reports
Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 08 April 2024
* A corporate client of Hybridan LLP ** Arranged by type of listing and date of announcement *** Alphabetically arranged **** Potential means Intention to Float (ITF) has been announced Dish of the day Admissions: European Green Transition (EGT.L) a developer of green economy assets in Europe which aims to capitalise on the opportunity created by the green energy transition has joined AIM with a successful placing and subscription at a price of 10p per share. The Company has raised approx. £6.46...
Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 22 Feb 24
22st February 2024 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment obj...
Hybridan Small Cap Feast - 14 Feb 24
14th February 2024 @HybridanLLP Status of this Note and Disclaimer This document has been issued to you by Hybridan LLP for information purposes only and should not be construed in any circumstances as an offer to sell or solicitation of any offer to buy any security or other financial instrument, nor shall it, or the fact of its distribution, form the basis of, or be relied upon in connection with, any contract relating to such action. This document has no regard for the specific investment obj...
Windar Photonics: 1 director
A director at Windar Photonics bought 1,000,000 shares at 31p and the significance rating of the trade was 72/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly...
- Anne Margaret Crow
Windar Photonics - Retrofit activity driving growth in the short term
Windar Photonics posted record revenues and got close to EBITDA break-even during FY18. Management expects current customer projects with Vestas and continued demand in Asia to drive further growth in the retrofit segment during FY19. It also expects volume deliveries to OEMS to commence in the near future, but we exclude these from our estimates.
- Anne Margaret Crow
Windar Photonics - Supply chain issues dampen FY18 growth
Windar’s revenues from product sales grew by 80% year-on-year during FY18, enabling it to reduce EBITDA losses from €1.2m to €0.4m. Growth was slower than expected because of supply chain issues. Although these issues have now been resolved, they have a knock-on effect on follow-on orders for FY19, so we reduce our estimates for both forecast years.
- Anne Margaret Crow
Windar Photonics - Continued strong growth in revenues
H118 has started well with 33% y-o-y jump in revenues taking Windar close to EBITDA breakeven. The distribution agreement with Vestas announced in June should help drive sales to independent power providers (IPPs) globally. However, a shortage of key components in Q218 means the company has issued FY18 revenue guidance of €4.0–4.5m, which is significantly below our previous estimate. We revise our estimates and adjust our indicative valuation from 125p/share to 124p/share.
- Anne Margaret Crow
Windar Photonics - Global distribution agreement with Vestas
Windar Photonics has signed a global distribution agreement with wind turbine manufacturer Vestas Wind Systems. Vestas will now be selling and marketing Windar’s two-beam LiDAR system as a retrofit after-sales solution to the wind industry. The agreement is supportive of our estimates, which we leave unchanged.
- Anne Margaret Crow
Windar Photonics - Technology deployments intensifying
FY17 was a pivotal year for Windar. An order for 300 units towards the year-end helped drive a doubling in revenues and suggests that the wind turbine industry is beginning to adopt its wind measurement technology. We leave our estimates and indicative valuation of 125p/share broadly unchanged, noting the potential for a substantial rise in indicative valuation once management is able to announce that the technology has been designed-in by turbine manufacturers, which is a key catalyst for volum...
- Anne Margaret Crow
Windar Photonics - Engagement with OEMs intensifying
Following the announcement of a transformational contract on 4th December, Windar Photonics issued two announcements later in the month regarding orders related to wind turbine OEMS. Although neither order was of the scale of the earlier transformational contract which was primarily for retrofitting turbines already in the field, they demonstrate the interest OEMs are showing in the technology, which will potentially lead to strong growth in future. We will update our estimates following the pe...
- Anne Margaret Crow
Windar Photonics - Transformational Chinese contract signed
Windar Photonics has received a follow-on order from one of its Chinese distributors for 300 WindEYE LiDAR systems. The first 50 are for delivery this month, the remaining 250 during H118. Management believes that there is potential for significant follow-on orders in H218. The financial details have not been disclosed, but we calculate that this order represents two to three times as many LiDAR systems as were shipped in either FY16 or H117. We will update our estimates shortly.
- Anne Margaret Crow
- Positive developments during H117
Windar’s H117 results show €1.3m revenues for the six-month period ahead of those achieved in the whole of FY16, while the cost base realignment during H216 resulted in a 71% reduction in EBITDA losses to €0.4m. Our estimates and valuation remain suspended until there is more clarity on test programmes with independent power providers (IPPs) and wind turbine OEMs converting to volume sales.
- Anne Margaret Crow
Fundraising to support growth
Windar has recently completed a subscription raising £1.25m (gross) at 82p/share. The funds from the placing will be used to support growth during H217. Our estimates and valuation remain suspended until the interims, when there should be more clarity on test programmes with independent power providers (IPPs) and wind turbine OEMs converting to volume sales.
- Anne Margaret Crow
Good progress establishing platform for growth
During FY16 Windar took some important strategic steps in rolling out its innovative LiDAR: implementing additional functionality to enlarge the addressable market and modifying its sales channels to focus on the IPP market. While y-o-y revenue growth of 26% was lower than management guidance, the results show substantial reductions in the cost-base and lower losses. Management note that recent order wins are likely to result in high double digit revenue growth during H117 and the company approa...
Ford Equity International Rating and Forecast Report
Ford Equity International Research Reports cover 60 countries with over 30,000 stocks traded on international exchanges. A proprietary quantitative system compares each company to its peers on proven measures of business value, growth characteristics, and investor behavior. Ford's three recommendation ratings buy, hold and sell, represent each stock’s return potential relative to its own country market.. The rating reports which are generated each week, include the fundamental details behind...
- Anne Margaret Crow
Facing headwinds
Windar Photonics’ H116 results show that customer engagement is intensifying, but is not translating into revenues at the rate management had hoped for. The company has taken action to reduce cash burn and speed up the sales cycle. Management notes that these delays will affect H216 and FY17, so we have revised our estimates and indicative valuation.
Update: Chinese contract win points to future growth
Windar’s FY15 results were in line with our forecasts, but lower than the expectations at the time of the IPO in March 2015 because of issues with the distributor in China, which is a key market. These issues appear to have been resolved and we expect renewed activity in China to lead to a ramp-up in sales, beginning in H216. The subscription and factoring arrangement announced in May 2016 remove the funding gap identified in our previous note.
Outlook: Winds of change
Windar’s innovative low-cost, tower-mounted wind measurement system increases wind turbine efficiency and reduces operational wear. Product roll-out during FY15 was delayed due to problems with the distributor in China, which is a key market. These issues appear to have been resolved, leading to an expected ramp-up in sales beginning in Q216.
Initiation: Innovative and disruptive low-cost LIDAR
Windar Photonics’ admission to AIM provides investors with the opportunity to participate in the anticipated strong growth phase of this industrial technology company. Windar was created to commercialise an innovative low-cost, tower-mounted light detection and ranging (LIDAR) wind measurement system designed to increase wind turbine efficiency and reduce operational wear. With initial results showing that wind turbine energy efficiency can be increased by c 1-3%, payback of system installatio...
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