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Performance and valuation data for Nordic real estate stocks as of 19 April 2024.
Muted market outlook - some signs of improvement. Selvaag Bolig down to HOLD (Buy). We favour AFG, MULTI, and VEI.
Q1e: ABGSC is 21% below consensus. UP: Divi cut likely in a prolonged distressed market. Down to HOLD (Buy), TP NOK 40 (45)
Q1e: PTP NOK 251m - second highest Q1 profit in AFG's history. Earnings to double y-o-y in '24e. BUY, TP NOK 155 (145).
Q1e: PTP NOK 2m vs. consensus NOK -16m. Loss-making revenue in the backlog the lowest in 9 years. DPS = EPS = 8-9% dividend yield.
Q1e: EBITA of NOK 131m vs. consensus NOK 120m. Can add ~25% to EBIT through M&A. Trading at ~20% discount to Nordic peers. BUY.
NOK 100m cash inflow from swap reset. Last BEWI tranche accretive to existing shareholders. Implicit yield ~8%. BUY.
Small changes to estimates into report. Large long-term potential. BUY, TP of NOK 135.
Still outperforming expectations. Sees opportunities for larger acquisitions. BUY reiterated, TP NOK 250.
Strong order activity - Q1e book-to-bill 2x. Restructuring of the Norwegian demolition business. CMU in conjunction with Q1'24 report on 23 May. BUY.
Performance and valuation data for Nordic real estate stocks as of 12 April 2024.
Performance and valuation data for Nordic real estate stocks as of 5 April 2024.
Performance and valuation data for Nordic real estate stocks as of 29 March 2024.
Performance and valuation data for Nordic real estate stocks as of 22 March 2024.
Performance and valuation data for Nordic real estate stocks as of 15 March 2024.
Growth momentum picking up. Increased risk on very high US valuation. Best long ideas are: NHY, STB, SUBC, AFG, BONH, NAS, LINK, LSG, TGS, WAWI.
Performance and valuation data for Nordic real estate stocks as of 8 March 2024.
Performance and valuation data for Nordic real estate stocks as of 1 March 2024.
Q4: Weaker earnings, stronger order intake and cash flow. New guidance suggests '24e adj. EBIT of 140-160m. BUY, TP of NOK 14.
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