Sur 2026, nous estimons que la dynamique sera plus favorable aux majors européennes tant sur le RASK (croissance plus modérée des capacités et meilleure orientation du réseau long-courrier en particulier transatlantique), que sur le CASK hors carburant aidé par des effets de base positifs. Nous relevons notre opinion à Surperformance sur Air France-KLM et Lufthansa et dégradons Ryanair en Neutre et Wizz Air en Sous-performance.
For 2026, we think that the trend will be more favourable to the European legacy carriers in terms of both RASK (more modest growth in capacity and a more positive trend on the long-haul network, particularly transatlantic) and CASK excluding fuel, aided by positive base effects. We have upgraded Air France-KLM and Lufthansa to Outperform, downgraded Ryanair to Neutral and Wizz Air to Underperform. A more favourable trend expected in 2026 for legacy carriers
Notre 29ième Forum vient de se dérouler (8 et 9 janvier) à Lyon. Il a réuni 222 sociétés. L’édition 2026 de ce Forum a accueilli près de 500 investisseurs, travaillant pour environ 200 institutions de 13 pays. Nous avons ainsi organisé l’équivalent de 5 300 investors meetings. Ce document synthétise nos feed-back concernant les émetteurs obligataires présents.
Air France-KLM was back into the bond market last week through the issuance of a € 650m (upsized from € 500m) 5Y bond priced at MS+150bps (i.e. a yield of 4.0%), which is below the price guidance (MS+155bps) and significantly tighter than the IPT (MS+190bps). Proceeds from the transaction will be used for general corporate purposes namely to refinance debt due in 2026. While the overall transaction is net leverage neutral, AF-KLM will see its annual interest payments reduce by c.€ 12m once the M...
Air France-KLM was back into the bond market last week through the issuance of a € 650m (upsized from € 500m) 5Y bond priced at MS+150bps (i.e. a yield of 4.0%), which is below the price guidance (MS+155bps) and significantly tighter than the IPT (MS+190bps). Proceeds from the transaction will be used for general corporate purposes namely to refinance debt due in 2026. While the overall transaction is net leverage neutral, AF-KLM will see its annual interest payments reduce by c.€ 12m once the M...
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