GEVORKYAN has posted a weak set of 4Q25 results, with the EBITDA 23% below our estimate, driven by softer revenue growth and a weaker other operating result. The net profit was negative, at -EUR 1.5m, reflecting higher-than-anticipated D&A and a lower net financial result. For full-year 2025, the company’s EBITDA missed the low end of its 2025 guidance by 6%, although it has reiterated its mid-term (2026-29E) guidance.
HEADLINES: • Grupa Pracuj: valuation harmed unjustly by AI threat (stays BUY) • Inter Cars: February sales up by 11% yoy POSITIVE • Zabka: 4Q25E results preview – 12% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 19 March) NEUTRAL • MOL: Hungary to cap fuel pump prices NEGATIVE • Sok Marketler: recovery in operating results continued in 4Q25 POSITIVE • GEVORKYAN: preliminary 4Q25 miss on P&L lines; 2025 below the lower end of management's guidance, tight balance sheet NEGATIVE
We reiterate our BUY on Grupa Pracuj (GPP) and cut our 12M price target (PT) to PLN 57.4/share (from PLN 66.8/share), implying 44% upside potential. GPP’s share price is down 25% in the LTM, mainly on market worries over the potential AI utilisation impact on the job classifieds business, causing a market-wide derating: GPP peers’ 1-3YF average P/E multiple medians have contracted by 42% in the LTM. We base our positive view on GPP on the assumption that the derating is unjustified fundamentally...
HEADLINES: • Coca-Cola Icecek: 4Q25 results – operational recovery masked by higher tax expenses NEUTRAL • PGE: recognises deferred tax asset of c.PLN 2bn in the Conventional Generation Segment POSITIVE • Tauron: PLN 392m positive impact from impairment reversal in stand-alone accounts; no impact on consolidated results NEUTRAL • CD Projekt: Cyberpunk 2077 available on Xbox Game Pass on 10 March POSITIVE • Aquila Part Prod Com S.A.: 4Q25 earnings beat, on slowing opex POSITIVE • GEK Terna: surpr...
EME Equity Market – February 2026 Muted performance across the region, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in February. The Turkish ISE was the top performer, adding 5.4% mom in EUR terms; while the Polish WIG and the Romanian BET improved slightly (+0.9% and +0.3% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Czech PX and the Greek ASE were the worst performers (-4.9%, and -3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms), w...
HEADLINES: • Turkish food retailers: resilient in transition (BIM and Migros stay BUY, Sok Marketler stays HOLD) • Budimex: 4Q25 preliminary results in line with the January guidance NEUTRAL • Allegro: 4Q25E results preview – adjusted EBITDA expected to grow by 13% yoy (due on 12 March) NEUTRAL • Hungary macro: MNB delivers long-awaited rate cut • Richter: 4Q25E preview (due on 27 February) NEUTRAL • NEPI Rockcastle: 2H25 results at the top of the guided range NEUTRAL • Banca Transilvania: 4Q25E...
We maintain our positive stance on the Turkish food retailers and expect 2026E to be a transition year. As the operating environment is likely to remain highly challenging, with intense competition and fewer tailwinds against revenues from inflation, we believe that food retailers will pursue revenue growth strategies without diluting their gross margins, and manage their operating costs effectively, necessitating resilient and efficient business strategies. We believe that food retailers with l...
HEADLINES: • Benefit Systems: grow baby, grow! (BUY - transfer of coverage) • ING BSK: 4Q25 results beat; solid DPS guidance; recent share price rally might have consumed part of the upside • mBank: solid 4Q25; rather cautious on the 2026E revenue outlook NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: January sales increase by 4.0% yoy NEGATIVE • VIGO Photonics: 4Q25E results preview – solid yoy adjusted EBITDA improvement expected (due on 16 March) • GEK Terna: seals c.EUR 1bn of Romanian railway projects – positive, b...
HEADLINES: • Santander BP: posts solid 4Q25 numbers; rebranding costs guidance in line; DPS of PLN 46 seems very feasible NEUTRAL • Polish media: CPS's audience share at 22.30%, while WP TV is at 0.57% in January 2026 NEUTRAL • Develia: management targets for 2026E close to our forecasts NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: 4Q25 results and dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Jumbo: January sales +8% on easy comps; guiding for 5% sales growth and EUR 310-320m net earnings in 2026E NEUTRAL • Turkish automotive: strong ...
EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • Cyfrowy Polsat: structural headwinds ahead (downgraded to SELL) • EME Strategy: OFEs' 2025 annual assets structure • Grupa Pracuj: new job ads on Pracuj.pl reached 368k in 2H25, down 2% yoy NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 4Q25E preview (due on 9 February) • ING BSK: 4Q25E preview (due on 10 February) • mBank: 4Q25E preview (due on 10 February) • MOL: to buy NIS in Serbia POSITIVE • Motor Oil Hellas: concludes construction of 72MW of BESS projects NEUTRAL • GEK Terna: solid traffic growth...
ABN AMRO: Pre-close 4Q: positive read, but with recent CMD, no surprises on guidance / Ahold Delhaize: New US distribution centre to be leased from Blackstone / Kinepolis: Peer Cineplex December 2025 box office revenue at 89% of 2019 level, up 3% YoY / Randstad: Preview 4Q25F results due 11 February; consensus released / Staffing sector: Hays' 2Q26 trading update; miss vs consensus / Zabka: Peer Biedronka FY25 sales.
Basic-Fit: The Gym Group pre-close trading update / Fastned: 4Q25 preview / KPN: Vodafone new unlimited subscriptions with 1Gbps speed / Lotus Bakeries: Peer Lindt & Sprüngli FY25 sales / Ontex: Change in CEO brought forward and launch of a strategic review / Staffing sector: Page Group 4Q25 trading update / Zabka: Another miss on like-for-like growth.
HEADLINES: • Elbit Systems: bags new DIRCM contract from APAC POSITIVE • Zabka: 4Q25 trading update – sales +14.4% on lfl of 4.8%; FY adjusted EBITDA margin maintained at upper end of 12-13% range NEUTRAL • Develia: sells 3.3k units in 2025, at the top of the guided range NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: preliminary 4Q25 revenue at USD 58.6m, down 5% yoy, but up 5% qoq POSITIVE • CEZ: informs customers about the cancelling of the RES surcharge NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: expands local Defence Hub f...
HEADLINES: • Kruk: 4Q25 trading update – miss on annual investments, but recoveries strong NEUTRAL • Santander Bank Polska/Erste Bank: shift of shareholdings finalised as of 9 January NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: December sales increased by 13.6% yoy NEUTRAL • Duna House: strong 4Q KPIs; Czexit; Italy stake raised to 95% POSITIVE • Coca-Cola Icecek: 4Q25 trading update and 2026E volume guidance NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (1-8 January)
EME Equity Market – December 2025 Czech PX the best performer in December; no market in the red. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 3.4% mom in EUR terms and 4.6% mom in USD terms in December. The Czech PX was the top performer, adding 7.6% mom; followed by the Romanian BET (+7.1% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+6.4% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Turkish ISE 30 (+0.4% mom) and the Hungarian BUX (+0.2% mom; all in EUR terms).
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: Bucharest vote supports government • Inter Cars: November sales growth decelerates to 2.6% yoy NEGATIVE • PGE: CEO and COO dismissed; former Tauron CEO appointed as acting CEO NEUTRAL • Polish utilities: ready for lower distribution WACC NEGATIVE • Jumbo: sales up 6% in November and 8% in 11M25, as expected NEUTRAL • Optima Bank SA: 4m shares block trades at 1.9% discount NEUTRAL • Pegasus Airlines: signs an agreement to acquire Czech Airlines for EUR 154m POSITIVE • ...
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