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ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

AEGON: merger of Corebridge and Equitable, implications for Transamerica. Flow Traders: Equity strong as crypto fades. IBA: Net debt above, FY26 REBIT guidance on the low side, 2H25 REBIT a bit below. Sofina: Final NAV 2% above preliminary results. Zabka: Peer Dino Polska FY25 results

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

IBA: IBA to supply 4 Cyclone KIUBE cyclotrons to Telix Pharmaceuticals in US. Lotus Bakeries: Biscoff spread shortages in DACH countries. Unilever plc: Morris dancing. Zabka: Small beat in 4Q25, guidance reiterated for FY26

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: IGN1L LH; ZAB PW; CDR PW; CAR PW; LPP PW; DSPW CP; CZG CP;...

HEADLINES: • Ignitis Group: steady as she goes (stays BUY) • Zabka: beat in 4Q25; FY26E guidance of continued rapid expansion and stable profitability POSITIVE • CD Projekt: 4Q25 results review – beat related to other operating income and income tax POSITIVE • Inter Cars: 4Q25E preview – 16% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 28 April) • LPP: 4Q25E results preview – 32% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 26 March) NEUTRAL • Doosan Skoda Power: 4Q25 above our expectations, backlog in line, materi...

Jakub Krawczyk
  • Jakub Krawczyk
ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

D'Ieteren: Boyd 4Q25 and conference call confirm gradual improvement in claims. Fugro: FY26 has its own challenges. Van Lanschot Kempen: Investment Strategies outflows may lead to a partnership. Vonovia: Better FY25 results, simplified dividend policy, LTV down to 40% by 2028. Zabka: Peer Biedronka FY25 results

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Avantium: Nearly there. Zabka: 4Q25 Preview

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: GPP PW; CAR PW; ZAB PW; MOL HB; SOKM TI; GEV CP

HEADLINES: • Grupa Pracuj: valuation harmed unjustly by AI threat (stays BUY) • Inter Cars: February sales up by 11% yoy POSITIVE • Zabka: 4Q25E results preview – 12% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 19 March) NEUTRAL • MOL: Hungary to cap fuel pump prices NEGATIVE • Sok Marketler: recovery in operating results continued in 4Q25 POSITIVE • GEVORKYAN: preliminary 4Q25 miss on P&L lines; 2025 below the lower end of management's guidance, tight balance sheet NEGATIVE

Research Team
  • Research Team

The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all indices in the green in Januar...

EME Equity Market – January 2026 All regions in the green in January, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index added 11.1% mom in EUR terms and 13.2% mom in USD terms in January. The Turkish ISE was the top performer (+20.8% mom), followed by the Hungarian BUX (+17.5% mom); the Romanian BET (+11.1% mom); the Greek ASE (+9.2% mom); the Polish WIG 20 (+5.9% mom); and the Czech PX (+2.4% mom; all in EUR terms).

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

ABN AMRO: Pre-close 4Q: positive read, but with recent CMD, no surprises on guidance / Ahold Delhaize: New US distribution centre to be leased from Blackstone / Kinepolis: Peer Cineplex December 2025 box office revenue at 89% of 2019 level, up 3% YoY / Randstad: Preview 4Q25F results due 11 February; consensus released / Staffing sector: Hays' 2Q26 trading update; miss vs consensus / Zabka: Peer Biedronka FY25 sales.

ING Helpdesk
  • ING Helpdesk

Benelux Morning Notes

Basic-Fit: The Gym Group pre-close trading update / Fastned: 4Q25 preview / KPN: Vodafone new unlimited subscriptions with 1Gbps speed / Lotus Bakeries: Peer Lindt & Sprüngli FY25 sales / Ontex: Change in CEO brought forward and launch of a strategic review / Staffing sector: Page Group 4Q25 trading update / Zabka: Another miss on like-for-like growth.

Research Team
  • Research Team

WOOD Daily: ESLT US; ZAB PW; DVL PW; HUG PW; CEZ CP; MTLN GA

HEADLINES: • Elbit Systems: bags new DIRCM contract from APAC POSITIVE • Zabka: 4Q25 trading update – sales +14.4% on lfl of 4.8%; FY adjusted EBITDA margin maintained at upper end of 12-13% range NEUTRAL • Develia: sells 3.3k units in 2025, at the top of the guided range NEUTRAL • Huuuge Games: preliminary 4Q25 revenue at USD 58.6m, down 5% yoy, but up 5% qoq POSITIVE • CEZ: informs customers about the cancelling of the RES surcharge NEUTRAL • Metlen Energy & Metals: expands local Defence Hub f...

Jakub Krawczyk
  • Jakub Krawczyk

ZABKA GROUP : (Quick shopping) mission possible

We initiate coverage of Zabka Group (Zabka), a dynamically growing leader (adj. net profit CAGR 2025-2028e of 27%) in convenience shopping in Poland, with an Outperform rating and a target price of PLN 30. The group is engaging time constrained customers with a differentiated proposition while benefitting from secular trends and a supportive macro backdrop. At our target price, Zabka would trade above closest peer Dino, while operating a business model that is less exposed to grocery market pric...

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