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Ana Arjona-Martinez
  • Ana Arjona-Martinez
Ana Arjona-Martinez
  • Ana Arjona-Martinez
Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 30/10/2024

Le scrutin présidentiel US reste incertain, mais le momentum semble être du côté de Donald Trump depuis début octobre : le candidat est désormais en tête dans 6 des 7 swing states, vient de dépasser Kamala Harris dans le vote national et est donné gagnant à 63% chez les parieurs. Nous rappelons les valeurs européennes à privilégier ou à éviter en cas de victoire de Donald Trump, et avons également listé les valeurs européennes ayant une base de production aux US, par nature moins expo...

Konrad Zomer ... (+2)
  • Konrad Zomer
  • Thomas Zlowodzki

ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/30/2024

The outcome of the US presidential election hangs in the balance, but the momentum seems to be with Donald Trump since the beginning of October: the candidate is now in the lead in six of the seven swing states, has just overtaken Kamala Harris in the national vote while 63% of punters are tipping him to win. We recap in the present note on the European stocks to play or avoid in the event of Donald Trump's victory and have also listed European stocks with a production base in the US,...

Ana Arjona-Martinez
  • Ana Arjona-Martinez

Ferrovial : Outperformance driven by strong profitability in construct...

>High margin in construction leads the outperformance - Ferrovial’s Q3 results were slightly ahead of both the consensus (EBITDA 9% above) and our estimates (EBITDA 6% above). However, the outperformance was mainly driven by the construction division, where the EBITDA and EBIT margin came as a positive surprise (7.5% and 5.1% respectively in Q3). Due to the volatility of the business, we remain cautious about the sustainability of the reported margin, however, the ris...

Ana Arjona-Martinez
  • Ana Arjona-Martinez

Ferrovial : 407 ETR: results in line; traffic recovery close to 2019 l...

>Q3 results in line with our estimates… - The 407 ETR’s Q3 2024 results were in line with our estimates, with traffic in the quarter slightly below our estimates after deteriorating a bit vs the previous quarter: traffic was -1.3% in Q3 2024 vs Q3 2019, which compares to the -0.8% in Q2 2024, -9.3% in Q1 2024, -7.2% in Q4 2023, -4.2% in Q3 2023, -5.2% in Q2 2023, -15.3% in Q1 2023, -14.7% in Q4 2022, -12.4% in Q3 2022, -19.4% in Q2 2022 and -34.0% in Q1 2022 (all vs ...

Nicolas David
  • Nicolas David

ODDO : Iberian Forum – Day 2

We hosted our 4th ODDO BHF Iberian Forum on the 1st and 2nd of October 2024, virtually. In total, 63 companies were present. In the following note, we provide some initial feedback from the companies on day 2. - >ACS (=): good operating momentum maintained, Abertis and its dividends on the front page - Atresmedia (=): Q3 should be challenging but outlook reiterated - Befesa (=): zinc prices held up well, offsetting the negative impact of maintenance on Q3 volumes - CaixaBank ...

Ana Arjona-Martinez
  • Ana Arjona-Martinez

Ferrovial : Robust performance across all businesses

>Good operating results with strong profitability improvement in Construction - Ferrovial’s Q2 results were ahead of both consensus (EBITDA 5% above and revenues 8% above) and our estimates (EBITDA 11% above and revenues 2% above) at the operating level. Net profit was positively impacted by a capital gain of € 166m, mainly related to the sale of the 5% stake in IRB Infrastructure Developers, which resulted in a headline figure well above our estimate (€ 280m vs € 7...

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