In our 26 June Crude Quarterly report, we update our oil and gas price assumptions for our covered E&Ps. See the report for more details on our new oil market estimates and our updated price assumptions.
We expect strong Q1 reports and bullish management teams. Oil price assumptions up, near-term gas price slightly down. Best risk/reward in AKRBP, VAR, IPC, TGS, ODL, DOFG and SUBC.
Weak production guidance raises liquidity and covenant concerns in '24. Management needs to deliver to regain market's trust. We cut our TP to NOK 8 (20).
OPEC will have to extend cuts through Q1'24 before it can increase production. Oil market fundamentals look strong medium- to long-term. Both E&P and oil service shares look highly attractive.
Trading update in line, minor changes ahead of Q3. Focus heading into '24: Further production growth and improved pricing. Attractive valuation and short-term multiples: BUY.