AUCTUS PUBLICATIONS ________________________________________ ADX Energy (ADX AU)C; target of A$0.75 per share: Reflections on Welchau – IIndependent consultants have calculated that each of the three reservoirs encountered at Welchau (Reifling - 128 metres, Steinalm -118 metres and the Guttenstein - 111 metres) are hydrocarbon bearing with uncertainty on the hydrocarbon type. Laboratory work on the Steinalm reservoir has confirmed the full properties ofthe 43° API light sweet oil that was recove...
ASR: Sale of KNAB to Austrian BAWAG for €510m opens up capital options. BE Semiconductor Industries: Peer K&S provides weak 1Q24 guidance. Corbion: Plus ça change, plus c'est la même chose. DWS: Solid. Euronav: Solid year-end ahead of transformation. Philips: Peer Healthineers reports 1Q24 update. Shell plc: Strong end to FY23
>Upward revision to the demand base, level of growth confirmed - The IEA revised up its data for the 2020-2022 period and confirmed growth in demand of +3.2 Mb/d in 2022 (+5.6 Mb/d in 2021) and therefore anticipates demand this year of 100.6 Mb/d vs the 99.7 Mb/d announced in January (a comparison base of 0.8 Mb/d which notably affects China and Saudi Arabia) with demand that should exceed its pre-Covid level of 100.3 Mb/d. This demand is underpinned by the easing o...
>Une base de la demande revue en hausse, niveau de croissance confirmé - L’AIE a revu ses bases de calcul sur la période de 2020/2022. Elle confirme une croissance de la demande de 3.2 Mb/j en 2022 (+5.6 Mb/j en 2021) à 100.6 Mb/j vs 99.7 Mb/j annoncés en janvier (un effet de base de 0.8 Mb/j qui touche notamment la Chine et l’Arabie Saoudite) soit au-dessus du niveau pré-COVID de 100.3 Mb/j. Cette demande est soutenue par l’assouplissement des restrictions de circu...
The market is characterised at the beginning of this year by a rotation towards value combined with a fall in the indices. We are tempted, reasonably enough, to justify this trend, by the prospect of monetary normalisation linked to the persistence of high inflation but also, which we tend to forget, macroeconomic growth well above its potential rate. This combination of monetary normalisation and growth is acting as a catalyst for powerful mean-reversion trends which we expect to la...
>Feedback conference call: 1/3rd expenditures for Energy Transition - CEO Ben van Beurden and CFO Jessica Uhl were hosting Shell’s Q4 conference call with the slide below probably the key slide to look at for financial driven investors. On cash capex, Shell in 2022 aims to grow to the low-end of the $ 23-27bn guidance range (up from $ 20bn in 2021) with main focus on growing its Marketing (retail stations, lubricants) capex to c. $ 5-6bn from c. $ 3bn, and with Renewa...
>Q4 adjusted earnings $ 6.4bn vs. $ 5.2bn consensus - Earnings. Shell’s Q4 adjusted earnings have come in at $ 6,391m, well above the $ 5,224m Vara consensus estimate. Looking at the breakdown by segment it especially was Integrated Gas coming in at $ 4,052m (consensus $ 2,823m) which made the difference this quarter. But also Upstream was better than expected at $ 2,832m (consensus $ 2,565m), while Oil Products $ 555m (consensus $ 818m) and Chemicals minus $ 42m (con...
Oil companies have posted better results with the price per barrel at $ 70/b than in 2011 at $ 111/b helping to increase cash returns and accelerate the re-rating. We have revised up our Brent scenario to $ 80/b for 2022 and $ 75/b for 2023-2025 leading to an average 30% increase in our EPS estimates for 2022-2023 and 10% for our target prices. TotalEnergies remains our Top Pick. We have upgraded our recommendations to Outperform for Repsol and BP and downgraded Galp to Underperf...
Les compagnies énergétiques affichent de meilleurs résultats avec un baril à 70 $/b qu’en 2011 à 111 $/b permettant d’augmenter le retour de cash et d’accélérer le rerating. Nous relevons notre scenario de Brent à 80 $/b pour 2022 et 75 $/b pour 2023/2025 conduisant à une hausse de 30% en moyenne de nos estimations de BPA 2022/23 et de 10% nos OC. Total Energies reste notre top pick. Nous relevons Repsol à Surperformance et BP à Neutre mais abaissons GALP à Sous-performance. - §n...
Transaction in Own Shares Transaction in Own Shares 28 January 2022 • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Shell plc (the ‘Company’) announces that on 28 January 2022 it purchased the following number of 'B' Shares for cancellation. Aggregated information on “B” shares purchased according to trading venues: Date of purchaseNumber of “B” shares purchasedHighest price paid(GBP)Lowest price paid(GBP)Volume weighted average price paid per share(GBP)Venue 28/01/2022136,55019.16618.78818.923LSE These share purchases form part of the Company's share buy-back arrangement previously ann...
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