We maintain our Outperform rating on CaixaBank, one of our Top Picks in the sector, with a higher target of € 7.2 vs € 6.7 and ahead of the CMD on 19 November. We are lifting our net income estimates by 7% for 2025-2026, to 7% above the consensus. The strategic update is set to highlight the wisdom of the business model diversification (long-term savings) to address the current transition phase on rates. Despite a solid market performance, the profile does not look to be fully reflec...
Nous réitérons notre opinion Surperformance sur CaixaBank, l’un de nos top picks du secteur, avec un OC porté à 7.2 € vs 6.7 € et en amont du CMD du 19/11. Nous relevons nos anticipations de RN de 7% sur 2025/2026 qui ressortent 7% supérieures au consensus. L’update stratégique devrait mettre en avant la pertinence de la diversification du business model (épargne LT) face à la transition actuelle sur les taux. Malgré un solide parcours boursier, cela n’est pas pleinement reflété dans ...
>PSOE and Sumar spring a surprise in seeking to suddenly abolish the SOCIMI regime - On Monday 11 November, the PSOE reached a tax agreement with its Spanish government ally, “Sumar”, whereby the two parties want to abolish the SOCIMI REIT regime or at least part of its tax advantages. This sudden stance, which surprised Spanish property professionals, is thus different from the position that was presented just last week, namely to “encourage the construction of affor...
>PSOE et Sumar créent la surprise en voulant supprimer soudainement le régime SOCIMI - Ce lundi 11 novembre, le PSOE sont parvenus à un accord fiscal avec son allié au gouvernement espagnol, « Sumar », par lequel les deux partis veulent supprimer le régime SOCIMI ou au moins une partie de ses avantages fiscaux. Cette prise de position soudaine qui a crée la surprise auprès des professionnels de l’immobilier espagnol, diffère ainsi de la position qui était encore mise ...
>Outlook reiterate; like-for-like growth accelerates; good operational metrics - Outlook FY2024 Direct Result Per/Sh (“DRPS”) reiterated at € 1.75.Like-for-like rental growth +4.9% (H1: 1.4% and 5% expected for FY2024 stated in Q1). Occupancy to 96.2% (H1 2023: 94.9%). Footfall +5.6% yoy (H1 2024 +5.5%).Minimum guaranteed rents (“MGR”) are down -1.8% for renewed lease agreements, based on 10.2% of total contracts, which on average were signed 8.0% above esti...
Cofinimmo: Dividend and investment neutrality reconfirmed. KPN: 3Q24 preview. Melexis: 3Q24 Preview, some auto weakness expected. Montea: Sound results, no sign of tenants slow down. Proximus: Small 3Q24 beat and guidance increase on Domestic, DIGI late arrival; Data centers sold in sale and lease back. Signify: 3Q24 results, some sequential improvement Wereldhave: Strong Dutch LFL growth, guidance confirmed Xior Student Housing: Stronger organic trends
The rate cut carried out and yet to come (ECB: -125bp to -150bp to come by end-2025e) is a real driver for listed real estate and creates the conditions enabling it to outperform. In this context, we are lifting 23 target prices for the 42 stocks covered. Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia and Xior Student Housing are now our Top Picks. Aedifica (Outperform vs Neutral) should also benefit. Lastly, we are lowering Care Property to Neutral and SFL to Underperform. - >...
La baisse de taux actée et à venir (BCE : -125 à 150 pb à venir d’ici fin 2025e) agit comme un véritable catalyseur pour l’immobilier côté et crée les conditions lui permettant de surperformer. Dans ce cadre, nous relevons 23 objectifs de cours sur 42 valeurs suivies. Covivio, CTP, Merlin Properties, URW, Vonovia et Xior Student Housing constituent désormais nos top picks. Aedifica (Surperformance vs Neutre) devrait également en bénéficier. Enfin, nous abaissons Care Property à N...
>Dutch real estate transfer tax to be reduced from 10.4% to 8% - The Dutch government will reduce the transfer tax for commercial buyers to 8%, according to leaked documents that newspaper De Telegraaf released. This is still more than the 6% it was before 2021, but less than the current 10.4%. The budget has now been sent to the Council of State. On “Prinsjesdag”, September 17, the House of Representatives will officially receive the plans, and the budget will be mad...
ASM: 2Q24 results; Beat and raise. DWS: Swimming against the tide. Elia: Okay 1H24 results, outlook raised KPN: 1% EBITDAal beat on €10-15m asset sale, guidance reiterated, includes asset sale. Melexis: Preview 2Q24; focus on the cycle. Sofina: 1H24 NAV underperforms the markets, but hopeful message of improved momentum in sourcing growth. Universal Music Group: Spotify 2Q24 and guidance beat on margins; YouTube ad revenues disappoint. Wereldhave: Analyst call highlights. Events Calendar
Oerlikon, leader in attractive niche markets with technology entry barriers, is about to enter the final chapter of its group transition into a Surface Solutions pure play via the planned separation of Polymer Processing Solutions (OPP) in the next 12-36 months. After the strong performance YTD, we are seeing no further significant upside from here for now. We are rating Oerlikon’s shares Neutral with a TP of CHF 5.2. - ...
Oerlikon, leader in attractive niche markets with technology entry barriers, is about to enter the final chapter of its group transition into a Surface Solutions pure play via the planned separation of Polymer Processing Solutions (OPP) in the next 12-36 months. After the strong performance YTD, we are seeing no further significant upside from here for now. We are rating Oerlikon’s shares Neutral with a TP of CHF 5.2. - ...
>Outlook reiterated, weaker occupancy and lfl growth, positive revaluations - FY2024 outlook of direct result per/sh (DRSP) reiterated at € 1.75.Fair values continue to rise in H1 2024, being +1.4% for the Netherlands and +4.9% for Belgium (Q1 Belgium: +4.1%). Wereldhave continues to sign leases materially ahead of market rental levels (ERV), implying valuations could be too conservative.Like-for-like rental growth of +1.4% (Q1: 2.2% and 5% expected for FY20...
Acomo: Bitter cocoa. Air France-KLM: Happily, Olympic Games only once in 100 years. AkzoNobel: 2Q24 Adj. EBITDA miss, FY guidance lowered in line with consensus. CM.com: 1H24 results; doing more with less. Euronext: 2Q24 preview. Lotus Bakeries: Lindt & Sprüngli 1H24 results. Philips: Preview 2Q24, back to normality. Randstad: 2Q24 misses 3% due to weak gross margin; outlook 3Q24 c.6-10% below but FY24 perhaps c.4%. UCB: 1H24 preview; confirming its return to growth. Universal ...
Wereldhave Half-year results 2024 Dutch retail sales +4%, well above inflationFootfall +5%, significantly outperforming the marketPositive valuation result core portfolio of +3%, driven by Full Service CentersFitch credit rating BBB, immediate recurring savings effect on interest costsDebt profile further strengthened through € 119m USPP raiseFirst steps taken for disposals and/or joint ventures of several Dutch assetsDirect result impacted by bankruptcies and higher financial expenses, normalization in H2Forecast FY 2024 DRPS € 1.75 reiterated Attachment ...
Peu de secteurs polarisent autant que le luxe automobile sportif. A la pointe de l’innovation technologique et artistique pour les uns, il est le reflet d’inégalités excessives pour les autres. Nous estimons que le secteur a un rôle prépondérant à jouer sur l’atténuation du changement climatique, mais aussi l’économie circulaire ou la transition juste. Considérant les impacts, risques et opportunités matériels, nous plaçons Ferrari en Best-in-Class ESG, Porsche en Neutre ESG, et Aston...
Unfortunately, this report is not available for the investor type or country you selected.
Report is subscription only.
Thank you, your report is ready.
Thank you, your report is ready.