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Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 10/31/2025

INEOS Quattro: conference call comments|Casino is launching work to adapt its financial structure|Iliad and CK Hutchison are reportedly weighing a potential merger of their Italian operations (Reuters)|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 31/10/2025

INEOS Quattro: conference call comments|Casino va discuter avec ses créanciers en vue de l'adaptation et du renforcement de sa structure financière|Iliad et CK Hutchison envisageraient une éventuelle fusion de leurs activités en Italie (Reuters)|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 10/30/2025

Avolta: Q3 sales and EBITDA came in a shade below expectations, but cash generation exceeded expectations. Faster growth rate in North America in October.|Constellium: Results ahead of expectations, good Q4 expected, and guidance upgraded once again|Eramet : Q3 25 revenue lower than expected|Finnair: Guidance range tightened downwards amid higher costs and weaker demand|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 30/10/2025

Avolta : un T3 un peu en-dessous des attentes sur le CA et l’Ebitda mais meilleure sur la génération de cash. Accélération de la croissance en octobre en Amérique du Nord.|Constellium: Results ahead of expectations, good Q4 expected, and guidance upgraded once again|Eramet : CA T3 25 plus faible que prévu|Finnair: Guidance range tightened downwards amid higher costs and weaker demand|

Clément Genelot
  • Clément Genelot

Casino: H2 2026 covenant breach still looming despite strong Q2 result...

Following a good set of Q2 results fuelled by new market tailwinds in France and better execution in productivity, we have lifted our FY25-27 sales, EBITDA and unlevered FCF figures by 2%, 6% and 23% respectively with our PT moving upwards to €0.42. Nevertheless, the risk of a covenant breach remai

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 07/10/2025

Banks said to have asked Mulliez family to shore up ELO's capital (Le Monde)|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 10/07/2025

Les banques demanderaient à la famille Mulliez de renforcer le capital d’ELO (Le Monde)|

Clément Genelot
  • Clément Genelot

Casino: covenant breach still very likely from H2 26; what's next?

We have updated our model, lifting our FY25-27 EBITDA by c.9% and our PT to €0.38, to take into account an improving French grocery market, increasingly driven by an uptick in food inflation. Despite this improvement, we continue to forecast a covenant breach from Q3 26 and believe Mr Kretinsky wil

Clement Genelot
  • Clement Genelot

Food Retail: trade war lifted multiples, beware of future sector rotat...

European food retail enjoyed a paradoxical 1.5x P/E expansion vs. deteriorating earnings trend YTD now turning negative, fuelled by a sector rotation with investors looking for defensive stocks. With trade wars easing, we have reviewed the valuation, earnings momentum and sector indicators for each

Cedric Rossi ... (+3)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #70

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the initial impact of tariffs on the US consumer and economy. Happy readi

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