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ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
PREMIUM
ARCH-NO ARCHER LIMITED

Delivering steady improvements

Solid Q1, we increase '24e EBITDA by 2%. 2024 guidance reiterated, looks robust. Still attractive - Note the reverse share split - BUY - TP NOK 37 (1.5).

05/08/24 May 8, 2024 1 EN
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+5)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Stian Wibstad
PREMIUM
PRS-NO PROSAFE
SUBC-NO SUBSEA 7 ... (+24)

Q1'24 sector preview

We expect strong Q1 reports and bullish management teams. Oil price assumptions up, near-term gas price slightly down. Best risk/reward in AKRBP, VAR, IPC, TGS, ODL, DOFG and SUBC.

PRS-NO PROSAFE
SUBC-NO SUBSEA 7
TGS-NO TGS
BWE-NO BW ENERGY
BWO-NO BW OFFSHORE LIMITED
EQNR-NO EQUINOR
AKRBP-NO AKER BP
DNO-NO DNO
VAR-NO VåR ENERGI
OKEA-NO OKEA
PGS-NO PGS
AKER-NO AKER ASA
AKSO-NO AKER SOLUTIONS
AKAST-NO AKASTOR
SEAPT-NO SEACREST PETROLEO
BORR-NO BORR DRILLING LIMITED
SDRL-NO SEADRILL
PEN-NO PANORO ENERGY ASA
DOFG-NO DOF GROUP
ODL-NO ODFJELL DRILLING
ARCH-NO ARCHER LIMITED
BNOR-NO BLUENORD
IPCO-SE INTERNATIONAL PETROLEUM CORP.
NOL-NO NORTHERN OCEAN LTD.
04/11/24 April 11, 2024 1 EN
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
PREMIUM
ARCH-NO ARCHER LIMITED

Tempting free cash flow yield

Some earnings growth y-o-y in Q1e, acceleration later on. Slight tweak to EBITDA estimates on loss of 3 Equinor rigs. >30% FCF yield to equity - BUY, TP NOK 1.5 (1.3).

04/11/24 April 11, 2024 1 EN
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
PREMIUM
ARCH-NO ARCHER LIMITED

Steady deleveraging to boost equity

Solid Q4. Positive 2024 guidance lifts estimates. Leverage now working to equity's advantage - BUY.

03/01/24 March 1, 2024 1 EN
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+5)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Stian Wibstad
PREMIUM
PRS-NO PROSAFE
SUBC-NO SUBSEA 7 ... (+23)

Q4'23 sector preview

Q4 reports to show improvements and management to be bullish, but investors fear lower oil prices and poorer fundamentals ahead. Best risk/reward in AKRBP, EQNR, TGS, ODL, BORR, DOFG, SUB (all BUY).

PRS-NO PROSAFE
SUBC-NO SUBSEA 7
TGS-NO TGS
BWE-NO BW ENERGY
BWO-NO BW OFFSHORE LIMITED
EQNR-NO EQUINOR
AKRBP-NO AKER BP
DNO-NO DNO
VAR-NO VåR ENERGI
OKEA-NO OKEA
PGS-NO PGS
AKER-NO AKER ASA
AKSO-NO AKER SOLUTIONS
AKAST-NO AKASTOR
BORR-NO BORR DRILLING LIMITED
SDRL-NO SEADRILL
PEN-NO PANORO ENERGY ASA
DOFG-NO DOF GROUP
ODL-NO ODFJELL DRILLING
ARCH-NO ARCHER LIMITED
BNOR-NO BLUENORD
IPCO-SE INTERNATIONAL PETROLEUM CORP.
NOL-NO NORTHERN OCEAN LTD.
01/18/24 January 18, 2024 1 EN
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
PREMIUM
ARCH-NO ARCHER LIMITED

Continues to slowly deleverage

Q4e likely another positive step. Deleveraging to continue. Low valuation - BUY.

01/18/24 January 18, 2024 1 EN
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+5)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Stian Wibstad
PREMIUM
PRS-NO PROSAFE
SUBC-NO SUBSEA 7 ... (+22)

Crude Quarterly Q4'23: near-term, oil price is in OPEC's hands

OPEC will have to extend cuts through Q1'24 before it can increase production. Oil market fundamentals look strong medium- to long-term. Both E&P and oil service shares look highly attractive.

PRS-NO PROSAFE
SUBC-NO SUBSEA 7
TGS-NO TGS
BWE-NO BW ENERGY
BWO-NO BW OFFSHORE LIMITED
EQNR-NO EQUINOR
AKRBP-NO AKER BP
DNO-NO DNO
VAR-NO VåR ENERGI
OKEA-NO OKEA
PGS-NO PGS
AKER-NO AKER ASA
AKSO-NO AKER SOLUTIONS
AKAST-NO AKASTOR
SEAPT-NO SEACREST PETROLEO
KOG-NO KONGSBERG GRUPPEN
BORR-NO BORR DRILLING LIMITED
SDRL-NO SEADRILL
PEN-NO PANORO ENERGY ASA
DOFG-NO DOF GROUP
ODL-NO ODFJELL DRILLING
ARCH-NO ARCHER LIMITED
11/24/23 November 24, 2023 1 EN
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
PREMIUM
ARCH-NO ARCHER LIMITED

In the right direction

Q3 showed that Archer is performing well, and deleveraging continues. We reiterate BUY and our TP of NOK 1.3.

11/06/23 November 6, 2023 1 EN
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
PREMIUM
ARCH-NO ARCHER LIMITED

Benefitting from stronger markets

Q3 likely decent outside Argentina. Strong market momentum continues. Stick to BUY – TP NOK 1.3.

10/27/23 October 27, 2023 1 EN
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+5)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
  • John Olaisen
  • Martin Mauseth
  • Stian Wibstad
PREMIUM
PRS-NO PROSAFE
SUBC-NO SUBSEA 7 ... (+23)

Crude Quarterly Q3'23: higher for longer

Oil market fundamentals look strong medium-to-long term. Near term, it all hangs on OPEC. Both E&P and oil service shares look highly attractive.

PRS-NO PROSAFE
SUBC-NO SUBSEA 7
TGS-NO TGS
BWE-NO BW ENERGY
BWO-NO BW OFFSHORE LIMITED
EQNR-NO EQUINOR
AKRBP-NO AKER BP
DNO-NO DNO
VAR-NO VåR ENERGI
OKEA-NO OKEA
PGS-NO PGS
AKER-NO AKER ASA
AKSO-NO AKER SOLUTIONS
AKAST-NO AKASTOR
SEAPT-NO SEACREST PETROLEO
KOG-NO KONGSBERG GRUPPEN
NOR-NO BLUENORD
BORR-NO BORR DRILLING LIMITED
SDRL-NO SEADRILL
PEN-NO PANORO ENERGY ASA
DOFG-NO DOF GROUP
ODL-NO ODFJELL DRILLING
ARCH-NO ARCHER LIMITED
09/29/23 September 29, 2023 1 EN
ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research ... (+2)
  • ABGSC Oil & Oil Services Research
  • Haakon Amundsen
PREMIUM
ARCH-NO ARCHER LIMITED

The path of least resistance is up

Dilutive restructuring is behind us. Q2 showed it has positive momentum. More positive as financial risk reduced - BUY (Hold) TP NOK 1.3.

08/22/23 August 22, 2023 1 EN
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