reports
- Carole Braudeau
- Emmanuel Matot
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 18/11/2024
Comme prévu, les actions américaines ont salué la victoire de Donald Trump tandis que les bourses européennes accusaient le coup, également lestées deux jours plus tard par une nouvelle déception sur le plan de relance chinois. Nos stratégies sectorielles et paniers de valeurs Trump (long ou short) ont fonctionné, avec quelques exceptions qui peuvent être des opportunités d’investissement, à l’instar de Total Energies ou Repsol. En Europe, nous conservons notre opinion Sous-pondérer s...
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
BVB BORUSSIA DORTMUND GMBH & CO. KGAA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SOI SOITEC SA
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
ATRY ATRYS HEALTH
TMV TEAMVIEWER AG
VK VALLOUREC SA
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
PLX PLUXEE NV
- Emmanuel Matot
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF Small & MIDCAP MORNING NEWS - 11/18/2024
As expected, US equities welcomed Donald Trump's victory, while European stock markets reacted negatively, also weighed down two days later by a further disappointment on China's stimulus plan. Our sector strategies and baskets of Trump stocks (long or short) have paid off, with a few exceptions that may provide investment opportunities, like Total Energies or Repsol. In Europe, we are maintaining our Underweight recommendation on the Basic Resources, Chemicals, Luxury Goods and Autom...
NXI NEXITY SA CLASS A
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
BVB BORUSSIA DORTMUND GMBH & CO. KGAA
ELE ENDESA S.A.
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
SOI SOITEC SA
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
TRE TECNICAS REUNIDAS SA
ATRY ATRYS HEALTH
TMV TEAMVIEWER AG
VK VALLOUREC SA
ANE CORPORACION ACCIONA ENERGIAS RENOVABLES SA
PLX PLUXEE NV
- Baptiste Lebacq
Vallourec : We had said see you in 10 years (for the dividend)
>Outperform and target price of € 21.7 - Following the results publication and the conference call, we reiterate our Outperform recommendation on the stock (target price € 21.7). We have lowered our 2024-2026e EBITDA forecasts (-3% on average). Vallourec, despite a YTD performance close to 16%, is still showing a discount of 30% (in terms of 2025e EV/EBITDA) vs its main peer Tenaris. Vallourec is reducing its debt more quickly than expected (8 consecutive quarters of...
- Baptiste Lebacq
Vallourec : On s’était dit rendez-vous dans 10 ans (pour le dividende)
>Opinion Surperformance et OC 21.7 € réitérés - Post publication et conférence téléphonique, nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance (OC 21.7 €). Nous avons ajusté nos attentes d’EBITDA 2024/26 à la baisse (-3% en moyenne). Vallourec, malgré une performance YTD proche de 16%, affiche toujours une décote de 30% (en VE/EBITDA 2025e) vs son principal comparable Tenaris. Vallourec se désendette plus rapidement qu’attendu (8 trimestres consécutifs de baisse de sa dette...
- Amira Manai
- Jerôme Bodin
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
APAML APERAM SA
EVT EVOTEC SE
GBF BILFINGER SE
SCR SCOR SE
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
PSM PROSIEBENSAT.1 MEDIA SE
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
ENI ENI S.P.A.
MBB MBB INDUSTRIES SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
REP REPSOL SA
ERG ERG S.P.A.
CARM CARMILA SAS
LTA ALTAMIR ACT PORTEUR
RENE REDES ENERGETICAS NACIONAIS SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
BP. BP P.L.C.
DMP DERMAPHARM HOLDING SE
CAF CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
S92 SMA SOLAR TECHNOLOGY AG
VK VALLOUREC SA
NA9 NAGARRO
AERO MONTANA AEROSPACE AG
MRX MISTER SPEX SE
NVM NOVEM GROUP SA
SHEL SHELL PLC
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON
- Amira Manai
- Jerôme Bodin
EQNR EQUINOR ASA
GALP GALP ENERGIA SGPS SA CLASS B
APAML APERAM SA
EVT EVOTEC SE
GBF BILFINGER SE
SCR SCOR SE
BLC BASTIDE LE CONFORT MEDICAL SA
PSM PROSIEBENSAT.1 MEDIA SE
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
ENI ENI S.P.A.
MBB MBB INDUSTRIES SE
XIOR XIOR STUDENT HOUSING N.V.
REP REPSOL SA
ERG ERG S.P.A.
CARM CARMILA SAS
LTA ALTAMIR ACT PORTEUR
RENE REDES ENERGETICAS NACIONAIS SA
COL INMOBILIARIA COLONIAL SOCIMI SA
BP. BP P.L.C.
DMP DERMAPHARM HOLDING SE
CAF CONSTRUCCIONES Y AUXILIAR DE FERROCARRILES S.A.
S92 SMA SOLAR TECHNOLOGY AG
VK VALLOUREC SA
NA9 NAGARRO
AERO MONTANA AEROSPACE AG
MRX MISTER SPEX SE
NVM NOVEM GROUP SA
SHEL SHELL PLC
CO CASINO GUICHARD-PERRACHON
- Baptiste Lebacq
Vallourec : EBITDA 11%< expectations // Faster deleveraging // Return ...
>Q3 2024 EBITDA 11% < expectations but faster-than-expected deleveraging - Q3 2024 EBITDA came to € 168m, down 22% vs Q2 2024 and below our estimate of € 189m (consensus € 192m). The EBITDA margin was 19%. Tubes EBITDA fell from € 193m in Q3 2023 to € 162m in Q3 2024 due to the fall in profitability in North America. Mine & Forest EBITDA was € 22m in Q3 2024, versus € 39m in Q3 2023, reflecting the decrease in iron ore production sold and lower selling price...
- Baptiste Lebacq
Vallourec : EBITDA 11%< attentes // Désendettement plus rapide // Reto...
>EBITDA T3 24 11% < attentes mais un désendettement plus rapide qu’escompté - EBITDA T3 24 à 168 M€, en baisse de 22% par rapport au T2 2024, il est inférieur à nos prévisions de 189 M€ (consensus à 192 M€). La marge d’EBITDA est de 19%. EBITDA des Tubes passé de 193 M€ au T3 2023 à 162 M€ au T3 2024 en raison de la baisse de la rentabilité en Amérique du Nord. EBITDA Mine & Forêts à 22 M€ au T3 2024, contre 39 M€ au T3 2023, reflétant la diminution de la pr...
- Benoit Valleaux
- Emira Sagaama
- Steven Gould
SOON SONOVA HOLDING AG
LRC LEGRAND
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
CA CARREFOUR SA
CBK COMMERZBANK AG
SW SODEXO SA
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
KBC KBC GROUP N.V.
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
RAA RATIONAL AG
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
AUTO AUTO TRADER GROUP PLC
DHER DELIVERY HERO SE
ADYEN ADYEN NV
DTG DAIMLER TRUCK
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
TEN TENARIS S.A.
QGEN QIAGEN N.V.
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
- Carole Braudeau
- Benoit Valleaux
- Emira Sagaama
- Steven Gould
SOON SONOVA HOLDING AG
LRC LEGRAND
BMW BAYERISCHE MOTOREN WERKE AKTIENGESELLSCHAFT
VIE VEOLIA ENVIRONNEMENT SA
ENGI ENGIE SA.
MT ARCELORMITTAL SA
CA CARREFOUR SA
CBK COMMERZBANK AG
SW SODEXO SA
RHM RHEINMETALL AG
KBC KBC GROUP N.V.
TEP TELEPERFORMANCE SE
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
VER VERBUND AG CLASS A
ENEL ENEL SPA
ASM ASM INTERNATIONAL N.V.
NEM NEMETSCHEK SE
RAA RATIONAL AG
EDW EDP RENOVAVEIS SA
AMS AMADEUS IT GROUP SA CLASS A
AUTO AUTO TRADER GROUP PLC
DHER DELIVERY HERO SE
ADYEN ADYEN NV
DTG DAIMLER TRUCK
ARM ARM HOLDINGS PLC
TEN TENARIS S.A.
QGEN QIAGEN N.V.
ALIV SDB AUTOLIV INC.
- Carole Braudeau
- Emna Ben Bdira
- Maxime Kogge
ArcelorMittal : Solid Q3 print in an unsupportive market
>Solid Q3 driven by resilient Europe and solid Brazil - ArcelorMittal released solid Q3 results with EBITDA of $ 1.58bn, down 15% QoQ and 26% y-o-y but 6% above consensus and 7% above ODDO BHF. The beat was mostly driven by resilient volumes and better costs (including raw mats) that offset lower shipments. By division, Brazil at $ 0.5bn was the sole higher vs Q2, thanks to better seasonality and good cost control. Despite a weaker environment, Europe at $0.4bn also ...
- Emna Ben Bdira
- Maxime Kogge
ArcelorMittal : Solid Q3 print in an unsupportive market
>Solid Q3 driven by resilient Europe and solid Brazil - ArcelorMittal released solid Q3 results with EBITDA of $ 1.58bn, down 15% QoQ and 26% y-o-y but 6% above consensus and 7% above ODDO BHF. The beat was mostly driven by resilient volumes and better costs (including raw mats) that offset lower shipments. By division, Brazil at $ 0.5bn was the sole higher vs Q2, thanks to better seasonality and good cost control. Despite a weaker environment, Europe at $0.4bn also ...
- ING Helpdesk
Benelux Morning Notes
Aalberts: Building already bottoming, industry tough. Air France-KLM: Nobody helps. Alfen: Covenant agreement, hikes output Smart Grid. AMG: Sweet for 2024F, sour for 2025F. ArcelorMittal: 3Q24 EBITDA beats by 6%, FCF solid. BAM: 3Q beats, on its way to reach FY guidance. CMB.TECH: 3Q and FY24 reasonable but then more challenges. D'Ieteren: EGM and dividend dates announced; Belron US peer Boyd disappointing 3Q24. GBL: Double-digit TSR expected over 2024-27F. KBC: 3Q better acro...
ArcelorMittal S.A.: ArcelorMittal reports third quarter 2024 results
ArcelorMittal S.A.: ArcelorMittal reports third quarter 2024 results Luxembourg, November 7, 2024 - ArcelorMittal (referred to as “ArcelorMittal” or the “Company” or the "Group") (MT (New York, Amsterdam, Paris, Luxembourg), MTS (Madrid)), the world’s leading integrated steel and mining company, today announced results1 for the three-month and nine-month periods ended September 30, 2024. 3Q 2024 key highlights: Safety focus: The Company-wide audit of safety by dss+ is now complete. It has provided the Group with a clear set of 6 recommendations which the Company is committed to implement....
ArcelorMittal announces the publication of its third quarter 2024 sell...
ArcelorMittal announces the publication of its third quarter 2024 sell-side analyst consensus figures ArcelorMittal (‘the Company’) today announces the publication of its third quarter 2024 sell-side analyst consensus figures. The consensus figures are based on analysts’ estimates recorded on an external web-based tool provided and managed by an independent company, Visible Alpha. To arrive at the consensus figures below, Visible Alpha has aggregated the expectations of sell-side analysts who, to the best of our knowledge, cover ArcelorMittal on a continuous basis....
- Bruno Cavalier
- Jean Danjou
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – DETAILED COMMENTS 10/14/2024
We are removing GSK from our European Large Caps Convictions List. The company is the only one of the six Big Pharma groups to have experienced a break in trend, which could act as a drag on future publications. Our analyst adjusted this morning his EPS estimates for 2024/2025/2026 by -0.6%, 2.0% and- 3.4% respectively, factoring in weaker growth for Arexvy and Shingrix, hence the lowering of his target price from 2,150p to 1,900p. - ...
CA CARREFOUR SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
ROG ROCHE HOLDING LTD
ORA ORANGE SA
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
SAND SANDVIK AB
EN BOUYGUES SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
SAN SANOFI
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
AIR AIRBUS SE
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
EPI A EPIROC AB
GSK GSK PLC
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
- Bruno Cavalier
- Jean Danjou
- Thomas Zlowodzki
ODDO BHF SECURITIES MORNING NEWS – COMMENTAIRES DETAILLES 14/10/2024
Nous sortons GSK de notre liste de valeurs recommandées Large Caps. La société est la seule des 6 big Pharma à connaître une rupture de tendance qui pourrait peser lors des prochaines publications. Notre analyste ajuste ce jour ses prévisions de BPA 24/25/26 de -0.6%/-2.0%/-3.4% intégrant une plus faible croissance pour Arexvy et Shingrix, ce qui conduit à une baisse de son objectif de cours de 2 150p à 1 900p. - ...
CA CARREFOUR SA
MC LVMH MOET HENNESSY LOUIS VUITTON SE
ROG ROCHE HOLDING LTD
ORA ORANGE SA
NOVN NOVARTIS AG
UHR SWATCH GROUP LTD. BEARER
RMS HERMES INTERNATIONAL SCA
SAND SANDVIK AB
EN BOUYGUES SA
EL ESSILORLUXOTTICA SA
BRBY BURBERRY GROUP PLC
KER KERING SA
SAN SANOFI
HEI HEIDELBERGCEMENT AG
AIR AIRBUS SE
01913 PRADA S.P.A.
MOCORP METSO OUTOTEC OYJ
FDR FLUIDRA S.A.
MONC MONCLER SPA
BC BRUNELLO CUCINELLI S.P.A.
CFR COMPAGNIE FINANCIERE RICHEMONT SA
AZN ASTRAZENECA PLC
ASML ASML HOLDING NV
EPI A EPIROC AB
GSK GSK PLC
NOVO B NOVO NORDISK A/S
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