Competitor amylin data supportive for GUBamy. Strong share price skews risk/reward and limits near-term upside. HOLD (Buy), TP DKK 500 (225), a strong company but fully valued.
Gubra's first year as a public company has been a success. Amylin Phase I project is only just getting discovered. We hike our TP to DKK 225 (135) on raised Amylin assumptions: BUY.
Gubra had hiked full-year guidance on 26 October on the back of strong performance in Q3, where it delivered DKK 43.6m in CRO revenues (+44% y-o-y, +7% vs ABGSCe) and translated the growth into a 31% adjusted EBIT margin for DKK 12.8m in reported EBIT.
Strong but also undramatic Q2, shows case is on track. CRO with attractive 23% growth and 24% adj EBIT margin. We reiterate BUY on long-term value generation.
We initiate coverage of Gubra with a BUY and a TP of DKK 135. High quality CRO growing ~10% p.a. with 35-40% margins. And building portfolio of attractive future biotech cash streams.