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ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius
ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius
ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

Earnings growth slowing

A new ATH operating profit likely for Q1e. Adj. EPS up by 7-8% driven by higher activity and lower costs. Growth is slowing and valuation has risen - HOLD (Buy).

ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

Pan-Nordic market leader for a bargain

Q4 a new ATH quarter but with raised cost outlook. Buyback programme to be initiated in H2'24e – positive trigger. Attractive fundamentals with supportive valuation: BUY.

ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius
ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

ATH report on the cards for Q4

Lower deposit base lowers NII growth in Q4e. Adj. EPS cut by 5-6% driven by lowered NII. BUY maintained with updated TP of SEK 185 (195).

ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

ATH quarter on the horizon

Strong NII growth drives earnings beat in Q3. Estimates up 1-2% - EPS CAGR of 18% in 2022-25e. Too cheap to ignore - we reiterate BUY.

ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius
ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

Robust income despite lower activity

Activity remains soft, while NII is holding up well. Forecast scenario intact, EPS CAGR of 17% 2022-25e. 12m fwd . P/E of 14x with 5% yield – BUY.

ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

Market leader at a discount

Q2 shows benefit of diversified income streams. Estimates only fine-tuned - EPS CAGR of 18% in 2022-'25e. Too cheap to ignore - we reiterate BUY.

ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius
ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

Too cheap to ignore

Activity slowing sequentially, while NII is holding up well. Estimates up by 2% for 2024-25, driven by NII. 12m fwd P/E of 14x with EPS CAGR of 17% 2022-25e - BUY.

ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

Transaction income drives solid Q1 beat

Solid Q1 beat driven by strong transaction income development. Estimates hiked by 2-3% for 2023-2025. TP up to SEK 215 (210), reiterate BUY.

ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius
ABGSC Financials Research ... (+3)
  • ABGSC Financials Research
  • Magnus Andersson
  • Patrik Brattelius

NII boosts growth, improved activity promising

NII and transaction income drive sequential growth in Q1. Our estimates are up by 8-17% for 2024-25, mainly driven by NII. Earnings growth set to accelerate, reiterate BUY.

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