reports
- Emmanuel Matot
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 11/20/2024
Efforts to revitalise the five brands that make up the Lanvin Group are under way and should pay off in the medium term. However, at this stage of development (critical mass not yet achieved for some brands, negative profitability and cash burn) and in a consumer environment that does not yet point to a rebound, we prefer to remain cautious on the share. We are initiating coverage with a Neutral rating, with a target price of $ 1.80, based on a DCF valuation. - ...
- Damien Choplain
- Martial Descoutures
- Emmanuel Matot
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 20/11/2024
Les efforts de redynamisation sont en cours pour les 5 marques qui constituent Lanvin Group et devraient porter leurs fruits à moyen terme. Toutefois, à ce stade de développement (taille critique encore non atteinte sur certaines marques, rentabilité négative et consommation de cash) et dans un environnement de consommation n’indiquant pas encore de rebond, nous préférons rester encore prudents sur le titre. Nous initions à Neutre, avec un OC à 1.8 $ résultant d’une valorisation par D...
- Damien Choplain
- Martial Descoutures
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
GRF GRIFOLS S.A. CLASS A
ELE ENDESA S.A.
ISP INTESA SANPAOLO S.P.A.
TLX TALANX AG
UCG UNICREDIT S.P.A.
CABK CAIXABANK SA
GRF.P GRIFOLS S.A. PREF CLASS B
ARGX ARGEN-X SE
ML COMPAGNIE GENERALE DES ETABLISSEMENTS MICHELIN
SGSN SGS SA
- Benoit Valleaux
- Steven Gould
ODDO : ABI data (November 2024): trends confirmed
>Update on the macroeconomic and banking situation in Italy - The latest data from the Italian Banking Association (ABI), covering October 2024 confirms the recent trend, with an overall situation confirming its relative resilience in view of the recent indications (GDP, industrial production, confidence climate, etc.) and given uncertainties on the short to medium term. Lending activity confirmed signs of an improvement YTD (notably with regard to households) – ...
- Benoit Valleaux
- Steven Gould
ODDO : Statistiques ABI (Nov 2024) : tendances confirmées
>Point sur la situation macroéconomique & bancaire en Italie - Les dernières données de l’Association Bancaire Italienne (ABI), couvrant octobre 2024, confirment la tendance récente, avec une situation globale confirmant sa relative résilience au regard des indicateurs récents (PIB, production industrielle, climat de confiance…) et compte tenu des incertitudes à CMT. L’activité de crédit confirme les signes d’amélioration YTD (notamment auprès des ménages) – elle...
- Carole Braudeau
- Carole Braudeau
- Emmanuel Matot
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 18/11/2024
Comme prévu, les actions américaines ont salué la victoire de Donald Trump tandis que les bourses européennes accusaient le coup, également lestées deux jours plus tard par une nouvelle déception sur le plan de relance chinois. Nos stratégies sectorielles et paniers de valeurs Trump (long ou short) ont fonctionné, avec quelques exceptions qui peuvent être des opportunités d’investissement, à l’instar de Total Energies ou Repsol. En Europe, nous conservons notre opinion Sous-pondérer s...
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
BVB BORUSSIA DORTMUND GMBH & CO. KGAA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SOI SOITEC SA
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
ATRY ATRYS HEALTH
TMV TEAMVIEWER AG
VK VALLOUREC SA
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
PLX PLUXEE NV
- Emmanuel Matot
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 11/18/2024
As expected, US equities welcomed Donald Trump's victory, while European stock markets reacted negatively, also weighed down two days later by a further disappointment on China's stimulus plan. Our sector strategies and baskets of Trump stocks (long or short) have paid off, with a few exceptions that may provide investment opportunities, like Total Energies or Repsol. In Europe, we are maintaining our Underweight recommendation on the Basic Resources, Chemicals, Luxury Goods and Autom...
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
BVB BORUSSIA DORTMUND GMBH & CO. KGAA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SOI SOITEC SA
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
ATRY ATRYS HEALTH
TMV TEAMVIEWER AG
VK VALLOUREC SA
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
PLX PLUXEE NV
- Christophe Chaput
- Hela Zarrouk
Nexity : More favourable momentum for new housing orders, caution stil...
>Feedback from road show with management in London - At a road show with management in London (General Secretary in charge of finance; HIR), the group reviewed its growth prospects for the short and medium term. Our key takeaways from the event: From a commercial point of view, after a first half marked by a 17% decline in orders for new homes, the momentum has been much more favourable, with Q3 virtually stable at -2.5% (i.e. 9m orders down 12%). What's more, by...
- Christophe Chaput
- Hela Zarrouk
Nexity : Un momuntum plus favorable sur les réservations de logements ...
>Feedback roadshow management à Londres - A l’occasion d’un roadshow avec le management à Londres (Secrétaire général en charge des finances ; HIR), le groupe est revenu sur ses perspectives de croissance à CT/MT. Nous retiendrons principalement : D’un point de vue commercial, après un premier semestre où les réservations de logements neufs se sont repliées de 17%, la dynamique s’est révélée nettement plus favorable avec un T3 quasi stable à -2.5% (soit des réser...
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Steven Boumans
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 11/13/2024
We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...
LHN HOLCIM AG
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
HO THALES SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
RWE RWE AG
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ACS ACTIVIDADES DE CONSTRUCCION Y SERVICIOS SA
YPSN YPSOMED HOLDING AG
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Steven Boumans
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 13/11/2024
Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...
LHN HOLCIM AG
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
HO THALES SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
HNR1 HANNOVER RUECK SE
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
RWE RWE AG
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
EVK EVONIK INDUSTRIES AG
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ACS ACTIVIDADES DE CONSTRUCCION Y SERVICIOS SA
YPSN YPSOMED HOLDING AG
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
ENR SIEMENS ENERGY AG
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : Spain: the PSOE and SUMAR looking to abolish the SOCIMI regime
>PSOE and Sumar spring a surprise in seeking to suddenly abolish the SOCIMI regime - On Monday 11 November, the PSOE reached a tax agreement with its Spanish government ally, “Sumar”, whereby the two parties want to abolish the SOCIMI REIT regime or at least part of its tax advantages. This sudden stance, which surprised Spanish property professionals, is thus different from the position that was presented just last week, namely to “encourage the construction of affor...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Florent Laroche-Joubert
- Roy Külter
- Steven Boumans
ODDO : Espagne : le PSOE et SUMAR souhaiteraient abolir le régime SOCI...
>PSOE et Sumar créent la surprise en voulant supprimer soudainement le régime SOCIMI - Ce lundi 11 novembre, le PSOE sont parvenus à un accord fiscal avec son allié au gouvernement espagnol, « Sumar », par lequel les deux partis veulent supprimer le régime SOCIMI ou au moins une partie de ses avantages fiscaux. Cette prise de position soudaine qui a crée la surprise auprès des professionnels de l’immobilier espagnol, diffère ainsi de la position qui était encore mise ...
COV COVIVIO SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
ICAD ICADE SA
COFB COFINIMMO SA
VASTN VASTNED RETAIL NV
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
LRE LAR ESPANA REAL ESTATE SOCIMI SA
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
- Stephane Beyazian
Vodafone : Better FCF in H1 2025 but record low in Germany
>H1 2025 EBITDA in line with expectations - Q2 2025 group sales were up 4.6% y-o-y to € 9,240m, above expectations (consensus € 9,071m, ODDO BHF € 9,226m), and still helped by hyperinflation in Turkey (sales +89% y-o-y). H1 2025 EBITDAaL was up 2.5% y-o-y to € 2,730m. The targets for 2025 were confirmed (as expected): Vodafone is targeting adjusted pro forma EBITDAaL of € 11bn and adjusted FCF of at least € 2.4bn (consensus: € 2.47bn). These pro forma targets are...
- Christophe-Raphaël Ganet
- Marc Lavaud
- Martin Marandon-Carlhian
- Stephane Houri
- Stephane Beyazian
Vodafone : Better FCF in H1 2025 but record low in Germany
>H1 2025 EBITDA in line with expectations - Q2 2025 group sales were up 4.6% y-o-y to € 9,240m, above expectations (consensus € 9,071m, ODDO BHF € 9,226m), and still helped by hyperinflation in Turkey (sales +89% y-o-y). H1 2025 EBITDAaL was up 2.5% y-o-y to € 2,730m. The targets for 2025 were confirmed (as expected): Vodafone is targeting adjusted pro forma EBITDAaL of € 11bn and adjusted FCF of at least € 2.4bn (consensus: € 2.47bn). These pro forma targets are...
- Carole Braudeau
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