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ABGSC Healthcare Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Healthcare Research
  • Sten Gustafsson

Solid start to the year

Higher orders and margins in Q1, but lower sales. Adj. EBITA revised up 1.0-3.0% for '24e-'26e. HOLD maintained, TP up to SEK 225 (212).

ABGSC Healthcare Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Healthcare Research
  • Sten Gustafsson
ABGSC Healthcare Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Healthcare Research
  • Sten Gustafsson

Low growth and margin pressure in Q1e

1.6% organic sales growth and margins down in Q1e. Adj. EBITA revised up 0.5-1.7% for '24e-'26e. Target price up to SEK 212 (199), HOLD maintained.

ABGSC Healthcare Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Healthcare Research
  • Sten Gustafsson

Additional spending on quality improvements

Higher costs drove earnings miss in Q4. More costs for quality improvements to come. EPS cut 5.0-8.8% for '24e-'25e, target price down to SEK 199 (219). HOLD.

ABGSC Healthcare Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Healthcare Research
  • Sten Gustafsson
ABGSC Healthcare Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Healthcare Research
  • Sten Gustafsson

Solid Q4 in the cards, outlook more uncertain

4.4% organic sales growth expected, but margins down. Outlook in focus. Target price up to SEK 219 (203), HOLD maintained.

ABGSC Healthcare Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Healthcare Research
  • Sten Gustafsson

Catch-up on lost sales in Q3

19% beat on EBITA in Q3. Slowdown in organic sales growth in Q4e. Earnings recovery reflected in valuation, down to HOLD (Buy).

ABGSC Healthcare Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Healthcare Research
  • Erik Cassel

It should beat '23 guidance

'23 guidance highly achievable; we have 6% organic growth. Momentum will continue, adj. EBITA up 3-2%. Best alternative for healthcare recovery: TP to SEK 300 (280).

ABGSC Healthcare Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Healthcare Research
  • Erik Cassel
ABGSC Healthcare Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Healthcare Research
  • Erik Cassel

Upgraded guidances and strong data

Improving macro situation for higher capex demand and better elective surgery throughput.

ABGSC Healthcare Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Healthcare Research
  • Erik Cassel

Back to beating expectations

Should beat cons Q1e adj. EBITA by 6% on ACT strength. We lift '23e-'25e adj. EBITA by 6-8%. At 14 x '23e EV/EBIT with seemingly de-risked estimates.

ABGSC Healthcare Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Healthcare Research
  • Erik Cassel

New data points to a strong Q1

Improving macro situation for higher capex demand and better elective surgery throughput.

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