reports
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Stian Wibstad
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Mahaut Arnaud
- Paul de Froment
- Thomas Mordelle
Tomra Systems: Unsurprising Q3 results
This morning, Tomra Systems reported its Q3 2024 results, broadly in line with our estimates. Q3 2024 sales came in at EUR326m (+6% YoY, vs. EUR308m in Q3 2023) on the back of strong revenues in Collection and improvements in Food. Q3 2024 EBITA stood at EUR44m, (+16% YoY vs. EUR38m in Q3 2023 and
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Stian Wibstad
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Stian Wibstad
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Stian Wibstad
- ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
- Haakon Amundsen
- ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
- Adrian Gilani
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Stian Wibstad
ORSTED ORSTED
HEX HEXAGON COMPOSITES ASA
NEL NEL ASA
SSO SCATEC ASA
EOLU B EOLUS VIND AB
FKRFT FJORDKRAFT HOLDING ASA
CADLR CADELER
VOLUE VOLUE AS
A2QKGG HEXAGON PURUS
ZAP ZAPTEC
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
EWIND EDDA WIND ASA
TOM TOMRA SYSTEMS ASA
IWS-NO INTEGRATED WIND SOLUTIONS
OX2-SE OX2
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Stian Wibstad
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
Nel (Sell, TP: NOK2.50) - Continues to underperform
Reported Q3 EBITDA of NOK-90m was far below consensus (NOK-61m) and our estimate (NOK-69m). The backlog keeps declining, and cash burn continues to exceed our expectations. Still, management remains hopeful, guiding for significantly improved EBITDA in Q4 and sees signs of a market recovery. Nel plans to increase focus on costs and expects 50% lower capex YOY. We had expected even lower 2025 capex, as capacity expansion projects in Norway and the US are completed, and we have thus increased our ...
- ABGSC Capital Goods Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Mahaut Arnaud
- Paul de Froment
- Thomas Mordelle
Nel: Nothing new in Q3
This morning, Nel has reported Q3 2024 revenue at NOK366m (+10% QoQ, +21% YoY), 11.5% below cons. at NOK408m. Another sequential improvement is expected in Q4 (YTD at NOK974m, vs FY24 cons. at NOK1,513m). The quarter followed a pace fairly similar pace to Q2 2024, however with a positive mix effect
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Stian Wibstad
- ABGSC Energy Research
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Stian Wibstad
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
Petrobras set to reduce 2025 capex
Petrobras is expected to reduce 2025 capex from USD21bn to around USD17bn, according to a Reuters article today. Petrobras has a 5-year capex plan, but there are usually changes to its plans, and “current year” / “near-term” spending has a track-record of being revised lower (2024 capex was recently cut c24% to USD13.5bn–14.5bn), as Petrobras has struggled with value-chain delays. The updated spending represents YOY growth in 2025 of c21% (versus c50% earlier). The article mentions equipment pri...
SDRL SEADRILL LTD
ARCHERO ARCHER
TGS TGS-NOPEC GEOPHYSICAL COMPANY ASA
ODL ODFJELL DRILLING
AKSOO AKER SOLUTIONS ASA
DO DIAMOND OFFSHORE DRILLING INC.
RIGN TRANSOCEAN LTD.
BWO BW OFFSHORE LIMITED
BORR BORR DRILLING
SHLF SHELF DRILLING LTD.
VAL VALARIS LTD
NE NOBLE CORP NEW
OTL ODFJELL TECHNOLOGY LTD
SDNS SHELF DRILLING NORTH SEA
DDRIL DOLPHIN DRILLING
DOFG DOF GROUP ASA
VTURA VENTURA OFFSHORE
PLSV PARATUS ENERGY SERVICES LTD.
- ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
- Haakon Amundsen
- Martin Huseby Karlsen
Nel (Sell, TP: NOK3.00) - Headwinds remain strong
While management has remained optimistic, orders have been few and far between, and most recently a large capacity reservation agreement was cancelled. We see growing impairment risk, as payments from one of its largest clients still appear to be missing (c30% booked 2023 revenues). Focus ahead will be to minimise cost burn, while still searching for new orders to support utilisation of its recent capacity additions. We reiterate our SELL, with a reduced target price of NOK3 (3.5).
- Aleksander Erstad
DOF Group (Buy, TP: NOK140.00) - Accretive fleet expansion
The proposed acquisition of Maersk Supply Service is set to position DOF as the market leader in CSVs and large AHTS vessels, giving increased scale in an increasingly sold-out subsea market at attractive terms (24% discount to GAV). We have included Maersk in our estimates, and consider the combined valuation attractive at a 2025e EV/EBITDA of 3.9x and annualised dividend yield of 14% from Q2 2025. We reinstate a recommendation with a BUY and NOK140 target price.
- ABGSC Renewable Energy Research
- Adrian Gilani
- Åsne Holsen
- Daniel Vårdal Haugland
- Haakon Amundsen
- John Olaisen
- Stian Wibstad
ORSTED ORSTED
HEX HEXAGON COMPOSITES ASA
NEL NEL ASA
SSO SCATEC ASA
EOLU B EOLUS VIND AB
FKRFT FJORDKRAFT HOLDING ASA
CADLR CADELER
VOLUE VOLUE AS
A2QKGG HEXAGON PURUS
AKH AKER HORIZONS
ZAP ZAPTEC
VWS VESTAS WIND SYSTEMS
EWIND EDDA WIND ASA
TOM TOMRA SYSTEMS ASA
IWS-NO INTEGRATED WIND SOLUTIONS
OX2-SE OX2
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