q4 figures so far.

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Haakon Amundsen

Challenges around most corners

Q4 earnings likely stable vs. Q3, but negative orders. Medium-term growth outlook challenged. Could be too early to grab a falling knife - HOLD, NOK 5 (8).

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+8)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Olof Cederholm
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 10 December 2023

Of our basket of 42 stocks, returns were positive for 27 and negative for 15 for the week. Median performance +2.7%, average +3.5%. Sub-sectors: Wind (+4%), Solar (+2%), Hydrogen (+4%), Cleantech/other (+4%).

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+8)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Olof Cederholm
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 3 December 2023

Of our basket of 42 stocks, returns were positive for 27 and negative for 15 for the week. Median performance +0.8%, average +2.2%. Sub-sectors: Wind (+1%), Solar (+6%), Hydrogen (+2%), Cleantech/other (+1%).

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+8)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Olof Cederholm
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 26 November 2023

This week we focus on the rapid development of wind turbine size.

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+8)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Olof Cederholm
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 19 November 2023

On aggregate, the R&Ct stocks underperformed MSCI Nordic by ~9% throughout the season (10 Jul to 29 Aug), i.e. before the Orsted warning.

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+8)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Olof Cederholm
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 12 November 2023

This week, we highlight our upgrade of the Bonheur share to BUY (Hold) from Monday.

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+8)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Olof Cederholm
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 3 November 2023

This week, we highlight our upgrade of the Bonheur share to BUY (Hold) from Monday.

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+8)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Adrian Gilani
  • Åsne Holsen
  • Daniel Vårdal Haugland
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Olof Cederholm
  • Stian Wibstad

Renewable Weekly – 27 October 2023

This week, we summarise the key take-aways from Nordic Renewables & Cleantech companies that have reported so far during Q3.

ABGSC Renewable Energy Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
  • Haakon Amundsen

Q3 earnings up but growth trajectory uncertain

EBITDA beat in Q3, but cash flow still depressed. How will the Renewables meltdown impact the hydrogen roll-out? Without valuation support, stock needs sector to improve - HOLD.

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