CMD Day 2 a master class on Novo's LT sustainable supply edge. FDA approval for SELECT data on label, another long-term advantage. TP DKK 1100 (900) on 2024e P/E rolling ionto 2025e: BUY.
CMD 7 March at HQ in Denmark, Kalundborg site visit 8 March. Positive newsflow likely, supportive for obesity market size. Estimates and TP of DKK 900 unchanged as we await CMD.
Strong Q4 with 43% sales and 66% EBIT growth. 2024 newsflow looks supportive for sentiment and the stock. EPS +3% and TP DKK 900 (860), BUY on obesity and earnings growth.
Strong Q3, and yet still growth acceleration into Q4e. 2024e estimate uptrend theme de-risked after Q3. Novo growing very quickly into its valuation: BUY.
'23 guidance up 9pp due to demand and supply availability. Novo can't spend money fast enough, sizeable margin expansion. '23-'25e EBIT +10-23%, TP DKK 860 (700). BUY on obesity theme.
Q2 EBIT 1-4% light, but solid underlying report. Main drivers Ozempic and Wegovy delivered the goods. Keep BUY, TP 1400 (1250) on peer valuation and growth.
Q2e: 36% CER revenue growth and 53% EPS growth. Low visibility on supply availability, scope for upside to guidance. Attractive 30x '23e P/E opens for a stock rebound. BUY.