HEADLINES: • Romania macro: PSD triggers coalition collapse • Polish real estate: from boom to balance (Develia stays BUY, Dom Development (transfer of coverage) and Murapol upgraded to BUY) • Diagnostyka: 4Q25 results below expectations; soft guidance on margins in FY26E NEGATIVE • Kety: proposes PLN 49.05 DPS (4.4% yield), 4% below our expectations NEUTRAL • Cyfrowy Polsat: identifies negative one-offs of PLN 2.8bn; 4Q25E preview update NEGATIVE • Santander Bank Polska (soon to be Erste Bank P...
HEADLINES: • Romania macro: ruling coalition at risk of breaking soon • PGE: 4Q25 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: post-4Q25 earnings call takeaways POSITIVE • Czechoslovak Group: bags new munitions contract POSITIVE • Premier Energy: agrees to buy power distributor Oltenia • Short News (ING, SHO, VRC)
HEADLINES: • Auto Partner: 4Q25 EBITDA 4% above the consensus and 5% below our estimate NEUTRAL • Murapol: 4Q25 conference call takeaways POSITIVE • Enea: proposes PLN 0.56 DPS from the 2025 profit NEUTRAL • PGE: recommends no dividend payment for 2025 NEUTRAL • PZU: conclusion of competition for Management Board member – former CFO not on the list • CEZ: PM Babis says first steps towards privatisation at upcoming AGM NEUTRAL • Arcelik: 1Q26E earnings preview (due on 22 April) • Short News (CBF)
HEADLINES: • Murapol: 4Q25 slightly below our forecasts, but close to the consensus NEUTRAL • Murapol: 1Q26 sales up 8% yoy, handovers significantly lower NEUTRAL • Enea: 4Q25 in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • XTB S.A.: KNF issues PLN 20m fine over historical onboarding and product governance shortcomings NEGATIVE • Mo-BRUK: new contract signed for PLN 6.9m net NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: revised amortisation method for Frostpunk 2 and The Alters NEUTRAL • Alior Bank: 1Q26E preview (due on ...
HEADLINES: • Metlen Energy & Metals: 2025 EBITDA drops 30% to EUR 753m, in line with warning NEUTRAL • Develia: 4Q25 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Synektik: solid delivery for the FY 2Q25 (CY 1Q26) order book NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: new publishing project announced NEUTRAL • Orange Polska: 1Q26E preview – 6% yoy EBITDAaL growth expected (due on 22 April) • CEZ: Dukovany can operate until 2065-67 POSITIVE • DIGI Communications: new share issuance; new price target • NLB Group: takeover bi...
HEADLINES: • Czechoslovak Group: ReArming Europe – from ammo to armour (BUY - initiation of coverage) • Develia: strong handovers in 1Q26 (2.3x higher yoy), slightly disappointing sales (10% lower yoy) NEUTRAL • Kruk: 1Q26 trading update NEUTRAL • Kruk: recommends PLN 20 DPS • Huuuge Games: preliminary 1Q26 revenue at USD 56.5m, down 9% yoy and 4% qoq NEGATIVE • Bank Millennium: to book PLN 190m of FX mortgage saga provisions in 1Q26E NEUTRAL • Budimex: FBSerwis to remain within the group NEUTRA...
HEADLINES: • Develia : 4Q25 EBIT and net income 26% above our expectations, following stronger gross margin and lower SG&As POSITIVE • Develia: preliminary agreement to acquire major residential project in Gdańsk POSITIVE • Text: 4Q25-26 (calendar 1Q26) preliminary results – MRR of USD 6.93m (down 0.7% qoq and 2.7% yoy) NEGATIVE • Grupa Pracuj: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call • 11 bit studios: announces DLC for Frostpunk 2 and Nintendo Switch port of Frostpunk POSITIVE • Jeronimo Marti...
EME Equity Market – March 2026 All indices decline, with Greek ASE posting the steepest loss. The MSCI EM Europe Index fell 8.0% mom in EUR terms and 10.8% mom in USD terms in March. The Greek ASE was the worst performer (-9.3% mom); followed by the Czech PX (-6.7% mom); the Hungarian BUX (-6.2% mom); the Turkish ISE30 (-5.1% mom); and the Polish WIG20 (-4.5% mom; all in EUR terms). The Romanian BET proved the most resilient, declining just 1.2% mom, in EUR terms.
HEADLINES: • Asseco Poland: 4Q25 review – net profit up 4.5x yoy, in line with the consensus; 2026 backlog up 19% yoy NEUTRAL • DataWalk: actual 4Q25 numbers fully in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL • Kety: preliminary 1Q26 EBITDA and net profit above our expectations POSITIVE • PGE: decent 4Q25 preliminary results (adjusted recurring EBITDA 17% above expectations), distorted by one-offs POSITIVE • Tauron: 4Q25 conference call takeaways NEUTRAL • Wirtualna Polska: announces tender to acquire own...
HEADLINES: • Dino Polska: 12-15% EBITDA miss in 4Q25; bearish guidance for 2026E NEGATIVE • Budimex: full 4Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Budimex: management recommends DPS of PLN 32.42 from the 2025 earnings (4.9% DY) POSITIVE • Inter Cars: preliminary 4Q25 EBITDA in line with expectations NEUTRAL • Kety: full 4Q25 results in line with the preliminaries NEUTRAL • Murapol: Hampont files for sole control acquisition of Murapol NEUTRAL • VIGO Photonics: acquires InfraRed Asso...
HEADLINES: • Jeronimo Martins: miss in 4Q25 on other financial costs; flat yoy capex guidance for 2026E, DPS proposal yields 3% NEUTRAL • Rainbow Tours: impact of the geopolitical situation in the Middle East on operations NEUTRAL • 11 bit studios: 4Q25E preview – EBITDA to decline by 32% qoq (due on 20 April) • Optima Bank SA: non-binding EUROXX Securities offer worth up to EUR 65.5m NEUTRAL • Austriacard: 2025E preview (due on 23 March)
HEADLINES: • Theon International: model update due to KAPPA and Exosens deals (stays BUY) • InPost: 4Q25 well below expectations due to the UK; only flat FY26E EBITDA guidance NEGATIVE • DataWalk: preliminary 4Q25 results – sales down 26% yoy, to PLN 6.68m NEGATIVE • cyber_Folks: final 4Q25 group results fully in line with preliminaries NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: management recommends DPS of PLN 0.15 from 2025 earnings NEUTRAL • OMV Petrom: announces dividend proposal NEUTRAL • Trade Estates: FFO u...
HEADLINES: • BIM: 4Q25 results – strong beat POSITIVE • Enea: preliminary 4Q25 EBITDA 25% below expectations on Supply one-offs; adjusted EBITDA 2% below forecast NEUTRAL • Enea / Tauron: URE orders additional payments to the Price Difference Payment Fund NEUTRAL • PGE: completes acquisition of 350 MW Bałtyk II offshore wind project from RWE NEUTRAL • Warsaw Stock Exchange: PLN 10.7m impairment losses to spoil otherwise strong quarter (due on 23 March) NEGATIVE • Footshop: preliminary 4Q25 resul...
The majority of European real estate seems to have sailed through the rate hikes surprisingly smoothly. There appears to be a broad consensus among companies and realtors that the trough in values may have passed, and that 2026E may see a continued transaction volume recovery, led by prime assets. Valuations are broadly expected to be income driven, with limited room for yield compression, as rates remain stable. Investors appear selective, favouring prime, core assets; while secondary, older st...
GEVORKYAN has posted a weak set of 4Q25 results, with the EBITDA 23% below our estimate, driven by softer revenue growth and a weaker other operating result. The net profit was negative, at -EUR 1.5m, reflecting higher-than-anticipated D&A and a lower net financial result. For full-year 2025, the company’s EBITDA missed the low end of its 2025 guidance by 6%, although it has reiterated its mid-term (2026-29E) guidance.
HEADLINES: • Grupa Pracuj: valuation harmed unjustly by AI threat (stays BUY) • Inter Cars: February sales up by 11% yoy POSITIVE • Zabka: 4Q25E results preview – 12% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 19 March) NEUTRAL • MOL: Hungary to cap fuel pump prices NEGATIVE • Sok Marketler: recovery in operating results continued in 4Q25 POSITIVE • GEVORKYAN: preliminary 4Q25 miss on P&L lines; 2025 below the lower end of management's guidance, tight balance sheet NEGATIVE
HEADLINES: • EMEA airlines: oil price spike negative NEGATIVE • Budimex: PLN 2.59bn rail contract signed with PKP PLK NEUTRAL • Auto Partner: February sales growth of 3.4% yoy NEGATIVE • Diagnostyka: 4Q25E preview – 8% yoy EBITDA growth expected (due on 20 April) NEUTRAL • CEZ: 4Q25E earnings preview (due on 12 March) • Jumbo: February sales growth slows to 3% yoy on tough comps, as expected NEUTRAL • Mavi: 4Q25E earnings preview (due on 17 March) • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (27 Febru...
HEADLINES: • Modivo Group: the role of a serial disruptor is never easy (stays BUY) • Budimex: built on solid ground, priced for perfection (HOLD - transfer of coverage) • Budimex: 4Q25 conference highlights NEUTRAL • cyber_Folks / Shoper: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • Vercom: key takeaways from the 4Q25 earnings call POSITIVE • PGE: PLN 12.1bn loan impairment recognised in stand-alone accounts NEGATIVE • Rainbow Tours: summer 2026E season pre-sales accelerate to +10.9% yo...
We maintain our BUY on Modivo (formerly CCC), but cut our 12M price target (PT) to PLN 142, from PLN 227. Following the successful introduction of its own off-price concept and licensed brands, Modivo switched to another gear, but encountered a wall of weak demand, triggered by a decline in the propensity to consume and the unfavourable weather. From the peak of its inventories in 3Q24, the company has reduced its rotation by 10%, at the expense of a 160bps gross margin investment in FY25E. Stil...
EME Equity Market – February 2026 Muted performance across the region, with the Turkish ISE the best performer. The MSCI EM Europe Index declined by 0.7% mom in EUR terms and 2.1% mom in USD terms in February. The Turkish ISE was the top performer, adding 5.4% mom in EUR terms; while the Polish WIG and the Romanian BET improved slightly (+0.9% and +0.3% mom, respectively, in EUR terms). The Czech PX and the Greek ASE were the worst performers (-4.9%, and -3.0% mom, respectively, in EUR terms), w...
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