As Spring approaches, we see industry-wide destocking coming to an end, emerging recovery trends in China gaining momentum and European spot energy cost relief rolling in, all helping to restore plant utilisation and earnings. We add more cyclicality to our preferred names, upgrading BASF to Outperform (Neutral). Momentum being regained in specialties chemicals distribution triggers our upgrade of IMCD to Outperform (Neutral). ‘From record to record’ remains our mantra at FUCHS. ...
Two Directors at Lanxess AG bought 13,065 shares at between 24.857EUR and 24.948EUR. The significance rating of the trade was 70/100. Is that information sufficient for you to make an investment decision? This report gives details of those trades and adds context and analysis to them such that you can judge whether these trading decisions are ones worth following. Included in the report is a detailed share price chart which plots discretionary trades by all the company's directors over the las...
Banks tick all the boxes in the market’s current configuration: search for discounted sectors, cyclical momentum, sectors driven by long-term interest rates that remain high and shareholder returns through very high dividend yields. Technical analysis reveals a strong conviction since early March, and this should continue. We prefer banks in southern Europe, where the macro outlook is brighter. Alongside CaixaBank, which we are maintaining in our list of European Large Cap stocks, we ...
Les banques cochent toutes les cases de la configuration de marché actuelle : recherche de secteurs décotés, momentum cyclique, secteurs portés par des taux longs qui restent hauts, retour à l’actionnaire via un très haut dividend yield. L’analyse technique montre une forte conviction depuis début mars, qui devrait se poursuivre. Nous favorisons les banques du sud de l’Europe, à la macro plus avenante. Aux côtés de CaixaBank, que nous conservons dans notre liste de valeurs Large Caps ...
>Q4 EBITDA pre of € 97m in line with consensus of € 95m, record OpFCF 23 - Group sales declined by 27% y-o-y to € 1,436m (consensus € 1,595m) including a volume decline of 12% y-o-y (Q3 23: -14% y-oy). EBITDA pre of € 97m was in line with the consensus of € 95m (ODDO BHF € 105m) and down 45% y-o-y, as the focus was on inventory management. It was also down seasonally q-o-q (Q3 23: € 119m). Advanced Intermediates saw € 24m vs € 30m in Q3 23 and Specialty Additives € 41...
>€ 413m goodwill impairment on weaker demand in F&F and Polymer Additives, c. 22% of goodwill YE 2022 - FY 2023 accounts of Lanxess will show an impairment of € 413m, i.e. c. 22%, of the € 1.8bn goodwill reported YE 2022. Impairments are linked to Business Units Flavors & Fragrances and Polymer Additives, citing 'demand that has partly developed weaker than expected in the respective Business Units, especially for the years 2023 and 2024.'Low- to mid-3-di...
>Management sees >€ 1bn EBITDA potential when back to 'normal' - We joined a sell-side meeting with CEO and CFO of Lanxess, reiterating earlier statements that poor global plant utilisation of around 55% (vs 70% in already challenging 2022) was one of the major headwinds in 2023, when Lanxess guides for EBITDA pre of € 500-550m (cons €530m).2024 outlook +180m EBITDA bridge items before any volume recovery reiterated, in line with current consensus: - ...
Moody's Investors Service (Moody's) downgraded Lanxess AG's (Lanxess) long term issuer rating to Baa3 from Baa2 and the ratings of Lanxess' senior unsecured notes and the senior unsecured MTN program rating to Baa3 and (P)Baa3 from Baa2 and (P)Baa2 respectively. The outlook remains negative. RAT...
The IEA’s Net Zero Emissions (NZE) scenario has served as a basis for many stakeholders since 2021 (coalitions of investors, companies, SBTi, etc.). The NZE’s update was eagerly awaited, following the upheavals in the energy landscape caused notably by the Russian-Ukrainian war. Issued a few days ago, the update provides investors with some critical new insights into trends, perspectives and possibilities for decarbonising businesses. - ...
Le style qualité est celui qui performe le mieux depuis la dernière réunion de la Fed et la remontée des taux concomitante à une aggravation des inquiétudes sur le cycle en Europe. Nous avons sélectionné au sein du Stoxx 600, dans notre univers de couverture, les 25 valeurs correspondant le mieux à ce style Qualité, avec une recommandation Surperformance et un potentiel de plus de 20% par rapport aux objectifs de cours des analystes de notre bureau d’études actions. - ...
>More of the same in Q3, expect EBITDA to regain only 19% q-o-q to € 127m - Lanxess is due to report Q3 results on 8 November, when we don’t expect much to cheer about as underlying markets hardly improved and high production cost inventories still weigh. Hence, the targeted € 50m one-time cost savings announced in summer may have contributed to a sequential improvement of EBITDA pre-exceptionals of +19% q-o-q to € 127m from a very weak and idle cost-driven Q2 of € 10...
Moody's Investors Service (Moody's) has today changed Lanxess AG's (Lanxess or the company) outlook to negative from stable. All existing ratings have been affirmed: (1) long-term issuer rating at Baa2, (2) senior unsecured ratings at Baa2 and (3) senior unsecured programme rating at (P)Baa2. A f...
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