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Clement Genelot
  • Clement Genelot

Delivery Hero: model update

Post-Q3 trading update, we have again updated our model with an unchanged PT at EUR46 (based on a mix of DCF and SOTP) and a Buy rating.FY 2025 estimates adjustment: We have left our FY 2024 estimates unchanged but cut our FY 2025 EBITDA by c.EUR60m or c.5% to reflect more investments in Korea (rev

Cedric Rossi ... (+4)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan
  • Philippine Adam

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #48

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at the annual Bain-Altagamma Luxury Goods study which expects a period of tur

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

Well on track to meet FY24 targets and savings in FY25-26

Whereas Q3 was clearly a transitional quarter following the launch of the group's restructuring transformation programme SpexFocus, MRX posted in-line Q3 revenue and a lower aEBITDA loss thanks to a strong GM improvement. Also, as part of SpexFocus aimed at strengthening its "Vision-as-a-service" i

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

Mister Spex: first take on Q3 results

This morning Mister Spex posted in-line Q3 revenue marked by a sharp decline in International (-17%) following future store closures, while Germany posted resilient 2% growth. The aEBITDA loss of EUR1.4m was lower than CSSe (-EUR2.7m) thanks to a solid GM expansion of 300bps. FY24 sales and margin

Cedric Rossi ... (+4)
  • Cedric Rossi
  • Clement Genelot
  • Loic Morvan
  • Philippine Adam

On the shelves now: Consumer Weekly #47

In this Consumer Weekly newsletter, we provide a brief overview of the key factors affecting our Consumer coverage, from Luxury & Consumer goods to Retail & E-commerce and Food & Ingredients. This week we look at the impact of Donald Trump's election. Happy reading!

Safilo Group: 1 director

A director at Safilo Group bought 25,773 shares at 0.944EUR and the significance rating of the trade was 52/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the last two years clearly s...

Clement Genelot
  • Clement Genelot

Delivery Hero: all eyes on asset value maximisation ahead of Korea rel...

Post-Q3, we understand that the EBITDA warning was driven by a delayed and more harmful reshuffling of the commercial offer and subscription programme in Korea, a more temporary than structural element with 2025 set to return to growth and market share gains in the region. We maintain our PT at EUR

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

US eyewear: groups embrace the holiday season with cautious optimism

This week, National Vision (NV) and Warby Parker (WRBY) both reported positive Q3 numbers, confirming the first signs of stabilisation within the US eyewear market as the two players address different customer bases and price points. Obviously it was too early to draw conclusions from Trump's win o

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 11/07/2024

Banco BPM reports strong Q3 results and launches a takeover bid on Anima. Coty: cautious tone after Q1 results. Call and tender offer on certain bonds maturing in 2026.>...

Geoffroy Michalet
  • Geoffroy Michalet

Carrefour : Rumors of Non-Core Country Divestiture Studies by the Comp...

>Mulling exit from non-core countries: what are they and what do they represent? - In a review of options to increase the value of its share price, Carrefour is considering pullouts from noncore countries, a press article claims. The three core countries are i/ France (45% of sales), ii/ Brazil (23% of sales) and iii/ Spain (13% of sales).The other five non-core countries collectively account for around 20% of sales (€ 18.4bn in 2023 sales).They are Italy (5...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 07/11/2024

Banco BPM publie de solides résultats T3 et lance une offre sur Anima Coty : un ton prudent après les résultats T1. Rachat de certaines obligations 2026.>...

Geoffroy Michalet
  • Geoffroy Michalet

Carrefour : Rumeurs d’étude de cessions de pays non-core par la sociét...

>Cession potentielle de pays non-core : que sont-ils et que représentent-ils ? - Un article de presse mentionne que Carrefour, dans une étude de ses options pour revaloriser son cours de Bourse, étudierait la possibilité de céder des pays non-core. Les 3 pays core sont i/ la France (45% du CA, ii/ le Brésil (23% du CA) et iii/ l’Espagne (13% du CA).Les 5 autres pays non-core représentent globalement c.20% du CA (18.4 Md€ de CA 2023).Il s’agit de l’Italie (5%...

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

Safilo: Q3 continuation of Q2, promising growth in October

Q3 numbers unveiled yesterday evening were a continuation of Q2 trends with continued margin improvement despite a 3.4% FX-n sales decline (flat growth ex-Jimmy Choo). During the call, management was cautiously optimistic on the back of all regions growing in October but the remainder of the quarte

Clement Genelot
  • Clement Genelot

Cheffelo: better profile but uncertain HelloFresh playbook in the Nord...

Post-Q3, we have left our FY 2024-26 estimates unchanged and stick to our SEK30 PT. Cheffelo proved its ability to quickly return to "profitable growth" mode in 2024 and the growth/profitability profile we foresee is interesting. But uncertainty over competitive dynamics in the Nordics prevents us

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

Hugo Boss: still limited visibility on FY25 outlook and MT targets

After outperforming the luxury sector over recent weeks, the stock was subject to profit taking moves yesterday, unleashed by the group's Q3 GM miss which overshadowed the EBIT beat, and another delay in its MT targets. We cut our FY24-26 estimates by 5% on average and adjust our WACC assumptions t

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Credit Morning 11/05/2024

Carrefour said to be mulling several options to increase valuation (Bloomberg) Schaeffler Q3 24 results: Steep earnings decline and new cost optimisation program Auchan Retail reportedly plans to cut between 2,100 and 2,300 jobs>...

Carole Braudeau
  • Carole Braudeau

Morning Crédit 05/11/2024

Auchan Retail prévoirait la suppression de 2 100 à 2 300 postes Carrefour étudierait plusieurs options pour augmenter sa valorisation (Bloomberg) Schaeffler Q3 24 results: Steep earnings decline and new cost optimisation program>...

Cedric Rossi
  • Cedric Rossi

Hugo Boss: resilient sales increase and EBIT beat in Q3

This morning Hugo Boss has reported in-line Q3 sales of EUR1,029m incl. +1% FX-n sales growth thanks to limited exposure to China (c.6% of sales) and a resilient performance in EMEA. Q3 EBIT came in at EUR95m, or 5% above CSSe of EUR90m as the miss at the GM level was more than offset by tighter op

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