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ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen

As expected, only minor changes

Minor changes, new TC as expected. ABGSC '24e EBITDA in line with consensus. TP of NOK 156 (151) – BUY.

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen

No surprises

EBITDA of USD 63m (ABGSCe at USD 65m, cons at USD 63m). No material news, Q2 mid-range guidance slightly below ABGSCe. Share to trade in-line with peers.

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen

Minor revisions

Minor changes to estimates, waiting for chartering news. ABGSC '24e EBITDA in line with consensus. TP of NOK 151 (157) – BUY.

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen

Slight beat, but no charter news for newbuilds

EBITDA USD 74m, 4% above ABGSCe and guidance. No news on newbuild employment. Share to trade in-line with peers.

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen

Too cheap

Tight again from '26e. Still waiting for chartering news - a potential share price catalyst. TP of NOK 157 (183) – BUY.

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen

Still waiting for fixing of newbuilds

Minor estimate adjustments - still waiting for chartering news. ABGSCe Q4 EBITDA +7% vs. cons. TP of NOK 183 (182) – BUY.

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen

Q3 as expected, no news on newbuild employment

EBITDA USD 67m, in-line with ABGSCe and cons. No news on newbuild employment. Share to trade in-line with peers.

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen

Minor adjustments, waiting for news

Minor adjustments going forward. ABGSCe Q3 EBITDA in line with consensus. TP of NOK 182 (163) – BUY.

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen

Q2 slightly below, no news on long-term employment

Adj. EBITDA USD 64m (-5% vs. ABGSC, -4% vs. cons.). "Multiple potential charterers seeking work for the Newbuilds". Share to trade down 0-1% relative to peers.

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen

Soon to enter fixing season

Wide spread in brokers' TC quotes. '24e and '25e EBITDA up 6% and 24%. TP of NOK 163 (166) — BUY.

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen

Exercising options, fixing later

CoolCo exercises the purchase option for two NB LNG carriers. Q3 is fixing season. Significant upside from yield valuation.

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen

Multiple positive catalysts lining up

Term market holding up remarkably well. Spot rates bottoming out, floating storage on the rise. TP of NOK 166 (133) - upgrade to BUY (Hold).

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen

Q1 slightly weaker than expected

Adj. EBITDA USD 68m (-6% vs. ABGSC, -5% vs. cons.). The recent 3Y TC fixture, likely not yet reflected in cons est. Share to trade down 1-2%.

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen

LNG: More downside risk than upside potential

While the LNG trade is expected to continue to grow, fleet growth will be higher, lowering fleet utilisation into 2024e and asset prices should decline; we keep our muted view.

ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Shipping & Transport Research
  • Oliver Dunvold
  • Petter Haugen

Value support is not enough

There is more downside than upside in the LNG market. '23e EBITDA of USD 277m, -2% vs. cons. TP of NOK 133 (134) - HOLD.

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