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Clément Genelot
  • Clément Genelot

Casino: covenant breach still very likely from H2 26; what's next?

We have updated our model, lifting our FY25-27 EBITDA by c.9% and our PT to €0.38, to take into account an improving French grocery market, increasingly driven by an uptick in food inflation. Despite this improvement, we continue to forecast a covenant breach from Q3 26 and believe Mr Kretinsky wil

Clement Genelot
  • Clement Genelot

Food Retail: trade war lifted multiples, beware of future sector rotat...

European food retail enjoyed a paradoxical 1.5x P/E expansion vs. deteriorating earnings trend YTD now turning negative, fuelled by a sector rotation with investors looking for defensive stocks. With trade wars easing, we have reviewed the valuation, earnings momentum and sector indicators for each

Cedric Rossi ... (+3)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #70

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the initial impact of tariffs on the US consumer and economy. Happy readi

Clement Genelot
  • Clement Genelot

Casino: still no signs of commercial recovery

Q1 was slightly ahead of our expectations, by 50bp LfL and by a couple of million euros at the EBITDA level, but we still lack real signs of a commercial recovery to feel reassured about the company's ability to meet its covenants in 2026. Sell reiterated as we still cannot rule out another capital

Cedric Rossi ... (+3)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #66

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the correlation between robust financial markets and healthy US consumer

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 03/31/2025

Moody’s places Fives CFR on CW positive|Acqua e Sapone: preliminary full-year earnings|Fnac Darty launches the repurchase invitation for 2027 OCEANES at a price of € 77.25|Maxeda bondholders start to organize (9fin)|Telecom Italia: Poste Italiane replaces Vivendi as the largest shareholder|

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 31/03/2025

Moody’s places Fives CFR on CW positive|Acqua e Sapone : résultats annuels préliminaires|Fnac Darty annonce le lancement de l’offre de rachat des OCEANES 2027 au prix de 77,25 EUR|Maxeda : Les principaux créanciers auraient commencé à s’organiser|Telecom Italia : Poste Italiane remplace Vivendi en tant que principal actionnaire|

Cedric Rossi ... (+3)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #64

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at accelerating trends in European corporate earnings relative to those in t

Cedric Rossi ... (+3)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #61

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at how Trump's hectic trade policy impacts US consumer sentiment. Happy read

Cedric Rossi ... (+3)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #60

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week, we look at the relative catch-up by European stocks. Happy reading!

Bruno Cavalier ... (+6)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Roy Külter
IPS IPSOS
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
EO FAURECIA SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
INTO INTERVEST OFFICES & WAREHOUSES SA
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
ACX ACERINOX SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
G24 SCOUT24 AG
DEQ DEUTSCHE EUROSHOP AG
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
FAE FAES FARMA S.A.
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
VLK VAN LANSCHOT KEMPEN NV CERT. OF SHS
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
LPP LPP S.A.
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
FLU FLUGHAFEN WIEN AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
TLGO TALGO SA
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
IBG IBERPAPEL GESTION S.A.
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
IMP IMPACT DEVELOPER & CONTRACTOR S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
THEP THERMADOR HOLDING SA
ZEL PHARMA MAR SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
EXENS EXOSENS
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON
LANV PRIMAVERA CAP ACQUISITION CORP
Bruno Cavalier ... (+6)
  • Bruno Cavalier
  • Emmanuel Matot
  • Louis Boujard
  • CFA
  • Marc Lavaud
  • Steven Boumans
IPS IPSOS
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
LI KLEPIERRE SA
COV COVIVIO SA
EO FAURECIA SA
GFC GECINA SA
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
FLY SOCIETE FONCIERE LYONNAISE SA
GYC GRAND CITY PROPERTIES SA
MERY MERCIALYS SA
ITP INTERPARFUMS
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
WHA WERELDHAVE N.V.
BLND BRITISH LAND COMPANY PLC
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KOF KAUFMAN & BROAD SA
KER KERING SA
ALTA ALTAREA SCA
VNA VONOVIA SE
ACX ACERINOX SA
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
G24 SCOUT24 AG
ICAD ICADE SA
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
FAE FAES FARMA S.A.
BYG BIG YELLOW GROUP PLC
COFB COFINIMMO SA
CAI CA IMMOBILIEN ANLAGEN AG
VLK VAN LANSCHOT KEMPEN NV CERT. OF SHS
TEG TAG IMMOBILIEN AG
VASTB VASTNED RETAIL BELGIUM NV
LPP LPP S.A.
PSPN PSP SWISS PROPERTY AG
UBS UBM DEVELOPMENT AG
SPSN SWISS PRIME SITE AG
PAT PATRIZIA AG
MONT MONTEA SCA
AED AEDIFICA SA
CARM CARMILA SAS
LEG LEG IMMOBILIEN AG
MONC MONCLER SPA
CPINV CARE PROPERTY INVEST SA
SAFE SAFESTORE HOLDINGS PLC
ARG ARGAN SA
VGP VGP NV
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
DIC DIC ASSET AG
MERLIN MERLIN PROPERTIES SOCIMI S.A.
TLGO TALGO SA
DKG DEUTSCHE KONSUM REIT-AG
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
IBG IBERPAPEL GESTION S.A.
PSG PROSEGUR COMPANIA DE SEGURIDAD SA
HOME NEINOR HOMES SA
AT1 AROUNDTOWN SA
IMP IMPACT DEVELOPER & CONTRACTOR S.A.
LAND LAND SECURITIES GROUP PLC
MVC METROVACESA SA
NSI NSI N.V.
ULA UNIBAIL-RODAMCO-WESTFIELD SE STAPLED SECS CONS OF 1 SH UNIBAIL RODAMCO + 1 SH WFD UNIB ROD
INS INSTONE REAL ESTATE GROUP AG
AEDAS AEDAS HOMES SA
THEP THERMADOR HOLDING SA
ZEL PHARMA MAR SA
WDP WAREHOUSES DE PAUW SCA
ECMPA EUROCOMMERCIAL PROPERTIES NV
CTPNV CTP NV
ONE ONE UNITED PROPERTIES SA
SHUR SHURGARD SELF STORAGE LIMITED
EXENS EXOSENS
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON
LANV PRIMAVERA CAP ACQUISITION CORP
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