reports
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MBK PW; OTP HB; MIL PW; CCC PW; DNP PW; EAT PW; MOL HB; M ...
HEADLINES: • mBank: solid 1Q24 results justify one of the top market valuations (1Q24 P/BV of 2.1x) POSITIVE • OTP Bank: books solid 1Q24, keeps 2024E guidance unchanged NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 1Q24 results in line • CCC: 40% EBITDA beat in 1Q24, on opex control POSITIVE • Dino: 2-7% EBITDA miss in 1Q24 NEGATIVE • AmRest: 1Q24 broadly in line with our forecasts, but below the consensus NEGATIVE • MOL: 1Q24 results – EBITDA below expectations on maintenance NEUTRAL • MedLife: 1Q24 results poin...
MOL MOL NYRT
HTO HELLENIC TELECOMMUNICATIONS ORGANIZATION SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
CCC CCC SA
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
BVB S.C. BURSA DE VALORI BUCURESTI S.A.
M MED LIFE
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
4IG 4IG NYRT
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: BDX PW; EU Oil & Gas Monthly; BHW PW; PKO PW; MIL PW; CAR ...
HEADLINES: • Budimex: 1Q24 EBIT 13% above our forecast on solid gross margin, but broadly in line with the consensus POSITIVE • European oil and gas monthly: April 2024 – margins retreating • Bank Handlowy: to pay PLN 10/share dividend NEUTRAL • PKO BP: estimates cost of credit holidays extension at PLN 489m NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: expects a PLN 201-247m impact from the 2024E credit holidays extension for PLN mortgagors NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: April sales recover by 19.5% yoy POSITIVE • MOL: 1Q...
- Jonathan Lamb
European Oil and Gas Monthly: April 2024 – margins retreating
Refining margins retreated again in April, by USD 1.2/bbl, to USD 12.6/bbl, remaining about 40% higher than usual for the season. Petrol cracks continued their seasonal rising trend, but diesel weakened more. Polymer margins had a positive month, but olefins and aromatics saw their margins go the other way.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ING PW; SOLUTION AB; EME Macro/Strategy weekly; HUG PW; TE...
HEADLINES: • ING BSK: 1Q24 results softer than demanding market expectations, but our medium-term outlook confirmed NEGATIVE • Solutions by STC: mixed 1Q24 financial results NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (29 April-5 May) • Huuuge Games: April bookings estimate at USD 11m, down 21% mom NEGATIVE • Ten Square Games: April bookings estimate down 20% mom NEGATIVE • 11 bit studios: INDIKA release attracts very positive reviews on Steam, but low peak in number of players NEGATIVE • Cyf...
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
MTELEKOM MAGYAR TELEKOM TELECOMMUNICATIONS
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
HUGE HUUUGE
7202 ARABIAN INTERNET & COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES CO
- Research Team
The Rear-View Mirror – EME markets: all geographies in the green in Ap...
EME Equity Market – April 2024 Market performance – green across all geographies, with Turkey outperforming. The MSCI EM Europe Index was up 5.3% mom in EUR terms and 4.2% mom in USD in April; while the Turkish ISE30 saw the strongest performance, adding 11.6% mom; followed by the Hungarian BUX (+5.0% mom); the Czech PX (+2.8% mom); the Greek ASE (+1.8% mom), the Polish WIG20 (+1.2% mom) and the Romanian BET (+0.1% mom) (all in EUR terms).
EUROB EUROBANK ERGASIAS SERVICES & HOLDINGS SA
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
JMT JERONIMO MARTINS SGPS S.A.
KRU KRUK S.A.
MOL MOL NYRT
EBS ERSTE GROUP BANK AG
CEZ CEZ AS
OMV OMV AG
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
ALK ALKALOID AD SKOPJE
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
MIL BANK MILLENNIUM SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
BDX BUDIMEX S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
PKN POLSKI KONCERN NAFTOWY ORLEN S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
CCOLA COCA-COLA ICECEK A.S.
GTC GLOBE TRADE CENTRE S.A.
2310 SAHARA INTERNATIONAL PETROCHEMICAL COMPANY
DOM DOM DEVELOPMENT SA
AEGN AEGEAN AIRLINES SA
BFT BENEFIT SYSTEMS S.A. ALLOTMENT
PGE PGE POLSKA GRUPA ENERGETYCZNA S.A.
PGSUS.E PEGASUS HAVA TASIMACILIGI AS
APR AUTO PARTNER SA
TPEIR PIRAEUS BANK SA
ALPHA ALPHA BANK AE
PPC PUBLIC POWER CORPORATION S.A.
OTP OTP BANK NYRT
CAR INTER CARS S.A.
ARCLK ARCELIK A.S.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
THYAO TURK HAVA YOLLARI A.O.
TUPRS TURKIYE PETROL RAFINERILERI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
CPS CYFROWY POLSAT SA
MBR MO-BRUK S.A.
GPW WARSAW STOCK EXCHANGE
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
OTOEL AUTOHELLAS S.A.
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
WPL WIRTUALNA POLSKA HOLDING SA
TLV BANCA TRANSILVANIA S.A.
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
H4L1 HALYK SAVINGS BANK OF KAZAKHSTAN GDR
SNP PETROM S.A.
DIGI DIGI COMMUNICATIONS NV
DNP DINO POLSKA S.A.
NBGGY NATIONAL BANK OF GREECE S.A. ADS
SNN SOCIETATEA NATIONALA NUCLEARELECTRICA SA
ELSA SOCIETATEA ENERGETICA ELECTRICA
GEB BANK OF GEORGIA
M MED LIFE
ADNOCDIST ADNOC DISTRIBUTION PJSC
SOKM SOK MARKETLER TICARET AS
KAP NATIONAL ATOMIC COMPANY KAZATOMPROM
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
ALG ALLEGRO.EU SA
CZG CESKA ZBROJOVKA GROUP
KSPI KASPI KZ
INPST INPOST S.A.
HUGE HUUUGE
PCO PEPCO GROUP NV
GPP KAZMUNAYGAS NC JSC
KLKIM GRUPA PRACUJ DA
ADNOCDRILL KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
AROBS ADNOC DRILLING CO
2381 AROBS TRANSILVANIA SOFTWARE SA
9526 ARABIAN DRILLING CO.
SHO JAHEZ INTERNATIONAL CO
BOROUGE SHOPER SA
AIRA BOROUGE
GEV AIR ASTANA JSC
GEVORKYAN A.S.
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CTPNV NA; GE Macro; RBI AV; AIRA LI; TPEIR GA; ALK MS; ETE...
HEADLINES: • CTP: better late than never (upgraded to BUY) • Georgia macro: protests in Tbilisi • Raiffeisen Bank International: posts solid 1Q24, keeps 2024E guidance (but only on ex. Russia and Belarus basis), facing huge pressure to address Russia and Belarus exposures from officials • Air Astana Group: 1Q24 – 15% ASK growth, RASK down slightly yoy, but CASK stable • Piraeus Financial Holdings: 1Q24 highlights NEUTRAL • Alkaloid: 1Q24 numbers a strong start to the year POSITIVE • National Ban...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SPL PW; PEO PW; PCF PW; EBS AV; OMV AV; BOROUGE UH; SNP RO...
HEADLINES: • Santander Bank Polska: 1Q24 results – 19%+ headline ROE affected only slightly by FX mortgage saga costs • Bank Pekao: 1Q24 results in line with market's expectations NEUTRAL • PCF Group: 4Q23 headlines hit heavily by write-offs, but a more limited EBITDA loss than we had expected NEUTRAL • Erste Bank: 1Q24 results NEUTRAL • OMV: 1Q24 results – chemicals stronger than expected NEUTRAL • Borouge: 1Q24 results – better than expected POSITIVE • OMV Petrom: 1Q24 results NEUTRAL • Garan...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: ARCLK TI; SIPCHEM AB; KRU PW; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; T...
HEADLINES: • Arcelik: weak bottom-line performance in 1Q24 NEGATIVE • Sipchem: 1Q24 results – weak net income NEGATIVE • Kruk: issues flash 1Q24 net profit of PLN 338m NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (22-28 April) • Türkiye macro: MPC takes a pause, but hiking cycle not over yet • OTP Bank: CEO Csanyi speaks at AGM on future acquisitions and Russian exposure POSITIVE • Budimex: BXF Energia acquires 60 MW photovoltaic project NEUTRAL • Inter Cars: dividend policy for 2023-25E and p...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: MONET CP; ALR PW; SHO PW; MBR PW; WIZZ LN; ASELS TI; OPL P...
HEADLINES: • MONETA Money Bank: strong 1Q24 delivery, on better-than- expected revenues POSITIVE • Alior Bank: books small beat on 1Q24 delivery, driven by low credit risk charges; robust 2024E outlook supported POSITIVE • Shoper: 1Q24 adjusted EBITDA 9% above our expectations; FY23 results in line with prelims POSITIVE • Mo-BRUK: 4% miss vs. our 4Q23 adjusted EBITDA forecast, weak cash flows NEGATIVE • Wizz Air: fiscal 2024 post-close trading update POSITIVE • Aselsan: CEO's comments on exports...
TPS ORANGE POLSKA S.A.
ASELS ASELSAN ELEKTRONIK SANAYI VE TICARET A.S. CLASS B
CCC CCC SA
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
VGO VIGO SYSTEM SA
MONET MONETA MONEY BANK AS
EAT AMREST HOLDINGS SE
TEN TEN SQUARE GAMES
INPST INPOST S.A.
SHO SHOPER SA
BOROUGE BOROUGE
AIRA AIR ASTANA JSC
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: CCOLA TI; EME Macro/Strategy Weekly; BFT PW; GE Macro; KAP...
HEADLINES: • Coca-Cola İçecek: to new horizons (stays BUY) • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (15-21 April) • Benefit Systems: acquires 18.5% stake in SmartLunch in exchange for shares in Lunching and a PLN 38m cash payment NEUTRAL • Georgia macro: offshore law passes third reading • Kazatomprom: BoD proposes a dividend of KZT 1,213/share NEUTRAL • Short News (HUG, OPL, MTELEKOM)
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: LPP - the glass is half full (stays BUY), EUR PW, 11B PW, ...
• LPP: the glass is half full (stays BUY) • Eurocash: 4Q23 beat on costs, profit warning for 1Q24E • 11 bit studios: 4Q23 adjusted EBITDA beats expectations on a solid top line • Polish banks: 2024 contributions to the BFG • MOL: oil production starts on a new platform at ACG field • Ford Otosan: completes the Eurobond book-building process • Kalekim: 2023 IAS 29 results - strong operating results • Lamda: 4Q23 results - a significant step-up in Ellinikon revenues, revaluation gain on existing m...
PEO BANK POLSKA KASA OPIEKI SA
MOL MOL NYRT
PKO PKO BANK POLSKI S.A.
BHW BANK HANDLOWY W WARSZAWIE S.A.
SPL SANTANDER BANK POLSKA SA
BSK ING BANK SLASKI S.A.
LAMDA LAMDA DEVELOPMENT S.A.
LPP LPP S.A.
FROTO FORD OTOMOTIV SANAYI A.S.
EUR EUROCASH S.A.
11B 11 BIT STUDIOS S.A.
ALR ALIOR BANK SA
KLKIM KALEKIM KIMYEVI MADDELER SANAYI VE TICARET AS
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: LAMDA GA, EL RO, PEO PW, 11B PW, SNN RO, EMEA airlines, BU...
HEADLINES: • Lamda: 4Q23 results - significant step-up in Ellinikon revenues, revaluation gain on existing malls • Electrica: proposed changes to the regulatory framework • Bank Pekao: AGM chooses new Supervisory Board members, approves PLN 19.2 DPS • 11 bit studios: release date of INDIKA moved to 2 May • Nuclearelectrica: shareholders abstain from voting on the items from yesterday’s GMS • EMEA airlines: 1Q24 traffic - a good start to the year • Budimex: 1Q24E flat yoy - profitability improvem...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SOKM TI, CAR PW, PL telecoms, PL media, SNP RO
HEADLINES: • Sok Marketler: weak performance in the 4Q23 results • Inter Cars: targets 15-17% yoy revenue growth this year • Polish telecoms: telecommunications fee to grow from 0.05% of sales to 0.15% sales • Polish media: CPS audience share at 21.53%, WP TV at 0.61% in March 2024 • OMV Petrom: 1Q24E results preview (due out 30 April)
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: PGSUS TI, 11B PW, VGO PW, GPP PW, APR PW, CCC PW, KAP TI
• Pegasus Airlines: 1Q24 traffic - international ASK up 85% vs. 1Q19 • 11 bit studios: Frostpunk 2 Beta now available for seven days, first gameplay deep dive trailer released • VIGO Photonics: 1Q24 sales down 16% yoy to PLN 15.8m • Grupa Pracuj: new online job ads number down 19% yoy in March 2024 • Auto Partner: earnings call takeaways - solid FY24E outlook maintained, despite disappointing March sales • CCC: key takeaways from the recent site visit • Kazatomprom: awarded a licence for Rare Ea...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EME macro/strategy - reassessing the inflation and rates o...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: reassessing the inflation and rates outlook to 2025E eop • Benefit Systems: strong momentum continues • Dom Development: volume growth, margins stronger for longer (stays BUY) • Kazakhstan macro: NBK keeps policy rate on hold, at 14.75% • Ford Otosan: to issue Eurobond • Bank Pekao: 1Q24E preview (results due on 30 April) • Santander Bank Polska: 1Q24E preview (results due on 30 April) • ING BSK: 1Q24E preview (results due on 7 May) • Short News (HUG)
- Lukasz Wachelko
- CFA
- Maria Mickiewicz
Benefit Systems: strong momentum continues (stays BUY)
We maintain our BUY on Benefit Systems (BFT). Our new 12-month price target (PT) of PLN 3,400 (up by 26%) offers 23% potential upside. We have increased our 2024-26E adjusted EBIT forecasts by 20-26%, due mostly to our higher profitability assumptions, reflecting the positive surprises in recent quarters, the company’s strong January-February guidance, and our 1Q24E expectations. We expect 32% yoy growth in the adjusted EBIT this year, driven by 24% top-line growth and 1.3ppt yoy higher profitab...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: APR PW; CPS PW; GPW PW; PCO PW; DAT PW; CEZ CP
HEADLINES: • Auto Partner: 4Q23 EBITDA misses our forecast by 4%, but the consensus by 12% NEGATIVE • Cyfrowy Polsat: 4Q23 results review – adjusted EBITDA down 17% yoy, 4% below the consensus NEGATIVE • Warsaw Stock Exchange: 4Q23 bottom-line beat lacking some quality NEUTRAL • Pepco Group: lfl worsens to -2.9% in 2Q24; new CEO appointed NEGATIVE • DataWalk: actual 4Q23 numbers fully in line with the preliminaries; strong 1Q24 sales funnel POSITIVE • CEZ: Parliament formally drops Lex CEZ 2.0 N...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: SNP RO; OMV AV; MIL PW; PL Utilities; EME Macro/Strategy W...
HEADLINES: • OMV Petrom: 1Q24 trading statement POSITIVE • OMV: 1Q24 trading statement NEUTRAL • Bank Millennium: 1Q24E CHF mortgage saga provisions land at PLN 507m NEUTRAL • Polish gencos: IndMin floats notion of alternative solution to the NABE NEUTRAL • EME Macro/Strategy: macro all-in-one (1-7 April) • Halyk Savings Bank: pays off State aid fully POSITIVE • Orange Polska: key takeaways from the interview with the CTO NEUTRAL • Polish telecoms: mobile number portability in 1Q24 NEUTRAL • Pub...
- Research Team
WOOD Daily: EME Macro/Strategy – TL; PGE PW; THYAO TI; GPP PW; EU Oil ...
HEADLINES: • EME Macro/Strategy: Türkiye – unprecedented CHP victory in local elections • PGE: 4Q23 fully in line with prelims NEUTRAL • Turkish Airlines: 4Q24 conference call takeaways POSITIVE • Grupa Pracuj: key takeaways from the 4Q23 earnings call NEUTRAL • European oil and gas monthly: March 2024 – winter was survived, as expected • Poland macro: MPC keeps rates on hold, as expected • Romania macro: rates on hold, with a word of caution • Arabian Drilling: may have three offshore contracts...
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