Post-Q3 trading update, we have again updated our model with an unchanged PT at EUR46 (based on a mix of DCF and SOTP) and a Buy rating.FY 2025 estimates adjustment: We have left our FY 2024 estimates unchanged but cut our FY 2025 EBITDA by c.EUR60m or c.5% to reflect more investments in Korea (rev
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at the annual Bain-Altagamma Luxury Goods study which expects a period of tur
Whereas Q3 was clearly a transitional quarter following the launch of the group's restructuring transformation programme SpexFocus, MRX posted in-line Q3 revenue and a lower aEBITDA loss thanks to a strong GM improvement. Also, as part of SpexFocus aimed at strengthening its "Vision-as-a-service" i
This morning Mister Spex posted in-line Q3 revenue marked by a sharp decline in International (-17%) following future store closures, while Germany posted resilient 2% growth. The aEBITDA loss of EUR1.4m was lower than CSSe (-EUR2.7m) thanks to a solid GM expansion of 300bps. FY24 sales and margin
In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at the impact of Donald Trump's election. Happy reading!
A director at Safilo Group bought 25,773 shares at 0.944EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly s...
Post-Q3, we understand that the EBITDA warning was driven by a delayed and more harmful reshuffling of the commercial offer and subscription programme in Korea, a more temporary than structural element with 2025 set to return to growth and market share gains in the region. We maintain our PT at EUR
This week, National Vision (NV) and Warby Parker (WRBY) both reported positive Q3 numbers, confirming the first signs of stabilisation within the US eyewear market as the two players address different customer bases and price points. Obviously it was too early to draw conclusions from Trump's win o
>Mulling exit from non-core countries: what are they and what do they represent? - In a review of options to increase the value of its share price, Carrefour is considering pullouts from noncore countries, a press article claims. The three core countries are i/ France (45% of sales), ii/ Brazil (23% of sales) and iii/ Spain (13% of sales).The other five non-core countries collectively account for around 20% of sales (€ 18.4bn in 2023 sales).They are Italy (5...
>Cession potentielle de pays non-core : que sont-ils et que représentent-ils ? - Un article de presse mentionne que Carrefour, dans une étude de ses options pour revaloriser son cours de Bourse, étudierait la possibilité de céder des pays non-core. Les 3 pays core sont i/ la France (45% du CA, ii/ le Brésil (23% du CA) et iii/ l’Espagne (13% du CA).Les 5 autres pays non-core représentent globalement c.20% du CA (18.4 Md€ de CA 2023).Il s’agit de l’Italie (5%...
Q3 numbers unveiled yesterday evening were a continuation of Q2 trends with continued margin improvement despite a 3.4% FX-n sales decline (flat growth ex-Jimmy Choo). During the call, management was cautiously optimistic on the back of all regions growing in October but the remainder of the quarte
Post-Q3, we have left our FY 2024-26 estimates unchanged and stick to our SEK30 PT. Cheffelo proved its ability to quickly return to "profitable growth" mode in 2024 and the growth/profitability profile we foresee is interesting. But uncertainty over competitive dynamics in the Nordics prevents us
After outperforming the luxury sector over recent weeks, the stock was subject to profit taking moves yesterday, unleashed by the group's Q3 GM miss which overshadowed the EBIT beat, and another delay in its MT targets. We cut our FY24-26 estimates by 5% on average and adjust our WACC assumptions t
This morning Hugo Boss has reported in-line Q3 sales of EUR1,029m incl. +1% FX-n sales growth thanks to limited exposure to China (c.6% of sales) and a resilient performance in EMEA. Q3 EBIT came in at EUR95m, or 5% above CSSe of EUR90m as the miss at the GM level was more than offset by tighter op
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