We have updated our model, lifting our FY25-27 EBITDA by c.9% and our PT to €0.38, to take into account an improving French grocery market, increasingly driven by an uptick in food inflation. Despite this improvement, we continue to forecast a covenant breach from Q3 26 and believe Mr Kretinsky wil
European food retail enjoyed a paradoxical 1.5x P/E expansion vs. deteriorating earnings trend YTD now turning negative, fuelled by a sector rotation with investors looking for defensive stocks. With trade wars easing, we have reviewed the valuation, earnings momentum and sector indicators for each
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the initial impact of tariffs on the US consumer and economy. Happy readi
Q1 was slightly ahead of our expectations, by 50bp LfL and by a couple of million euros at the EBITDA level, but we still lack real signs of a commercial recovery to feel reassured about the company's ability to meet its covenants in 2026. Sell reiterated as we still cannot rule out another capital
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the correlation between robust financial markets and healthy US consumer
Moody’s places Fives CFR on CW positive|Acqua e Sapone: preliminary full-year earnings|Fnac Darty launches the repurchase invitation for 2027 OCEANES at a price of € 77.25|Maxeda bondholders start to organize (9fin)|Telecom Italia: Poste Italiane replaces Vivendi as the largest shareholder|
Moody’s places Fives CFR on CW positive|Acqua e Sapone : résultats annuels préliminaires|Fnac Darty annonce le lancement de l’offre de rachat des OCEANES 2027 au prix de 77,25 EUR|Maxeda : Les principaux créanciers auraient commencé à s’organiser|Telecom Italia : Poste Italiane remplace Vivendi en tant que principal actionnaire|
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at accelerating trends in European corporate earnings relative to those in t
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how Trump's hectic trade policy impacts US consumer sentiment. Happy read
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the relative catch-up by European stocks. Happy reading!
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