reports
- Clément Genelot
Casino: H2 2026 covenant breach still looming despite strong Q2 result...
Following a good set of Q2 results fuelled by new market tailwinds in France and better execution in productivity, we have lifted our FY25-27 sales, EBITDA and unlevered FCF figures by 2%, 6% and 23% respectively with our PT moving upwards to €0.42. Nevertheless, the risk of a covenant breach remai
- Juan Ros-Padilla
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
NK IMERYS SA
AUTN AUTONEUM HOLDING AG
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
BFIT BASIC-FIT NV
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
TFI TELEVISION FRANCAISE 1 SA
KORI KORIAN SA
SZG SALZGITTER AG
ABVX ABIVAX SA
OERL OC OERLIKON CORPORATION AG
CDA COMPAGNIE DES ALPES SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
EBRO EBRO FOODS SA
SOLB SOLVAY SA
NEX NEXANS SA
ERA ERAMET SA
COR CORTICEIRA AMORIM SGPS SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
KRN KRONES AG
PAL PALFINGER AG
ROYAL VOPAK NV
MMT METROPOLE TELEVISION SA
AED AEDIFICA SA
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
SEFER SERGEFERRARI GROUP SA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
ZAG ZUMTOBEL GROUP AG
TWEKA TKH GROUP N.V. CERT
WLN WORLDLINE SA
IBG IBERPAPEL GESTION S.A.
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
UNI UNICAJA BANCO S.A.
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
SMCP SMCP SA
BFSA BEFESA SA
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
THEP THERMADOR HOLDING SA
VRLA VERALLIA SAS
GRP GREENCOAT RENEWABLES
SFQ SAF-HOLLAND SE
VUL VULCAN ENERGY RESOURCES
AG1 AUTO1 GROUP
EAPI EUROAPI
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
EXENS EXOSENS
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON
HAVAS HAVAS N.V
CAN CANAL+
HBX HBX GROUP INTERNATIONAL PLC
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
- Juan Ros-Padilla
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
BEKB BEKAERT SA
NK IMERYS SA
AUTN AUTONEUM HOLDING AG
APAML APERAM SA
OUT1V OUTOKUMPU OYJ
BFIT BASIC-FIT NV
GTT GAZTRANSPORT & TECHNIGAZ SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
TFI TELEVISION FRANCAISE 1 SA
KORI KORIAN SA
SZG SALZGITTER AG
ABVX ABIVAX SA
OERL OC OERLIKON CORPORATION AG
CDA COMPAGNIE DES ALPES SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VOE VOESTALPINE AG
ACX ACERINOX SA
EBRO EBRO FOODS SA
SOLB SOLVAY SA
NEX NEXANS SA
ERA ERAMET SA
COR CORTICEIRA AMORIM SGPS SA
NDA AURUBIS AG
KRN KRONES AG
PAL PALFINGER AG
ROYAL VOPAK NV
MMT METROPOLE TELEVISION SA
AED AEDIFICA SA
AMG AMG ADVANCED METALLURGICAL GROUP N.V.
SEFER SERGEFERRARI GROUP SA
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
ZAG ZUMTOBEL GROUP AG
TWEKA TKH GROUP N.V. CERT
WLN WORLDLINE SA
IBG IBERPAPEL GESTION S.A.
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
RIO RIO TINTO PLC
UNI UNICAJA BANCO S.A.
BHP BHP GROUP LTD
SMCP SMCP SA
BFSA BEFESA SA
AMAG AMAG AUSTRIA METALL AG
THEP THERMADOR HOLDING SA
VRLA VERALLIA SAS
GRP GREENCOAT RENEWABLES
SFQ SAF-HOLLAND SE
VUL VULCAN ENERGY RESOURCES
AG1 AUTO1 GROUP
EAPI EUROAPI
BRE BREMBO S.P.A.
EXENS EXOSENS
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON
HAVAS HAVAS N.V
CAN CANAL+
HBX HBX GROUP INTERNATIONAL PLC
AAL ANGLO AMERICAN PLC
- Geoffroy Michalet
- Geoffroy Michalet
- Carole Braudeau
- Carole Braudeau
- Clément Genelot
Casino: covenant breach still very likely from H2 26; what's next?
We have updated our model, lifting our FY25-27 EBITDA by c.9% and our PT to €0.38, to take into account an improving French grocery market, increasingly driven by an uptick in food inflation. Despite this improvement, we continue to forecast a covenant breach from Q3 26 and believe Mr Kretinsky wil
- Clement Genelot
Food Retail: trade war lifted multiples, beware of future sector rotat...
European food retail enjoyed a paradoxical 1.5x P/E expansion vs. deteriorating earnings trend YTD now turning negative, fuelled by a sector rotation with investors looking for defensive stocks. With trade wars easing, we have reviewed the valuation, earnings momentum and sector indicators for each
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #70
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the initial impact of tariffs on the US consumer and economy. Happy readi
- Luis de Toledo Heras
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
APAML APERAM SA
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
HCO HIGHCO SA
PIG HAULOTTE GROUP SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
SDF K+S AG
FR VALEO SE
BAMNB KONINKLIJKE BAM GROEP NV
NEX NEXANS SA
GLB GLANBIA PLC
DEZ DEUTZ AG
VID VIDRALA SA
AIXA AIXTRON SE
TIETO TIETOEVRY OYJ
COK CANCOM SE
CCC CCC SA
AED AEDIFICA SA
ONTEX ONTEX GROUP N.V.
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
A3TV ATRESMEDIA CORPORACION DE MEDIOS DE COMUNICACION SA
ENC ENCE ENERGIA Y CELULOSA SA
FACC FACC AG
VLTSA VOLTALIA
ALD ALD SA
BFSA BEFESA SA
WAVE WAVESTONE SA
S30 SOLUTIONS 30 SE
COP COMPUGROUP MEDICAL SE & CO. KGAA
TCH TECHNICOLOR SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
ALHRS HYDROGEN REFUELING SOLUTIONS
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON
VIRI VIRIDIEN
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
- Luis de Toledo Heras
SOP SOPRA STERIA GROUP SA
APAML APERAM SA
VCT VICAT-CIMENTS VICAT SA
SSAB A SSAB AB CLASS A
RCO REMY COINTREAU SA
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
HCO HIGHCO SA
PIG HAULOTTE GROUP SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
SDF K+S AG
FR VALEO SE
BAMNB KONINKLIJKE BAM GROEP NV
NEX NEXANS SA
GLB GLANBIA PLC
DEZ DEUTZ AG
VID VIDRALA SA
AIXA AIXTRON SE
TIETO TIETOEVRY OYJ
COK CANCOM SE
CCC CCC SA
AED AEDIFICA SA
ONTEX ONTEX GROUP N.V.
WAF SILTRONIC AG
MELE MELEXIS NV
ENG ENAGAS SA
A3TV ATRESMEDIA CORPORACION DE MEDIOS DE COMUNICACION SA
ENC ENCE ENERGIA Y CELULOSA SA
FACC FACC AG
VLTSA VOLTALIA
ALD ALD SA
WAVE WAVESTONE SA
S30 SOLUTIONS 30 SE
COP COMPUGROUP MEDICAL SE & CO. KGAA
TCH TECHNICOLOR SA
TE TECHNIP ENERGIES NV
ALHRS HYDROGEN REFUELING SOLUTIONS
FPE3 FUCHS PETROLUB SE
AF AIR FRANCE - KLM
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON
VIRI VIRIDIEN
AMS AMS-OSRAM AG
FERGR FERRARI GROUP PUBLIC LIMITED COMPANY
- Geoffroy Michalet
- Geoffroy Michalet
- Clement Genelot
Casino: still no signs of commercial recovery
Q1 was slightly ahead of our expectations, by 50bp LfL and by a couple of million euros at the EBITDA level, but we still lack real signs of a commercial recovery to feel reassured about the company's ability to meet its covenants in 2026. Sell reiterated as we still cannot rule out another capital
- Carole Braudeau
AC ACCOR SA
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
DG VINCI SA
CA CARREFOUR SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
MF WENDEL SE
KORI KORIAN SA
CGM CEGEDIM SA
G ASSICURAZIONI GENERALI S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
SPIE SPIE SA
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
VRLA VERALLIA SAS
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON
- Carole Braudeau
AC ACCOR SA
SGO COMPAGNIE DE SAINT-GOBAIN SA
DG VINCI SA
CA CARREFOUR SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
MF WENDEL SE
KORI KORIAN SA
CGM CEGEDIM SA
G ASSICURAZIONI GENERALI S.P.A.
CLNX CELLNEX TELECOM S.A.
SPIE SPIE SA
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
VRLA VERALLIA SAS
ERF EUROFINS SCIENTIFIC SOCIETE EUROPEENNE
SPM SAIPEM S.P.A.
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON
- Cedric Rossi
- Clement Genelot
- Loic Morvan
On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #66
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the correlation between robust financial markets and healthy US consumer
- Carole Braudeau
Credit Morning 03/31/2025
Moody’s places Fives CFR on CW positive|Acqua e Sapone: preliminary full-year earnings|Fnac Darty launches the repurchase invitation for 2027 OCEANES at a price of € 77.25|Maxeda bondholders start to organize (9fin)|Telecom Italia: Poste Italiane replaces Vivendi as the largest shareholder|
- Carole Braudeau
Morning Crédit 31/03/2025
Moody’s places Fives CFR on CW positive|Acqua e Sapone : résultats annuels préliminaires|Fnac Darty annonce le lancement de l’offre de rachat des OCEANES 2027 au prix de 77,25 EUR|Maxeda : Les principaux créanciers auraient commencé à s’organiser|Telecom Italia : Poste Italiane remplace Vivendi en tant que principal actionnaire|
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